Weather in Soanierana Ivongo
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:08 am (GMT+3)- Feels like
- 77 °F
- Low / high
- 71 / 85 °F
- Rain
- 20%
- Wind
- 4 mph NNW
Today in Soanierana Ivongo: clear sky, 71 °F to 85 °F, with a 20% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 73 °F to 84 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 85 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 71 / 85 °F | 20% | 16 mph NE | 2.4 ft | 3:17 am · 3:22 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 73 / 84 °F | 100% · 0.34 in | 11 mph ENE | 1.6 ft | 4:12 am · 4:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 72 / 79 °F | 40% · 0.02 in | 7 mph SE | 1.7 ft | 5:18 am · 5:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 73 / 81 °F | 53% · 0.08 in | 10 mph SE | 2.0 ft | 6:43 am · 7:05 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 72 / 81 °F | 65% · 0.08 in | 9 mph ESE | 1.8 ft | 8:20 am · 8:48 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 74 / 83 °F | 43% · 0.09 in | 9 mph ENE | 1.7 ft | 9:38 am · 10:02 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 73 / 82 °F | 39% · 0.09 in | 9 mph ENE | 1.4 ft | 10:36 am · 10:56 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 71 / 80 °F | 53% · 0.06 in | 7 mph SE | 1.1 ft | 11:23 am · 11:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 69 / 81 °F | 43% | 6 mph SE | 1.0 ft | 12:02 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 68 / 81 °F | 39% | 8 mph E | 2.3 ft | 12:21 am · 12:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 71 / 83 °F | 51% · 0.02 in | 8 mph ESE | 2.4 ft | 12:56 am · 1:06 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 74 / 81 °F | 68% · 0.21 in | 10 mph SSE | 3.2 ft | 1:28 am · 1:32 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 73 / 81 °F | 53% · 0.31 in | 11 mph SSE | 3.7 ft | 1:58 am · 1:57 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 71 / 78 °F | 37% · 0.65 in | 11 mph SSE | 4.7 ft | 2:27 am · 2:21 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear | Clear |
| Temperature | 73° | 72° | 72° | 83° | 84° | 82° | 79° | 77° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 10% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 3 NNW | 4 NNW | 5 NNW | 6 NE | 14 NE | 16 NE | 9 NE | 5 NNE |
| Humidity | 91% | 94% | 91% | 72% | 73% | 77% | 84% | 90% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 85° | 84° | 79° | 81° | 81° | 83° | 82° |
| AIFS | 85° | 85° | 82° | 82° | 82° | 84° | 84° |
| GFS | 89° | 91° | 84° | 89° | 88° | 86° | 86° |
| ICON | 93° | 97° | 86° | 84° | 83° | 88° | 88° |
| Confidence | medium | low | medium | medium | medium | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.34 in | 0.02 in | 0.08 in | 0.08 in | 0.09 in | 0.09 in |
| AIFS | 0.06 in | 0.31 in | 0.15 in | 0.19 in | 0.22 in | 0.09 in | 0.07 in |
| GFS | 0.02 in | 0.13 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0.49 in | 0.03 in | 0.10 in | 0.11 in | 0.02 in | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1631 | 1124 | 717 | 1021 | 923 | 921 | 920 |
| AIFS | 11 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| GFS | 1226 | 1320 | 1014 | 1121 | 1115 | 1113 | 99 |
| ICON | 1936 | 1026 | 917 | 1018 | 916 | 1121 | 1121 |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 20% | 100% | 40% | 53% | 65% | 43% | 39% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 39% | 81% | 58% | 23% | 17% | 23% | 17% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit below −34% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal | 80° / 70° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | 81° / 71° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal | 82° / 71° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal |
| December | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal |
| January | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit below −22% |
| March | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Soanierana Ivongo climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo is from September to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Soanierana Ivongo, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dumako, in February 2022.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 89° | 74° | 14.83 in | 28 | 6.2 | 83° | 2.2 ft | 6 |
| FebruaryFeb | 88° | 74° | 18.27 in | 25 | 5.5 | 83° | 2.2 ft | 3 |
| MarchMar | 88° | 73° | 19.26 in | 26 | 5.9 | 83° | 2.5 ft | 4 |
| AprilApr | 86° | 71° | 13.88 in | 22 | 7.1 | 82° | 2.6 ft | 1 |
| MayMay | 84° | 68° | 10.86 in | 20 | 6.9 | 80° | 2.6 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 81° | 66° | 10.70 in | 21 | 6.4 | 78° | 3.0 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 78° | 65° | 11.39 in | 22 | 6.5 | 76° | 3.1 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 79° | 65° | 7.56 in | 16 | 7.1 | 75° | 2.7 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 80° | 66° | 5.05 in | 12 | 7.7 | 76° | 2.5 ft | – |
| OctoberOct | 83° | 68° | 3.66 in | 10 | 8.4 | 78° | 2.2 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 86° | 71° | 4.93 in | 13 | 7.9 | 80° | 2.0 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 88° | 73° | 9.63 in | 22 | 6.9 | 82° | 2.0 ft | 1 |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 83° | 2.2 ft | 6 |
| Feb | 83° | 2.2 ft | 3 |
| Mar | 83° | 2.5 ft | 4 |
| Apr | 82° | 2.6 ft | 1 |
| May | 80° | 2.6 ft | – |
| Jun | 78° | 3.0 ft | – |
| Jul | 76° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Aug | 75° | 2.7 ft | – |
| Sep | 76° | 2.5 ft | – |
| Oct | 78° | 2.2 ft | – |
| Nov | 80° | 2.0 ft | – |
| Dec | 82° | 2.0 ft | 1 |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 130.01 in of rain on about 236 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 71 °F now (feels like 77 °F). Today, 71 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 84 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 20%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.34 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.39 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 69 / 83 °F | 0.01 in | 14 mph NNE |
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 72 / 81 °F | 0.08 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Mon 26 | Drizzle | 73 / 80 °F | 0.12 in | 9 mph SE |
| Sun 25 | Light drizzle | 72 / 81 °F | 0.06 in | 10 mph ESE |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 72 / 83 °F | 0 | 9 mph NE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 72 / 82 °F | 0.06 in | 12 mph NE |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 74 / 82 °F | 0.06 in | 14 mph NE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Mainly clear | 67 / 82 °F | 0 | 11 mph NNE |
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 70 / 81 °F | 0.01 in | 9 mph NE |
| Mon 19 | Light drizzle | 67 / 80 °F | 0.02 in | 8 mph SE |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 70 / 79 °F | 0.27 in | 11 mph SE |
| Sat 17 | Drizzle | 68 / 76 °F | 0.34 in | 7 mph SSE |
| Fri 16 | Drizzle | 67 / 78 °F | 0.31 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Thu 15 | Heavy drizzle | 67 / 78 °F | 0.33 in | 9 mph SSE |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 68 / 77 °F | 0.36 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Tue 13 | Light rain | 70 / 79 °F | 0.41 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Mon 12 | Light rain | 69 / 80 °F | 0.50 in | 12 mph SSE |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 71 / 80 °F | 0.12 in | 10 mph SE |
| Sat 10 | Overcast | 70 / 80 °F | 0 | 10 mph SE |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 68 / 81 °F | 0 | 9 mph NE |
| Thu 8 | Overcast | 69 / 81 °F | 0 | 9 mph ENE |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 71 / 78 °F | 0.09 in | 10 mph SE |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 71 / 79 °F | 0.15 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 71 / 79 °F | 0.19 in | 10 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 72 / 81 °F | 0.13 in | 8 mph SE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 70 / 80 °F | 0.06 in | 9 mph SE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 70 / 80 °F | 0.19 in | 9 mph SE |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 69 / 80 °F | 0.09 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 67 / 79 °F | 0.08 in | 8 mph SE |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 69 / 79 °F | 0.07 in | 9 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Soanierana IvongoQuestions
What's the weather like today in Soanierana Ivongo?
Clear sky, from 71 °F to 85 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph) and a 20% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Soanierana Ivongo?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.34 in): light showers.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.92 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo?
The best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo is from September to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Soanierana Ivongo in October?
In October, Soanierana Ivongo normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.66 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Soanierana Ivongo?
The warmest is January, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is March (19.26 in) and the driest, October.
When is cyclone season in Soanierana Ivongo?
Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Soanierana Ivongo, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dumako, in February 2022.
More about Soanierana Ivongo today
Weather near Soanierana Ivongo
- Ambodifotatra 75 °F · clear · 18 mi
- Fenoarivo Atsinanana 72 °F · partly cloudy · 34 mi
- Mananara 73 °F · mainly clear · 53 mi
- Mahavelona 76 °F · clear · 53 mi
- Vinanivao 73 °F · clear · 84 mi
- Toamasina 73 °F · clear · 86 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:08 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from