Weather in Nassau Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:04 am (CDT)

Now · overcast 71 °F

Feels like: 75 °F
Low / high: 65 / 82 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 5 mph ENE

↗ 30.14 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Nassau Bay: overcast, 65 °F to 82 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 65 °F to 79 °F and a 13% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 83 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (38%).

Measured now at the airport

La Porte Muni (KT41), 8.9 mi away · 29 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature68 °F

Wind3 mph from the east-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 65°
Today
79° 65°
Fri 30
81° 70°
Sat 31
83° 71°
Sun 1
83° 72°
Mon 2
80° 67°
Tue 3
76° 63°
Wed 4
74° 59°
Thu 5
72° 57°
Fri 6
73° 56°
Sat 7
74° 58°
Sun 8
72° 60°
Mon 9
66° 54°
Tue 10
67° 61°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	65 / 82 °F	2%	9 mph E	5:10 am	HRRR
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	65 / 79 °F	13% · 0.01 in	13 mph E	6:34 am	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	70 / 81 °F	38% · 0.12 in	8 mph ESE	7:33 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	7%	6 mph ENE	7:03 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	3%	14 mph SE	7:17 am	NBM
Tue 3	Thunderstorm with hail	67 / 80 °F	56% · 0.76 in	16 mph S	7:09 am	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	63 / 76 °F	43% · 0.25 in	11 mph NW	6:36 am · 5:52 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	59 / 74 °F	5% · 0.05 in	11 mph NNW	6:23 am · 7:51 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Mainly clear	57 / 72 °F	5%	10 mph NNE	5:38 am · 9:47 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	56 / 73 °F	10% · 0.12 in	9 mph E	11:18 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	58 / 74 °F	14% · 0.07 in	10 mph ENE	—	NBM
Mon 9	Light rain	60 / 72 °F	25% · 0.57 in	11 mph NW	12:27 am	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	54 / 66 °F	10%	9 mph N	1:31 am	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	61 / 67 °F	20% · 0.21 in	7 mph E	2:35 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 4:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 1:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Overcast
Temperature	69°	66°	66°	70°	80°	82°	77°	71°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 N	4 NNW	4 NNE	5 ENE	8 E	8 E	9 SE	2 SSE
Humidity	80%	91%	91%	87%	60%	43%	54%	71%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	77°	73°	77°	79°	79°	80°	70°
AIFS	80°	75°	78°	81°	79°	80°	75°
GFS	82°	78°	85°	85°	84°	78°	76°
ICON	79°	74°	80°	81°	79°	80°	81°
HRRR	82°	80°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	80°	79°	81°	83°	83°	80°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.27 in	0.11 in	0.01 in	0.09 in	1.20 in	0
AIFS	0	0.25 in	0.46 in	0.06 in	0.07 in	0.28 in	0.01 in
GFS	0	0.06 in	0.19 in	0	0	0.40 in	0
ICON	0	0.09 in	0.31 in	0	0	0.69 in	0.47 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.01 in	0.12 in	0	0	0.76 in	0.25 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	medium	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1122	1121	1118	715	1430	1531	1430
AIFS	11	11	7	7	13	12	9
GFS	1012	1218	617	711	1121	1223	1420
ICON	918	917	515	815	1019	1121	613
HRRR	914	1319	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1116	1319	811	69	1421	1622	1116
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	45%	65%	22%	53%	88%	67%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	40%	57%	19%	19%	65%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	13%	38%	7%	3%	56%	43%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	17%	24%	8%	11%	33%	18%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +89%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	69° / 62°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +50%	65° / 58°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +34%	63° / 55°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +32%
December	A bit below −0.9 °F	Normal
January	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal
February	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nassau Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nassau Bay is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 73 °F to 85 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nassau Bay, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

64° 46°

JanJ
67° 50°

FebF
73° 56°

MarM
78° 62°

AprA
85° 69°

MayM
90° 75°

JunJ
92° 77°

JulJ
92° 76°

AugA
89° 72°

SepS
82° 64°

OctO
73° 54°

NovN
65° 47°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	64°	46°	4.06 in	9	4.2	59°	1.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	67°	50°	3.05 in	7	3.7	60°	1.7 ft	–
MarchMar	73°	56°	3.12 in	7	5.0	64°	1.7 ft	–
AprilApr	78°	62°	3.30 in	8	6.2	71°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	85°	69°	3.79 in	10	7.2	78°	1.9 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	75°	6.73 in	12	7.5	83°	1.7 ft	2
JulyJul	92°	77°	5.04 in	13	8.0	85°	1.4 ft	2
AugustAug	92°	76°	4.63 in	13	7.5	86°	1.4 ft	3
SeptemberSep	89°	72°	6.91 in	12	6.9	84°	1.4 ft	5
OctoberOct	82°	64°	4.89 in	8	6.1	78°	1.5 ft	–
NovemberNov	73°	54°	4.66 in	8	4.6	70°	1.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	65°	47°	4.39 in	9	3.7	63°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	59°	1.6 ft	–
Feb	60°	1.7 ft	–
Mar	64°	1.7 ft	–
Apr	71°	1.9 ft	–
May	78°	1.9 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.7 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.4 ft	2
Aug	86°	1.4 ft	3
Sep	84°	1.4 ft	5
Oct	78°	1.5 ft	–
Nov	70°	1.6 ft	–
Dec	63°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 54.58 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 75 °F

Tomorrow65 / 79 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 75 °F). Today, 65 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 79 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Fri 30 13% 0.01 in
Sat 31 38% 0.12 in
Sun 1 7%
Mon 2 3%
Tue 3 56% 0.76 in
Wed 4 43% 0.25 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 38% and 0.12 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.19 in; last 7 days, 0.19 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point66 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 66 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.1 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (9.1 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.01

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 58

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	71 / 80 °F	0.25 in	12 mph ESE
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	70 / 75 °F	0.19 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 26	Overcast	68 / 78 °F	0	12 mph E
Sun 25	Overcast	71 / 79 °F	0	12 mph E
Sat 24	Mainly clear	66 / 81 °F	0	13 mph E
Fri 23	Clear sky	60 / 83 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Thu 22	Overcast	63 / 82 °F	0	6 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	71 / 81 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Tue 20	Overcast	64 / 80 °F	0	10 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	64 / 77 °F	0	15 mph ENE
Sun 18	Overcast	58 / 72 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sat 17	Overcast	58 / 70 °F	0	19 mph N
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	65 / 79 °F	0.27 in	20 mph N
Thu 15	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.06 in	9 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.07 in	13 mph SSE
Tue 13	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.20 in	13 mph SSE
Mon 12	Thunderstorm	79 / 86 °F	0.26 in	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Overcast	73 / 85 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Sat 10	Clear sky	69 / 83 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Fri 9	Clear sky	73 / 89 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Thu 8	Clear sky	76 / 88 °F	0	11 mph NE
Wed 7	Overcast	75 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	75 / 86 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light showers	74 / 82 °F	0.41 in	16 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light showers	76 / 79 °F	1.25 in	16 mph NNE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	78 / 82 °F	0.90 in	12 mph NE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.18 in	10 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.06 in	16 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	82 / 91 °F	0.02 in	15 mph SE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.18 in	15 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Nassau BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nassau Bay?

Overcast, from 65 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nassau Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 13% (0.01 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 63 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.14 inHg and rising: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nassau Bay?

The best time to visit Nassau Bay is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 73 °F to 85 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nassau Bay in October?

In October, Nassau Bay normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.89 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nassau Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is September (6.91 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Nassau Bay?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nassau Bay, about 4 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

More about Nassau Bay today

Weather near Nassau Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:04 am (local time).

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