Weather in Manzanillo

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:00 am (CST)

Now · mainly clear 75 °F

Feels like: 80 °F
Low / high: 74 / 89 °F
Rain: 24%
Wind: 4 mph NE

→ 29.92 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in Manzanillo: mainly clear, 74 °F to 89 °F, with a 24% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 71 °F to 88 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 90 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (61%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 74°
Today
88° 71°
Fri 30
90° 73°
Sat 31
88° 75°
Sun 1
89° 76°
Mon 2
88° 77°
Tue 3
89° 74°
Wed 4
88° 74°
Thu 5
88° 70°
Fri 6
87° 69°
Sat 7
87° 69°
Sun 8
88° 69°
Mon 9
88° 72°
Tue 10
89° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Mainly clear	74 / 89 °F	24%	5 mph NE	4.5 ft	12:09 am · 9:07 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	71 / 88 °F	14% · 0.01 in	7 mph W	4.5 ft	8:57 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	73 / 90 °F	0%	4 mph SSE	4.6 ft	8:14 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 88 °F	33% · 0.02 in	5 mph SSE	4.6 ft	7:22 am · 4:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	61% · 0.01 in	6 mph SSW	4.3 ft	7:06 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	43% · 0.02 in	6 mph SE	4.1 ft	7:06 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	31% · 0.05 in	5 mph S	3.6 ft	7:11 am · 7:29 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	74 / 88 °F	35%	4 mph S	3.7 ft	7:21 am · 8:04 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	70 / 88 °F	24%	5 mph WSW	3.6 ft	7:33 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	69 / 87 °F	22% · 0.02 in	5 mph W	—	7:46 am · 9:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	69 / 87 °F	18%	4 mph W	—	7:59 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	69 / 88 °F	10%	5 mph SSW	—	8:11 am · 10:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	72 / 88 °F	14%	5 mph SSE	—	8:21 am · 10:40 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	72 / 89 °F	2%	5 mph WSW	—	8:28 am · 11:16 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	76°	75°	74°	82°	89°	88°	82°	75°
Chance of rain	10%	22%	22%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NE	3 NE	4 NNE	3 ENE	5 SSW	5 SW	3 WSW	2 NNE
Humidity	77%	74%	76%	69%	55%	62%	84%	98%
UV	0	0	0	2	9	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	88°	90°	88°	89°	88°	89°
AIFS	90°	89°	89°	89°	89°	89°	89°
GFS	89°	90°	89°	90°	90°	89°	89°
ICON	87°	86°	87°	88°	89°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	515	718	413	517	616	619	515
AIFS	4	5	4	4	5	5	4
GFS	65	78	75	65	55	65	54
ICON	612	715	613	512	614	613	714
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	24%	14%	0%	33%	61%	43%	31%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	16%	0%	0%	34%	46%	18%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	Below −78%	Normal 0.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Well above +286%	A bit above +1.3 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +77%	Above +1.8 °F	84° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +54%	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Well above +104%	Above +2.7 °F
January	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +128%	A bit above +1.4 °F
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Manzanillo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manzanillo is from December to April: highs of 90 °F to 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manzanillo, one or two a year; 13 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

90° 64°

JanJ
91° 63°

FebF
90° 62°

MarM
90° 64°

AprA
92° 69°

MayM
93° 74°

JunJ
94° 75°

JulJ
93° 74°

AugA
92° 74°

SepS
93° 74°

OctO
92° 70°

NovN
91° 66°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	90°	64°	0.61 in	2	7.0	81°	3.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	91°	63°	0.35 in	1	7.8	79°	3.8 ft	–
MarchMar	90°	62°	0.07 in	0	7.9	78°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	90°	64°	0.00 in	0	7.0	77°	4.5 ft	–
MayMay	92°	69°	0.28 in	1	6.8	80°	4.7 ft	1
JuneJun	93°	74°	5.15 in	14	6.2	83°	5.0 ft	7
JulyJul	94°	75°	7.80 in	22	6.7	86°	4.7 ft	2
AugustAug	93°	74°	8.62 in	23	6.7	86°	4.8 ft	6
SeptemberSep	92°	74°	10.61 in	22	5.8	85°	5.1 ft	9
OctoberOct	93°	74°	4.82 in	10	6.5	85°	4.7 ft	8
NovemberNov	92°	70°	1.54 in	2	7.6	84°	4.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	91°	66°	0.35 in	1	7.1	82°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.6 ft	–
Feb	79°	3.8 ft	–
Mar	78°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	77°	4.5 ft	–
May	80°	4.7 ft	1
Jun	83°	5.0 ft	7
Jul	86°	4.7 ft	2
Aug	86°	4.8 ft	6
Sep	85°	5.1 ft	9
Oct	85°	4.7 ft	8
Nov	84°	4.0 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 40.19 in of rain on about 98 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 80 °F

Tomorrow71 / 88 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 74 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 24%
Fri 30 14% 0.01 in
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 33% 0.02 in
Mon 2 61% 0.01 in
Tue 3 43% 0.02 in
Wed 4 31% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 24%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 61% and 0.01 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.43 in; last 3 days, 0.73 in; last 7 days, 1.37 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 67 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds32%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.83

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	75 / 80 °F	0.43 in	6 mph ENE
Tue 27	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	0.26 in	7 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.04 in	4 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.15 in	5 mph WSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.18 in	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.20 in	5 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.12 in	6 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 92 °F	0.02 in	5 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.04 in	5 mph W
Mon 19	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Sun 18	Rain	74 / 87 °F	0.33 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 17	Rain	74 / 84 °F	0.91 in	8 mph NE
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 91 °F	0.24 in	5 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 90 °F	0.40 in	6 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.02 in	6 mph WNW
Tue 13	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.07 in	5 mph NNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.18 in	6 mph E
Sun 11	Heavy rain	74 / 77 °F	6.81 in	20 mph E
Sat 10	Showers	76 / 80 °F	3.26 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.57 in	4 mph E
Thu 8	Showers	76 / 89 °F	1.14 in	5 mph NNE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	77 / 88 °F	0.85 in	5 mph NNE
Tue 6	Thunderstorm	77 / 89 °F	0.58 in	5 mph E
Mon 5	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.32 in	4 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NW
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.58 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.26 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light rain	74 / 89 °F	0.74 in	10 mph ESE
Wed 30	Rain	76 / 80 °F	3.20 in	11 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	0.56 in	12 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ManzanilloQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manzanillo?

Mainly clear, from 74 °F to 89 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph) and a 24% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manzanillo?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 14% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manzanillo?

The best time to visit Manzanillo is from December to April: highs of 90 °F to 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manzanillo in October?

In October, Manzanillo normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.82 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manzanillo?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is September (10.61 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Manzanillo?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manzanillo, one or two a year; 13 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about Manzanillo today

Weather near Manzanillo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:00 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from