Weather in El Naranjo

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:19 pm (CST)

Now · partly cloudy 75 °F

Feels like: 84 °F
Low / high: 74 / 80 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.43 in
Wind: 2 mph NNE

↗ 29.93 inHg · rising

Today in El Naranjo: light showers, 74 °F to 80 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.43 in) and a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 73 °F to 89 °F and a 20% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (57%).

Measured now at the airport

Manzanillo/Oro (MMZO), 9.8 mi away · 48 min ago

Visibility3.0 mi

WeatherRain

Temperature73 °F

Wind6 mph from the east-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

80° 74°
Today
89° 73°
Thu 29
89° 71°
Fri 30
89° 74°
Sat 31
88° 75°
Sun 1
89° 76°
Mon 2
89° 78°
Tue 3
88° 76°
Wed 4
88° 72°
Thu 5
87° 69°
Fri 6
86° 69°
Sat 7
88° 71°
Sun 8
89° 69°
Mon 9
88° 71°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light showers	74 / 80 °F	100% · 0.43 in	6 mph ENE	5.2 ft	8:57 am	ECMWF
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	73 / 89 °F	20%	6 mph SE	4.5 ft	12:09 am · 9:07 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	71 / 89 °F	18% · 0.01 in	7 mph W	4.5 ft	8:57 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	74 / 89 °F	0%	4 mph SE	4.6 ft	8:14 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 88 °F	22% · 0.01 in	6 mph S	4.6 ft	7:22 am · 4:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	57%	6 mph SSW	4.3 ft	7:06 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	43% · 0.02 in	5 mph SSE	4.1 ft	7:06 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	31% · 0.05 in	5 mph SSE	3.6 ft	7:11 am · 7:29 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	72 / 88 °F	35%	5 mph WNW	3.7 ft	7:21 am · 8:04 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	69 / 87 °F	24%	4 mph SSW	4.5 ft	7:33 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	69 / 86 °F	22%	5 mph E	4.4 ft	7:46 am · 9:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	71 / 88 °F	18%	4 mph W	4.4 ft	7:59 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	69 / 89 °F	10%	5 mph SSW	4.8 ft	8:11 am · 10:09 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	71 / 88 °F	14%	4 mph SE	4.9 ft	8:21 am · 10:40 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Overcast	Drizzle	Light rain	Drizzle	Drizzle	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	79°	77°	76°	77°	75°	79°	79°	74°
Chance of rain	57%	78%	90%	100%	92%	80%	18%	6%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.02 in	0.03 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 ENE	4 NE	5 ESE	5 ENE	6 NE	5 NE	3 E	3 N
Humidity	82%	80%	98%	97%	96%	93%	87%	94%
UV	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	80°	89°	89°	89°	88°	89°	89°
AIFS	79°	89°	89°	89°	89°	90°	89°
GFS	79°	87°	88°	87°	89°	89°	88°
ICON	83°	87°	86°	86°	88°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.43 in	0	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0	0.02 in
AIFS	0.67 in	0	0	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
GFS	1.70 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.09 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	615	615	719	413	617	616	519
AIFS	6	4	5	4	4	4	5
GFS	620	65	88	75	76	64	75
ICON	48	612	613	714	613	714	714
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	20%	18%	0%	22%	57%	43%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	16%	0%	0%	53%	37%	29%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −58%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	85° / 67°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	86° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Well above +287%	86° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +83%	86° / 65°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +50%
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +126%
January	Normal −0.4 °F	A bit above +30%
February	Normal −0.7 °F	Well above +128%
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Naranjo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Naranjo is from December to April: highs of 88 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 34 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Naranjo, one or two a year; 13 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

88° 61°

JanJ
89° 60°

FebF
89° 60°

MarM
89° 61°

AprA
91° 66°

MayM
91° 72°

JunJ
91° 72°

JulJ
91° 72°

AugA
90° 72°

SepS
91° 71°

OctO
90° 67°

NovN
89° 63°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	88°	61°	0.79 in	2	7.0	81°	3.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	89°	60°	0.53 in	1	7.8	79°	3.8 ft	–
MarchMar	89°	60°	0.20 in	0	7.9	78°	4.2 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	61°	0.02 in	0	7.1	77°	4.5 ft	–
MayMay	91°	66°	0.30 in	1	7.0	80°	4.7 ft	1
JuneJun	91°	72°	5.96 in	14	6.2	83°	5.0 ft	7
JulyJul	91°	72°	8.68 in	22	6.7	86°	4.7 ft	2
AugustAug	91°	72°	11.03 in	23	6.7	86°	4.8 ft	6
SeptemberSep	90°	72°	12.36 in	22	5.8	85°	5.1 ft	10
OctoberOct	91°	71°	5.70 in	10	6.4	85°	4.7 ft	8
NovemberNov	90°	67°	1.33 in	2	7.6	84°	4.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	89°	63°	0.50 in	1	7.0	82°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.6 ft	–
Feb	79°	3.8 ft	–
Mar	78°	4.2 ft	–
Apr	77°	4.5 ft	–
May	80°	4.7 ft	1
Jun	83°	5.0 ft	7
Jul	86°	4.7 ft	2
Aug	86°	4.8 ft	6
Sep	85°	5.1 ft	10
Oct	85°	4.7 ft	8
Nov	84°	4.0 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.40 in of rain on about 98 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 84 °F

Tomorrow73 / 89 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 74 °F to 80 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 89 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.43 in
Thu 29 20%
Fri 30 18% 0.01 in
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 22% 0.01 in
Mon 2 57%
Tue 3 43% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.43 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 57% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.45 in; last 3 days, 0.78 in; last 7 days, 1.39 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds52%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.83

Rising now (+0.06 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	0.26 in	7 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.04 in	4 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.15 in	5 mph WSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.18 in	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.20 in	5 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.12 in	6 mph E
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 92 °F	0.02 in	5 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.04 in	5 mph W
Mon 19	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Sun 18	Rain	74 / 87 °F	0.33 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 17	Rain	74 / 84 °F	0.91 in	8 mph NE
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 91 °F	0.24 in	5 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 90 °F	0.40 in	6 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.02 in	6 mph WNW
Tue 13	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.07 in	5 mph NNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.18 in	6 mph E
Sun 11	Heavy rain	74 / 77 °F	6.81 in	20 mph E
Sat 10	Showers	76 / 80 °F	3.26 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.57 in	4 mph E
Thu 8	Showers	76 / 89 °F	1.14 in	5 mph NNE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	77 / 88 °F	0.85 in	5 mph NNE
Tue 6	Thunderstorm	77 / 89 °F	0.58 in	5 mph E
Mon 5	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.32 in	4 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NW
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.58 in	7 mph E
Fri 2	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.26 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light rain	74 / 89 °F	0.74 in	10 mph ESE
Wed 30	Rain	76 / 80 °F	3.20 in	11 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	0.56 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 28	Showers	78 / 86 °F	0.52 in	9 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El NaranjoQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Naranjo?

Light showers, from 74 °F to 80 °F, with a light air from the north-northeast (2 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Naranjo?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 20% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Naranjo?

The best time to visit El Naranjo is from December to April: highs of 88 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Naranjo in October?

In October, El Naranjo normally sees highs of 91 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 10 rainy days (5.70 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Naranjo?

The warmest is June, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is September (12.36 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in El Naranjo?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 34 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Naranjo, one or two a year; 13 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about El Naranjo today

Weather near El Naranjo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:19 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from