Weather in Smith Point

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:53 pm (CDT)

Now · overcast 76 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 71 / 82 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 9 mph SE

→ 30.12 inHg · steady

Today in Smith Point: light rain, 71 °F to 82 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the southeast (9 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 80 °F and a 4% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 82 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (46%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 71°
Today
80° 63°
Thu 29
79° 67°
Fri 30
80° 69°
Sat 31
81° 69°
Sun 1
81° 70°
Mon 2
79° 68°
Tue 3
76° 62°
Wed 4
74° 58°
Thu 5
74° 58°
Fri 6
75° 60°
Sat 7
75° 56°
Sun 8
65° 52°
Mon 9
68° 50°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light rain	71 / 82 °F	2%	14 mph ESE	1.6 ft	—	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	63 / 80 °F	4%	10 mph ESE	1.3 ft	1:53 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	67 / 79 °F	16%	12 mph E	1.6 ft	3:40 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	69 / 80 °F	46% · 0.19 in	8 mph ESE	1.4 ft	5:23 am	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	8%	6 mph E	1.2 ft	5:01 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	7%	12 mph SE	2.3 ft	5:21 am	NBM
Tue 3	Thunderstorm	68 / 79 °F	39% · 0.70 in	14 mph S	2.0 ft	5:28 am	NBM
Wed 4	Thunderstorm	62 / 76 °F	30% · 0.08 in	11 mph W	1.4 ft	5:11 am · 4:54 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	58 / 74 °F	4%	11 mph NW	2.6 ft	4:49 am · 6:32 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	58 / 74 °F	4%	8 mph N	2.2 ft	4:24 am · 8:14 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Clear sky	60 / 75 °F	10% · 0.05 in	8 mph E	1.2 ft	3:49 am · 9:16 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	56 / 75 °F	17% · 0.09 in	9 mph E	0.9 ft	9:57 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	52 / 65 °F	24%	4 mph N	0.5 ft	10:34 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	50 / 68 °F	22%	6 mph NNW	0.6 ft	11:30 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 12:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 1:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light rain	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	71°	72°	73°	75°	81°	80°	76°	71°
Chance of rain	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 ESE	8 SE	4 ESE	10 ESE	12 ESE	12 ESE	9 SE	6 SE
Humidity	88%	91%	87%	76%	61%	60%	74%	85%
UV	0	0	0	0	5	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	77°	77°	76°	78°	79°	80°	80°
AIFS	80°	80°	78°	80°	82°	81°	81°
GFS	78°	78°	77°	80°	81°	79°	77°
ICON	79°	80°	75°	75°	80°	78°	80°
HRRR	82°	81°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	81°	80°	79°	80°	81°	81°	79°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.28 in	0	0.03 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.83 in
AIFS	0.17 in	0	0.04 in	0.26 in	0.10 in	0.11 in	0.98 in
GFS	0.03 in	0	0.00 in	0.12 in	0	0	1.12 in
ICON	0	0	0.01 in	0.18 in	0	0	0.01 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0.19 in	0	0	0.69 in
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1121	1122	1425	1121	923	1430	1531
AIFS	11	10	10	8	9	14	16
GFS	1318	1312	1118	914	810	1319	1425
ICON	1022	818	921	614	919	716	920
HRRR	1423	1317	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1215	1014	1217	811	69	1217	1420
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	74%	2%	33%	77%	24%	37%	82%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	85%	0%	42%	49%	6%	30%	53%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	4%	16%	46%	8%	7%	39%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	2%	0%	12%	23%	13%	9%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +89%	Above +2.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	70° / 62°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	69° / 62°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +50%	A bit above +0.7 °F	65° / 58°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit below −1.8 °F	A bit above +34%	Normal −0.4 °F	63° / 55°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +32%	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	A bit below −0.9 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F
January	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F
February	A bit below −2.0 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.4 °F
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Normal	A bit below −1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Smith Point climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Smith Point is from March to May and in October: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Smith Point, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

61° 45°

JanJ
65° 49°

FebF
71° 56°

MarM
76° 62°

AprA
83° 70°

MayM
88° 75°

JunJ
90° 77°

JulJ
91° 77°

AugA
87° 73°

SepS
80° 64°

OctO
71° 54°

NovN
63° 47°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	61°	45°	4.05 in	9	4.2	58°	1.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	65°	49°	2.74 in	7	3.8	59°	1.7 ft	–
MarchMar	71°	56°	2.98 in	7	5.3	64°	1.7 ft	–
AprilApr	76°	62°	3.24 in	8	6.4	71°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	83°	70°	3.61 in	10	7.8	78°	1.9 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	75°	5.85 in	12	8.4	83°	1.7 ft	2
JulyJul	90°	77°	4.77 in	13	8.7	85°	1.4 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	77°	5.02 in	13	8.2	86°	1.4 ft	4
SeptemberSep	87°	73°	6.72 in	12	7.2	84°	1.4 ft	5
OctoberOct	80°	64°	4.65 in	8	6.3	78°	1.5 ft	1
NovemberNov	71°	54°	4.47 in	8	4.8	69°	1.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	63°	47°	4.55 in	9	3.9	62°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	58°	1.6 ft	–
Feb	59°	1.7 ft	–
Mar	64°	1.7 ft	–
Apr	71°	1.9 ft	–
May	78°	1.9 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.7 ft	2
Jul	85°	1.4 ft	1
Aug	86°	1.4 ft	4
Sep	84°	1.4 ft	5
Oct	78°	1.5 ft	1
Nov	69°	1.6 ft	–
Dec	62°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 52.66 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow63 / 80 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 71 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Thu 29 4%
Fri 30 16%
Sat 31 46% 0.19 in
Sun 1 8%
Mon 2 7%
Tue 3 39% 0.70 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 46% and 0.19 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 67 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds87%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.1030.20 30.03

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.09 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 48

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	70 / 75 °F	0.19 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 26	Overcast	68 / 78 °F	0	12 mph E
Sun 25	Overcast	71 / 79 °F	0	12 mph E
Sat 24	Mainly clear	66 / 81 °F	0	13 mph E
Fri 23	Clear sky	60 / 83 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Thu 22	Overcast	63 / 82 °F	0	6 mph NE
Wed 21	Overcast	71 / 81 °F	0	8 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	64 / 80 °F	0	10 mph NE
Mon 19	Overcast	64 / 77 °F	0	15 mph ENE
Sun 18	Overcast	58 / 72 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sat 17	Overcast	58 / 70 °F	0	19 mph N
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	65 / 79 °F	0.27 in	20 mph N
Thu 15	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.06 in	9 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.07 in	13 mph SSE
Tue 13	Drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.20 in	13 mph SSE
Mon 12	Thunderstorm	79 / 86 °F	0.26 in	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Overcast	73 / 85 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Sat 10	Clear sky	69 / 83 °F	0	13 mph ESE
Fri 9	Clear sky	73 / 89 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Thu 8	Clear sky	76 / 88 °F	0	11 mph NE
Wed 7	Overcast	75 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	75 / 86 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light showers	74 / 82 °F	0.41 in	16 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light showers	76 / 79 °F	1.25 in	16 mph NNE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	78 / 82 °F	0.90 in	12 mph NE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.18 in	10 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.06 in	16 mph SSE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	82 / 91 °F	0.02 in	15 mph SE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.18 in	15 mph SE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.02 in	12 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Smith PointQuestions

What's the weather like today in Smith Point?

Light rain, from 71 °F to 82 °F, with a gentle breeze from the southeast (9 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Smith Point?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 4% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 63 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.12 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Smith Point?

The best time to visit Smith Point is from March to May and in October: highs of 71 °F to 83 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Smith Point in October?

In October, Smith Point normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.65 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Smith Point?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 45 °F. The wettest is September (6.72 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Smith Point?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Smith Point, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

More about Smith Point today

Weather near Smith Point

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:53 pm (local time).

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