TidePlanet

Weather in Chamela

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:51 pm (CST)
Now · light drizzle 76 °F
Feels like
82 °F
Low / high
74 / 80 °F
Rain
100% · 0.67 in
Wind
4 mph E
↗ 29.93 inHg · rising

Today in Chamela: rain, 74 °F to 80 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.67 in) and a light breeze from the east (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 73 °F to 87 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 87 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Rain 74 / 80 °F 100% · 0.67 in 11 mph ESE 6.1 ft 9:18 am · 11:18 pm ECMWF
Thu 29 Light drizzle 73 / 87 °F 31% · 0.03 in 7 mph SE 5.1 ft 9:45 am ECMWF
Fri 30 Overcast 73 / 86 °F 2% 9 mph NW 5.1 ft 10:11 am ECMWF
Sat 31 Overcast 74 / 87 °F 0% 4 mph N 5.4 ft 10:20 am ECMWF
Sun 1 Partly cloudy 73 / 87 °F 16% 5 mph E 5.3 ft 7:17 am ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 76 / 87 °F 22% · 0.01 in 7 mph NW 5.1 ft 6:40 am · 5:20 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Overcast 76 / 86 °F 10% 6 mph ENE 4.5 ft 6:44 am · 6:23 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Overcast 75 / 86 °F 8% 6 mph NNW 4.7 ft 6:56 am · 7:08 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 71 / 84 °F 16% 9 mph NW 4.6 ft 7:10 am · 7:47 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Mainly clear 69 / 84 °F 10% 5 mph NNW 4.4 ft 7:26 am · 8:21 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Overcast 69 / 84 °F 10% 6 mph N 4.4 ft 7:43 am · 8:53 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 70 / 84 °F 6% 7 mph NW 4.9 ft 7:59 am · 9:22 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Mainly clear 70 / 86 °F 4% 4 mph NE 5.4 ft 8:15 am · 9:50 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 70 / 87 °F 8% 5 mph ESE 5.5 ft 8:32 am · 10:17 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Heavy drizzleLight drizzleLight drizzleRainLight rainDrizzleMainly clearMainly clear
Temperature 79°77°75°75°74°79°80°76°
Chance of rain 84%86%94%100%96%100%27%22%
Rain 0.05 in0.01 in0.01 in0.10 in0.06 in0.02 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 8 E6 E10 ESE10 ESE11 E9 ESE9 SE4 ESE
Humidity 82%88%98%98%97%88%77%81%
UV 00002300
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 80°87°86°87°87°87°86°
AIFS 78°87°87°87°87°87°87°
GFS 76°86°87°87°89°87°87°
ICON 82°88°88°88°88°89°87°
Confidence mediumhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.67 in0.03 in0000.01 in0
AIFS 0.90 in0.03 in000.02 in0.02 in0.02 in
GFS 0.91 in0.03 in0000.03 in0
ICON 0.46 in000000
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 1121717921414519719616
AIFS 13677676
GFS 113089812710655855
ICON 816819817817615616717
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%31%2%0%16%22%10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%45%0%0%13%10%10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.1 °F Below −88% Normal +0.4 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.5 °F Normal Normal +0.4 °F 84° / 74°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +0.9 °F Above +98% A bit above +0.7 °F 84° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.4 °F Well above +206% A bit above +1.4 °F 84° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.8 °F Above +84% Above +2.3 °F 84° / 73°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +2.3 °F A bit above +48% Above +2.5 °F
December A bit above +2.2 °F Well above +113% Above +3.1 °F
January A bit above +1.1 °F Normal Above +2.9 °F
February Normal +0.7 °F Above +99% Above +2.2 °F
March A bit above +1.3 °F Normal Above +2.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Chamela climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Chamela is from February to April: highs of 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chamela, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 89° 60° 1.31 in 2 6.8 80° 4.9 ft –
FebruaryFeb 88° 58° 0.41 in 1 7.6 78° 4.9 ft –
MarchMar 88° 58° 0.17 in 0 8.0 76° 5.1 ft –
AprilApr 88° 60° 0.04 in 0 7.2 75° 5.2 ft –
MayMay 91° 66° 0.19 in 1 7.1 79° 5.2 ft 1
JuneJun 92° 73° 4.19 in 13 6.4 82° 5.4 ft 5
JulyJul 92° 74° 5.84 in 22 6.7 85° 5.1 ft 2
AugustAug 92° 74° 8.54 in 24 6.7 86° 5.2 ft 8
SeptemberSep 91° 73° 10.35 in 22 5.9 85° 5.6 ft 7
OctoberOct 92° 72° 4.16 in 11 6.6 85° 5.2 ft 9
NovemberNov 91° 67° 1.42 in 3 7.5 83° 4.7 ft 1
DecemberDec 89° 62° 0.58 in 1 6.8 81° 4.9 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 80° 4.9 ft –
Feb 78° 4.9 ft –
Mar 76° 5.1 ft –
Apr 75° 5.2 ft –
May 79° 5.2 ft 1
Jun 82° 5.4 ft 5
Jul 85° 5.1 ft 2
Aug 86° 5.2 ft 8
Sep 85° 5.6 ft 7
Oct 85° 5.2 ft 9
Nov 83° 4.7 ft 1
Dec 81° 4.9 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 37.20 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 82 °F
Tomorrow73 / 87 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 74 °F to 80 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 100% 0.67 in
  • Thu 29 31% 0.03 in
  • Fri 30 2%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 16%
  • Mon 2 22% 0.01 in
  • Tue 3 10%

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.67 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.74 in; last 3 days, 1.04 in; last 7 days, 1.54 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%
Dew point70 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 70 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds33%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Rising now (+0.07 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 26
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Heavy drizzle75 / 82 °F0.21 in12 mph ESE
Mon 26 Drizzle76 / 87 °F0.17 in4 mph NE
Sun 25 Drizzle75 / 86 °F0.21 in7 mph ENE
Sat 24 Heavy drizzle76 / 87 °F0.15 in8 mph E
Fri 23 Drizzle78 / 89 °F0.11 in6 mph ESE
Thu 22 Light drizzle78 / 89 °F0.04 in6 mph SE
Wed 21 Overcast76 / 89 °F07 mph NW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Light drizzle77 / 90 °F0.02 in5 mph WNW
Mon 19 Overcast75 / 89 °F06 mph ESE
Sun 18 Rain73 / 84 °F0.68 in15 mph ESE
Sat 17 Rain74 / 83 °F1.11 in13 mph ENE
Fri 16 Light drizzle76 / 88 °F0.05 in8 mph N
Thu 15 Drizzle77 / 89 °F0.13 in7 mph E
Wed 14 Overcast76 / 89 °F08 mph NW
Tue 13 Light drizzle76 / 90 °F0.02 in7 mph E
Mon 12 Rain75 / 83 °F0.66 in14 mph ESE
Sun 11 Showers74 / 79 °F8.91 in28 mph ESE
Sat 10 Thunderstorm78 / 81 °F2.30 in9 mph N
Fri 9 Thunderstorm78 / 88 °F0.39 in6 mph N
Thu 8 Drizzle77 / 88 °F0.22 in8 mph SE
Wed 7 Light showers76 / 87 °F0.45 in5 mph E
Tue 6 Light drizzle78 / 89 °F0.06 in5 mph E
Mon 5 Showers78 / 88 °F0.56 in5 mph NNW
Sun 4 Light drizzle77 / 89 °F0.02 in7 mph ESE
Sat 3 Drizzle74 / 88 °F0.13 in9 mph ESE
Fri 2 Drizzle77 / 88 °F0.11 in11 mph SE
Thu 1 Heavy drizzle75 / 87 °F0.32 in12 mph SE
Wed 30 Light showers75 / 79 °F1.66 in15 mph ESE
Tue 29 Showers77 / 87 °F0.67 in14 mph ESE
Mon 28 Light showers79 / 89 °F0.43 in12 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChamelaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Chamela?

Rain, from 74 °F to 80 °F, with a light breeze from the east (4 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Chamela?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 31% (0.03 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Chamela?

The best time to visit Chamela is from February to April: highs of 88 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Chamela in October?

In October, Chamela normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.16 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Chamela?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 58 °F. The wettest is September (10.35 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Chamela?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chamela, one or two a year; 14 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about Chamela today

Weather near Chamela

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:51 pm (local time).

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