Weather in Barra de Navidad
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:07 am (CST)- Feels like
- 87 °F
- Low / high
- 77 / 85 °F
- Rain
- 25%
- Wind
- 3 mph ESE
Today in Barra de Navidad: overcast, 77 °F to 85 °F, with a 25% chance of rain and a light air from the east-southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 74 °F to 85 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 86 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 77 / 85 °F | 25% | 7 mph ESE | 4.9 ft | 12:09 am · 9:07 am | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 74 / 85 °F | 0% | 11 mph NW | 4.9 ft | 8:57 am | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 75 / 84 °F | 0% | 9 mph NW | 5.2 ft | 8:14 am | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 77 / 85 °F | 2% | 7 mph NE | 5.2 ft | 7:22 am · 4:40 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 79 / 85 °F | 13% | 6 mph ESE | 4.9 ft | 7:06 am · 6:03 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 79 / 86 °F | 14% · 0.02 in | 8 mph ESE | 4.6 ft | 7:06 am · 6:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 78 / 85 °F | 6% | 6 mph ESE | 4.3 ft | 7:11 am · 7:29 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 76 / 84 °F | 18% | 8 mph N | 4.2 ft | 7:21 am · 8:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 73 / 84 °F | 4% | 6 mph NW | 3.9 ft | 7:33 am · 8:37 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 74 / 83 °F | 10% | 6 mph WNW | 4.5 ft | 7:46 am · 9:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 74 / 84 °F | 4% | 8 mph NW | 4.9 ft | 7:59 am · 9:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 75 / 83 °F | 4% | 4 mph ESE | 5.6 ft | 8:11 am · 10:09 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 76 / 84 °F | 4% | 7 mph ESE | 5.6 ft | 8:21 am · 10:40 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 75 / 85 °F | 2% | 5 mph NW | 5.6 ft | 8:28 am · 11:16 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Mainly clear | Clear | Clear sky | Clear sky | Mainly clear | Clear sky | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 80° | 80° | 81° | 83° | 85° | 84° | 82° | 79° |
| Chance of rain | 2% | 20% | 24% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 7 ENE | 4 E | 2 ESE | 4 ESE | 6 S | 5 SSW | 4 W | 4 N |
| Humidity | 68% | 67% | 67% | 63% | 64% | 74% | 83% | 95% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 85° | 85° | 84° | 85° | 85° | 86° | 85° |
| AIFS | 87° | 86° | 85° | 86° | 86° | 86° | 86° |
| GFS | 86° | 86° | 86° | 88° | 88° | 87° | 87° |
| ICON | 87° | 87° | 87° | 88° | 87° | 87° | 88° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 |
| AIFS | 0.05 in | 0 | 0 | 0.05 in | 0.02 in | 0.05 in | 0.05 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | medium | high | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 712 | 1118 | 914 | 717 | 614 | 819 | 611 |
| AIFS | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| GFS | 66 | 815 | 69 | 47 | 56 | 55 | 66 |
| ICON | 816 | 816 | 614 | 714 | 613 | 715 | 817 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 25% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 6% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 61% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 16% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Below −78% | — | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.4 °F | Normal | — | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Normal +0.7 °F | Normal | — | 86° / 71° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Well above +265% | — | 86° / 71° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Above +79% | — | 86° / 70° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.2 °F | A bit above +45% | Above +2.3 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.0 °F | Well above +101% | Above +2.9 °F |
| January | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | Above +2.7 °F |
| February | Normal +0.4 °F | Well above +106% | A bit above +1.6 °F |
| March | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | Above +1.8 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Barra de Navidad climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Barra de Navidad is from February to May and in December: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 37 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Barra de Navidad, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 89° | 63° | 1.01 in | 2 | 7.0 | 81° | 3.6 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 89° | 62° | 0.37 in | 1 | 7.7 | 79° | 3.8 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 88° | 62° | 0.08 in | 0 | 7.9 | 78° | 4.2 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 87° | 63° | 0.02 in | 0 | 7.1 | 77° | 4.5 ft | – |
| MayMay | 89° | 68° | 0.24 in | 1 | 7.1 | 80° | 4.7 ft | 1 |
| JuneJun | 92° | 73° | 5.24 in | 13 | 6.6 | 83° | 5.0 ft | 7 |
| JulyJul | 93° | 74° | 6.33 in | 22 | 6.9 | 86° | 4.7 ft | 2 |
| AugustAug | 93° | 74° | 8.72 in | 24 | 6.8 | 86° | 4.8 ft | 7 |
| SeptemberSep | 92° | 74° | 10.62 in | 22 | 6.0 | 85° | 5.1 ft | 10 |
| OctoberOct | 92° | 74° | 4.46 in | 11 | 6.6 | 85° | 4.7 ft | 9 |
| NovemberNov | 91° | 70° | 1.44 in | 3 | 7.6 | 84° | 4.0 ft | 1 |
| DecemberDec | 89° | 66° | 0.41 in | 1 | 7.0 | 82° | 3.7 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 81° | 3.6 ft | – |
| Feb | 79° | 3.8 ft | – |
| Mar | 78° | 4.2 ft | – |
| Apr | 77° | 4.5 ft | – |
| May | 80° | 4.7 ft | 1 |
| Jun | 83° | 5.0 ft | 7 |
| Jul | 86° | 4.7 ft | 2 |
| Aug | 86° | 4.8 ft | 7 |
| Sep | 85° | 5.1 ft | 10 |
| Oct | 85° | 4.7 ft | 9 |
| Nov | 84° | 4.0 ft | 1 |
| Dec | 82° | 3.7 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 38.94 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 81 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 77 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 85 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 25%. No significant rain expected this week.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.45 in; last 3 days, 1.31 in; last 7 days, 1.89 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 66% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Showers | 76 / 82 °F | 0.90 in | 13 mph ESE |
| Tue 27 | Light showers | 77 / 83 °F | 0.39 in | 14 mph ESE |
| Mon 26 | Light showers | 76 / 87 °F | 0.24 in | 8 mph NNE |
| Sun 25 | Drizzle | 76 / 85 °F | 0.15 in | 11 mph ESE |
| Sat 24 | Light drizzle | 77 / 87 °F | 0.09 in | 13 mph E |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 80 / 86 °F | 0.07 in | 8 mph ESE |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 81 / 87 °F | 0.04 in | 8 mph ESE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 78 / 87 °F | 0 | 11 mph WNW |
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 78 / 87 °F | 0 | 8 mph WNW |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 78 / 86 °F | 0 | 6 mph NW |
| Sun 18 | Rain | 76 / 85 °F | 0.89 in | 16 mph ESE |
| Sat 17 | Light showers | 76 / 83 °F | 1.08 in | 16 mph ENE |
| Fri 16 | Drizzle | 78 / 87 °F | 0.07 in | 12 mph NNW |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 79 / 86 °F | 0.05 in | 7 mph E |
| Wed 14 | Overcast | 78 / 88 °F | 0 | 10 mph NW |
| Tue 13 | Overcast | 78 / 87 °F | 0 | 6 mph ENE |
| Mon 12 | Rain | 77 / 85 °F | 0.90 in | 12 mph E |
| Sun 11 | Heavy rain | 77 / 80 °F | 12.14 in | 31 mph ESE |
| Sat 10 | Showers | 78 / 80 °F | 3.24 in | 16 mph NNE |
| Fri 9 | Thunderstorm | 79 / 85 °F | 0.73 in | 7 mph NE |
| Thu 8 | Light showers | 77 / 87 °F | 0.70 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Wed 7 | Heavy drizzle | 78 / 86 °F | 0.44 in | 7 mph E |
| Tue 6 | Thunderstorm | 79 / 87 °F | 0.35 in | 9 mph NNE |
| Mon 5 | Drizzle | 78 / 86 °F | 0.18 in | 7 mph NNW |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 80 / 87 °F | 0.02 in | 7 mph NNE |
| Sat 3 | Light rain | 76 / 85 °F | 0.32 in | 10 mph ESE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 80 / 86 °F | 0.22 in | 13 mph ESE |
| Thu 1 | Showers | 76 / 86 °F | 0.84 in | 14 mph ESE |
| Wed 30 | Showers | 78 / 80 °F | 3.63 in | 20 mph ESE |
| Tue 29 | Light showers | 80 / 87 °F | 0.65 in | 24 mph ESE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Barra de NavidadQuestions
What's the weather like today in Barra de Navidad?
Overcast, from 77 °F to 85 °F, with a light air from the east-southeast (3 mph) and a 25% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Barra de Navidad?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.90 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Barra de Navidad?
The best time to visit Barra de Navidad is from February to May and in December: highs of 87 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Barra de Navidad in October?
In October, Barra de Navidad normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.46 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Barra de Navidad?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is September (10.62 in) and the driest, April.
When is hurricane season in Barra de Navidad?
Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 37 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Barra de Navidad, one or two a year; 15 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.
More about Barra de Navidad today
Weather near Barra de Navidad
- El Naranjo 76 °F · clear sky · 18 mi
- Manzanillo 76 °F · clear sky · 23 mi
- Chamela 75 °F · clear sky · 34 mi
- Cuyutlán 77 °F · clear sky · 45 mi
- La Placita de Morelos 75 °F · clear sky · 85 mi
- Boca de Tomatlán 77 °F · clear · 99 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:07 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from