Weather in Oak Island

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:14 am (CDT)

Now · overcast 65 °F

Feels like: 67 °F
Low / high: 64 / 82 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 5 mph ENE

→ 30.12 inHg · steady

Today in Oak Island: overcast, 64 °F to 82 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 65 °F to 79 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (36%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 64°
Today
79° 65°
Fri 30
81° 68°
Sat 31
82° 69°
Sun 1
82° 70°
Mon 2
79° 67°
Tue 3
76° 62°
Wed 4
75° 57°
Thu 5
74° 56°
Fri 6
75° 56°
Sat 7
75° 58°
Sun 8
73° 56°
Mon 9
67° 49°
Tue 10
69° 53°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	64 / 82 °F	2%	11 mph ESE	1.0 ft	3:35 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	65 / 79 °F	6%	11 mph E	1.2 ft	4:58 am	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	68 / 81 °F	36% · 0.07 in	8 mph ESE	1.0 ft	5:46 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	8%	6 mph E	0.7 ft	5:14 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	70 / 82 °F	4%	12 mph SE	1.6 ft	5:16 am	NBM
Tue 3	Thunderstorm	67 / 79 °F	49% · 0.78 in	15 mph S	2.0 ft	5:13 am	NBM
Wed 4	Rain	62 / 76 °F	36% · 0.19 in	11 mph WNW	1.9 ft	5:13 am · 5:07 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	57 / 75 °F	4% · 0.02 in	10 mph NW	2.6 ft	4:45 am · 6:42 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Mainly clear	56 / 74 °F	4%	8 mph N	2.3 ft	4:12 am · 7:52 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	56 / 75 °F	6% · 0.02 in	7 mph E	0.5 ft	3:54 am · 8:51 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	58 / 75 °F	11% · 0.12 in	10 mph SSE	0.9 ft	9:47 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	56 / 73 °F	22% · 0.22 in	9 mph NW	0.7 ft	10:46 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	49 / 67 °F	22%	7 mph N	0.5 ft	—	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	53 / 69 °F	17% · 0.06 in	7 mph ENE	0.4 ft	12:01 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	68°	65°	64°	69°	81°	81°	76°	69°
Chance of rain	0%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 E	5 ENE	5 ENE	7 E	8 E	10 SE	8 SE	5 SE
Humidity	80%	89%	91%	83%	50%	42%	48%	73%
UV	0	0	0	1	5	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	80°	78°	79°	82°	81°	82°	71°
AIFS	80°	76°	78°	81°	80°	79°	76°
GFS	83°	80°	85°	85°	83°	83°	78°
ICON	79°	75°	78°	81°	77°	80°	78°
HRRR	82°	81°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	81°	79°	81°	82°	82°	79°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.04 in	0.04 in	1.07 in	0.15 in
AIFS	0	0.14 in	0.59 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.83 in	0.05 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0	0	0.25 in	0
ICON	0	0.02 in	0.35 in	0	0	0.50 in	0.33 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.07 in	0	0	0.78 in	0.19 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	816	1119	916	718	1230	2030	1430
AIFS	9	9	7	5	13	12	11
GFS	1012	1018	915	811	1322	1926	1425
ICON	818	818	615	715	615	922	715
HRRR	1113	1219	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	913	1115	811	69	1216	1519	1114
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	35%	75%	47%	69%	83%	51%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	23%	74%	7%	19%	79%	26%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	6%	36%	8%	4%	49%	36%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	13%	25%	18%	9%	27%	19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +80%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	70° / 61°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +51%	66° / 57°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −2.2 °F	A bit above +30%	64° / 54°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +42%
December	A bit below −1.3 °F	A bit above +22%
January	A bit below −1.4 °F	Normal
February	A bit below −2.2 °F	A bit above +25%
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Oak Island climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Oak Island is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oak Island, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

62° 45°

JanJ
65° 49°

FebF
71° 55°

MarM
77° 61°

AprA
83° 69°

MayM
89° 75°

JunJ
91° 76°

JulJ
91° 76°

AugA
88° 72°

SepS
81° 62°

OctO
71° 53°

NovN
64° 46°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	62°	45°	4.13 in	9	4.3	58°	1.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	65°	49°	2.81 in	7	3.8	59°	1.7 ft	–
MarchMar	71°	55°	3.14 in	7	5.2	64°	1.7 ft	–
AprilApr	77°	61°	3.61 in	8	6.2	71°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	83°	69°	3.83 in	10	7.6	78°	1.9 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	75°	6.22 in	12	8.1	83°	1.7 ft	2
JulyJul	91°	76°	4.84 in	13	8.6	85°	1.4 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	76°	5.19 in	13	8.0	86°	1.4 ft	4
SeptemberSep	88°	72°	6.87 in	12	7.1	84°	1.4 ft	5
OctoberOct	81°	62°	4.82 in	8	6.2	78°	1.5 ft	1
NovemberNov	71°	53°	4.71 in	8	4.8	69°	1.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	64°	46°	4.74 in	9	3.9	62°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	58°	1.6 ft	–
Feb	59°	1.7 ft	–
Mar	64°	1.7 ft	–
Apr	71°	1.9 ft	–
May	78°	1.9 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.7 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.4 ft	1
Aug	86°	1.4 ft	4
Sep	84°	1.4 ft	5
Oct	78°	1.5 ft	1
Nov	69°	1.6 ft	–
Dec	62°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 54.92 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now65 °Ffeels like 67 °F

Tomorrow65 / 79 °F

It's 65 °F now (feels like 67 °F). Today, 64 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 79 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Fri 30 6%
Sat 31 36% 0.07 in
Sun 1 8%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 49% 0.78 in
Wed 4 36% 0.19 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 36% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity89%

Dew point62 °F

Humidity is 89% now and the dew point is 62 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.8 migood

Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (8.8 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.01

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 46

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Rain	68 / 81 °F	0.43 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	61 / 76 °F	0.20 in	7 mph E
Mon 26	Overcast	60 / 80 °F	0	10 mph E
Sun 25	Overcast	61 / 78 °F	0	10 mph ENE
Sat 24	Clear sky	59 / 82 °F	0	11 mph ESE
Fri 23	Clear sky	55 / 85 °F	0	5 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	57 / 82 °F	0	7 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	65 / 82 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Tue 20	Overcast	56 / 80 °F	0	10 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	57 / 78 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	51 / 72 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sat 17	Partly cloudy	54 / 69 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	64 / 78 °F	0.05 in	19 mph N
Thu 15	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	0.05 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 14	Clear sky	75 / 87 °F	0	11 mph SE
Tue 13	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.15 in	13 mph SSE
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.23 in	13 mph SE
Sun 11	Overcast	65 / 86 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Sat 10	Clear sky	67 / 84 °F	0	9 mph E
Fri 9	Clear sky	65 / 89 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Thu 8	Clear sky	70 / 89 °F	0	12 mph NE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	70 / 88 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	69 / 88 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.13 in	13 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light rain	74 / 78 °F	0.96 in	13 mph NNE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	75 / 82 °F	1.17 in	11 mph NE
Fri 2	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.12 in	12 mph ENE
Thu 1	Drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.08 in	14 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Oak IslandQuestions

What's the weather like today in Oak Island?

Overcast, from 64 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (5 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Oak Island?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 6% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 62 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.12 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Oak Island?

The best time to visit Oak Island is from March to May and from October to November: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Oak Island in October?

In October, Oak Island normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 62 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.82 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Oak Island?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 45 °F. The wettest is September (6.87 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Oak Island?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Oak Island, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

More about Oak Island today

Weather near Oak Island

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:14 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from