Weather in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:39 pm (CST)

Now · clear 79 °F

Feels like: 86 °F
Low / high: 76 / 82 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.90 in
Wind: 5 mph E

→ 29.93 inHg · steady

Today in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito): showers, 76 °F to 82 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.90 in) and a light breeze from the east (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 78 °F to 84 °F and a 29% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 86 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 76°
Today
84° 78°
Thu 29
85° 75°
Fri 30
85° 76°
Sat 31
84° 77°
Sun 1
85° 78°
Mon 2
86° 79°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
84° 75°
Thu 5
83° 72°
Fri 6
83° 73°
Sat 7
85° 74°
Sun 8
84° 74°
Mon 9
84° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Showers	76 / 82 °F	100% · 0.90 in	13 mph ESE	5.8 ft	8:57 am	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	29% · 0.05 in	6 mph SSE	4.8 ft	12:09 am · 9:07 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	75 / 85 °F	2%	11 mph NW	4.9 ft	8:57 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	76 / 85 °F	0%	7 mph NNW	5.2 ft	8:14 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Mainly clear	77 / 84 °F	6%	6 mph E	5.2 ft	7:22 am · 4:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Mainly clear	78 / 85 °F	22%	6 mph NW	4.8 ft	7:06 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Mainly clear	79 / 86 °F	12%	7 mph ESE	4.4 ft	7:06 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	6% · 0.02 in	8 mph ESE	4.1 ft	7:11 am · 7:29 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	75 / 84 °F	6%	11 mph NW	4.2 ft	7:21 am · 8:04 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	72 / 83 °F	6%	8 mph NW	4.9 ft	7:33 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	73 / 83 °F	6%	5 mph NNW	4.9 ft	7:46 am · 9:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	74 / 85 °F	4%	9 mph NW	5.1 ft	7:59 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	74 / 84 °F	2%	5 mph ENE	5.6 ft	8:11 am · 10:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	76 / 84 °F	0%	6 mph ESE	5.6 ft	8:21 am · 10:40 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light showers	Light drizzle	Light showers	Showers	Light rain	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	82°	80°	78°	78°	76°	81°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	78%	88%	96%	100%	92%	100%	31%	18%
Rain	0.05 in	0.00 in	0.09 in	0.11 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	10 ESE	11 ESE	11 ESE	13 ESE	11 E	9 ESE	11 ESE	5 E
Humidity	81%	83%	94%	94%	90%	79%	73%	76%
UV	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	82°	84°	85°	85°	84°	85°	86°
AIFS	80°	86°	85°	85°	86°	86°	86°
GFS	77°	85°	88°	86°	88°	87°	86°
ICON	83°	87°	88°	87°	87°	88°	87°
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.90 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.76 in	0.03 in	0	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.02 in
GFS	1.63 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.44 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1322	612	1119	713	617	614	719
AIFS	11	6	8	7	6	7	5
GFS	929	67	714	610	64	47	65
ICON	1021	614	919	714	614	614	715
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	29%	2%	0%	6%	22%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	48%	0%	0%	6%	16%	13%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	Below −78%	—	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	—	86° / 72°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—	86° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +265%	—	86° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +79%	—	86° / 70°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +45%	Above +2.3 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Well above +101%	Above +2.9 °F
January	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +106%	A bit above +1.6 °F
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) is from December to April: highs of 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 37 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito), one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

91° 61°

JanJ
91° 60°

FebF
91° 60°

MarM
91° 62°

AprA
92° 67°

MayM
93° 73°

JunJ
93° 74°

JulJ
93° 74°

AugA
92° 73°

SepS
93° 73°

OctO
92° 69°

NovN
91° 64°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	91°	61°	1.17 in	2	6.9	81°	3.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	91°	60°	0.33 in	1	7.7	79°	3.8 ft	–
MarchMar	91°	60°	0.14 in	0	7.8	78°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	91°	62°	0.02 in	0	7.0	77°	4.5 ft	–
MayMay	92°	67°	0.24 in	1	6.6	80°	4.7 ft	1
JuneJun	93°	73°	5.37 in	13	5.9	83°	5.0 ft	6
JulyJul	93°	74°	6.65 in	22	6.6	86°	4.7 ft	3
AugustAug	93°	74°	9.13 in	24	6.6	86°	4.8 ft	7
SeptemberSep	92°	73°	11.15 in	22	5.7	85°	5.1 ft	10
OctoberOct	93°	73°	5.43 in	11	6.4	85°	4.7 ft	9
NovemberNov	92°	69°	1.57 in	3	7.5	84°	4.0 ft	1
DecemberDec	91°	64°	0.56 in	1	6.8	82°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.6 ft	–
Feb	79°	3.8 ft	–
Mar	78°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	77°	4.5 ft	–
May	80°	4.7 ft	1
Jun	83°	5.0 ft	6
Jul	86°	4.7 ft	3
Aug	86°	4.8 ft	7
Sep	85°	5.1 ft	10
Oct	85°	4.7 ft	9
Nov	84°	4.0 ft	1
Dec	82°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.77 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 86 °F

Tomorrow78 / 84 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 86 °F). Today, 76 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.90 in
Thu 29 29% 0.05 in
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 22%
Tue 3 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.90 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 29% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.90 in; last 3 days, 1.54 in; last 7 days, 1.89 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds3%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3moderate

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.82

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light showers	77 / 83 °F	0.39 in	14 mph ESE
Mon 26	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.24 in	8 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.15 in	11 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.09 in	13 mph E
Fri 23	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.07 in	8 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.04 in	8 mph ESE
Wed 21	Overcast	78 / 87 °F	0	11 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	78 / 87 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Mon 19	Overcast	78 / 86 °F	0	6 mph NW
Sun 18	Rain	76 / 85 °F	0.89 in	16 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light showers	76 / 83 °F	1.08 in	16 mph ENE
Fri 16	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.05 in	7 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	78 / 88 °F	0	10 mph NW
Tue 13	Overcast	78 / 87 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Mon 12	Rain	77 / 85 °F	0.90 in	12 mph E
Sun 11	Heavy rain	77 / 80 °F	12.14 in	31 mph ESE
Sat 10	Showers	78 / 80 °F	3.24 in	16 mph NNE
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	79 / 85 °F	0.73 in	7 mph NE
Thu 8	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.70 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 7	Heavy drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.44 in	7 mph E
Tue 6	Thunderstorm	79 / 87 °F	0.35 in	9 mph NNE
Mon 5	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	0.18 in	7 mph NNW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNE
Sat 3	Light rain	76 / 85 °F	0.32 in	10 mph ESE
Fri 2	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.22 in	13 mph ESE
Thu 1	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.84 in	14 mph ESE
Wed 30	Showers	78 / 80 °F	3.63 in	20 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light showers	80 / 87 °F	0.65 in	24 mph ESE
Mon 28	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.27 in	16 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)Questions

What's the weather like today in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)?

Showers, from 76 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the east (5 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 29% (0.05 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)?

The best time to visit Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) is from December to April: highs of 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) in October?

In October, Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 11 rainy days (5.43 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)?

The warmest is June, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is September (11.15 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 37 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito), one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito) today

Weather near Emiliano Zapata (El Ranchito)

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:39 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from