Weather in Bolivar Peninsula
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:36 am (CDT)- Feels like
- 72 °F
- Low / high
- 68 / 79 °F
- Rain
- 2%
- Wind
- 7 mph SE
Today in Bolivar Peninsula: overcast, 68 °F to 79 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 69 °F to 77 °F and a 15% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 80 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (38%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 68 / 79 °F | 2% | 11 mph ESE | 1.7 ft | — | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 69 / 77 °F | 15% | 13 mph E | 2.3 ft | 1:05 am | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 70 / 78 °F | 38% · 0.09 in | 9 mph ESE | 1.9 ft | 6:06 am | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 70 / 80 °F | 9% | 7 mph E | 1.3 ft | 5:04 am | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 71 / 79 °F | 4% | 12 mph SE | 2.3 ft | 3:25 am | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 69 / 78 °F | 43% · 0.69 in | 13 mph S | 2.5 ft | 3:43 am · 1:43 pm | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 64 / 74 °F | 37% · 0.21 in | 11 mph WNW | 2.5 ft | 4:01 am · 3:45 pm | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 60 / 73 °F | 4% · 0.05 in | 11 mph NW | 2.9 ft | 4:18 am · 5:17 pm | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 59 / 72 °F | 3% | 9 mph NNW | 2.7 ft | 4:33 am · 6:33 pm | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 60 / 73 °F | 7% · 0.02 in | 9 mph ENE | 1.1 ft | 4:41 am · 7:35 pm | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 52 / 73 °F | 10% · 0.10 in | 10 mph ENE | 1.0 ft | 8:27 pm | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 47 / 66 °F | 22% | 5 mph NE | 0.7 ft | 9:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 47 / 69 °F | 22% | 5 mph N | 0.5 ft | 10:00 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 48 / 65 °F | 17% | 7 mph NNW | 0.8 ft | 10:52 pm | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast |
| Temperature | 71° | 70° | 68° | 75° | 79° | 78° | 75° | 72° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 7 SE | 6 SE | 6 SE | 5 ESE | 10 ESE | 10 ESE | 8 ESE | 5 ESE |
| Humidity | 71% | 73% | 70% | 63% | 55% | 52% | 56% | 78% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | NBM |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 79° | 76° | 79° | 80° | 80° | 81° | 72° |
| AIFS | 79° | 77° | 78° | 81° | 80° | 80° | 70° |
| GFS | 78° | 76° | 81° | 82° | 79° | 77° | 74° |
| ICON | 79° | 75° | 78° | 81° | 77° | 80° | 78° |
| HRRR | 79° | 78° | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 77° | 77° | 78° | 80° | 79° | 78° | 74° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.20 in | 0.05 in | 0.06 in | 0.94 in | 0.74 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0.08 in | 0.54 in | 0.14 in | 0.14 in | 1.15 in | 0.49 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0.09 in | 0 | 0.01 in | 1.07 in | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.35 in | 0 | 0 | 0.50 in | 0.33 in |
| HRRR | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0 | 0 | 0.09 in | 0 | 0 | 0.69 in | 0.21 in |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | medium | medium | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 916 | 1119 | 1019 | 818 | 1430 | 1630 | 1429 |
| AIFS | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| GFS | 1312 | 1518 | 811 | 911 | 1220 | 1526 | 1320 |
| ICON | 818 | 818 | 615 | 715 | 615 | 922 | 715 |
| HRRR | 1116 | 1521 | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 1115 | 1317 | 913 | 710 | 1217 | 1319 | 1116 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 0% | 35% | 75% | 47% | 69% | 83% | 51% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 12% | 40% | 6% | 35% | 55% | 16% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 2% | 15% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 43% | 37% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 0% | 10% | 20% | 11% | 9% | 24% | 18% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.2 °F | Above +77% | Above +2.7 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal −0.5 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F | 70° / 66° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal −0.5 °F | Above +58% | A bit above +0.7 °F | 66° / 62° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit below −1.6 °F | A bit above +30% | Normal −0.4 °F | 64° / 59° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | Normal +0.4 °F | A bit above +45% | A bit above +0.9 °F |
| December | Normal −0.7 °F | A bit above +22% | Normal −0.2 °F |
| January | A bit below −1.3 °F | Normal | A bit below −0.7 °F |
| February | A bit below −2.0 °F | A bit above +23% | A bit below −1.6 °F |
| March | A bit below −1.3 °F | Normal | A bit below −1.6 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Bolivar Peninsula climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Bolivar Peninsula is from April to May and in October: highs of 75 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Bolivar Peninsula, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 60° | 46° | 4.13 in | 10 | 4.2 | 58° | 1.6 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 64° | 50° | 2.72 in | 7 | 3.8 | 59° | 1.7 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 69° | 56° | 2.89 in | 8 | 5.5 | 64° | 1.7 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 75° | 62° | 3.17 in | 8 | 6.5 | 71° | 1.9 ft | – |
| MayMay | 82° | 70° | 3.68 in | 10 | 7.9 | 78° | 1.9 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 87° | 75° | 5.66 in | 14 | 8.4 | 83° | 1.7 ft | 2 |
| JulyJul | 89° | 77° | 4.83 in | 14 | 8.7 | 85° | 1.4 ft | 1 |
| AugustAug | 90° | 77° | 5.30 in | 14 | 8.1 | 86° | 1.4 ft | 4 |
| SeptemberSep | 86° | 73° | 6.74 in | 13 | 7.2 | 84° | 1.4 ft | 5 |
| OctoberOct | 79° | 65° | 4.60 in | 9 | 6.3 | 78° | 1.5 ft | 1 |
| NovemberNov | 70° | 55° | 4.32 in | 8 | 4.9 | 69° | 1.6 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 62° | 48° | 4.56 in | 9 | 4.0 | 62° | 1.7 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 58° | 1.6 ft | – |
| Feb | 59° | 1.7 ft | – |
| Mar | 64° | 1.7 ft | – |
| Apr | 71° | 1.9 ft | – |
| May | 78° | 1.9 ft | – |
| Jun | 83° | 1.7 ft | 2 |
| Jul | 85° | 1.4 ft | 1 |
| Aug | 86° | 1.4 ft | 4 |
| Sep | 84° | 1.4 ft | 5 |
| Oct | 78° | 1.5 ft | 1 |
| Nov | 69° | 1.6 ft | – |
| Dec | 62° | 1.7 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 52.60 in of rain on about 124 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 71 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 68 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 77 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 38% and 0.09 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.20 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 61 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 5
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Rain | 68 / 81 °F | 0.43 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Tue 27 | Heavy drizzle | 61 / 76 °F | 0.20 in | 7 mph E |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 60 / 80 °F | 0 | 10 mph E |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 61 / 78 °F | 0 | 10 mph ENE |
| Sat 24 | Clear sky | 59 / 82 °F | 0 | 11 mph ESE |
| Fri 23 | Clear sky | 55 / 85 °F | 0 | 5 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Clear sky | 57 / 82 °F | 0 | 7 mph NNE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 65 / 82 °F | 0 | 8 mph ENE |
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 56 / 80 °F | 0 | 10 mph NE |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 57 / 78 °F | 0 | 9 mph ENE |
| Sun 18 | Partly cloudy | 51 / 72 °F | 0 | 9 mph NE |
| Sat 17 | Partly cloudy | 54 / 69 °F | 0 | 17 mph NNE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 64 / 78 °F | 0.05 in | 19 mph N |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 72 / 87 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Wed 14 | Clear sky | 75 / 87 °F | 0 | 11 mph SE |
| Tue 13 | Drizzle | 78 / 88 °F | 0.15 in | 13 mph SSE |
| Mon 12 | Heavy drizzle | 72 / 86 °F | 0.23 in | 13 mph SE |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 65 / 86 °F | 0 | 9 mph SSE |
| Sat 10 | Clear sky | 67 / 84 °F | 0 | 9 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Clear sky | 65 / 89 °F | 0 | 9 mph NNE |
| Thu 8 | Clear sky | 70 / 89 °F | 0 | 12 mph NE |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 70 / 88 °F | 0.02 in | 8 mph NE |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 69 / 88 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph NE |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 71 / 85 °F | 0.13 in | 13 mph NNE |
| Sun 4 | Light rain | 74 / 78 °F | 0.96 in | 13 mph NNE |
| Sat 3 | Thunderstorm | 75 / 82 °F | 1.17 in | 11 mph NE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 75 / 89 °F | 0.12 in | 12 mph ENE |
| Thu 1 | Drizzle | 80 / 91 °F | 0.08 in | 14 mph SSE |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 79 / 89 °F | 0.02 in | 13 mph SE |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.02 in | 13 mph SE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Bolivar PeninsulaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Bolivar Peninsula?
Overcast, from 68 °F to 79 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Bolivar Peninsula?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 15% (0.00 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 80 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.12 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Bolivar Peninsula?
The best time to visit Bolivar Peninsula is from April to May and in October: highs of 75 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Bolivar Peninsula in October?
In October, Bolivar Peninsula normally sees highs of 79 °F and lows of 65 °F, with about 9 rainy days (4.60 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Bolivar Peninsula?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 46 °F. The wettest is September (6.74 in) and the driest, February.
When is hurricane season in Bolivar Peninsula?
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Bolivar Peninsula, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.
More about Bolivar Peninsula today
Weather near Bolivar Peninsula
- Smith Point 70 °F · overcast · 12 mi
- Oak Island 69 °F · partly cloudy · 14 mi
- Galveston 71 °F · overcast · 18 mi
- Texas City 72 °F · overcast · 20 mi
- Beach City 70 °F · overcast · 23 mi
- Tiki Island 72 °F · overcast · 24 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 19 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:36 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from