TidePlanet

Weather in Soanierana Ivongo

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:08 am (GMT+3)
Now · clear 71 °F
Feels like
77 °F
Low / high
71 / 85 °F
Rain
20%
Wind
4 mph NNW
→ 29.92 inHg · steady UV 12 · extreme

Today in Soanierana Ivongo: clear sky, 71 °F to 85 °F, with a 20% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 73 °F to 84 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Clear sky 71 / 85 °F 20% 16 mph NE 2.4 ft 3:17 am · 3:22 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Light showers 73 / 84 °F 100% · 0.34 in 11 mph ENE 1.6 ft 4:12 am · 4:15 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Light drizzle 72 / 79 °F 40% · 0.02 in 7 mph SE 1.7 ft 5:18 am · 5:26 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 73 / 81 °F 53% · 0.08 in 10 mph SE 2.0 ft 6:43 am · 7:05 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Light drizzle 72 / 81 °F 65% · 0.08 in 9 mph ESE 1.8 ft 8:20 am · 8:48 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 74 / 83 °F 43% · 0.09 in 9 mph ENE 1.7 ft 9:38 am · 10:02 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 73 / 82 °F 39% · 0.09 in 9 mph ENE 1.4 ft 10:36 am · 10:56 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 71 / 80 °F 53% · 0.06 in 7 mph SE 1.1 ft 11:23 am · 11:42 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 69 / 81 °F 43% 6 mph SE 1.0 ft 12:02 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Overcast 68 / 81 °F 39% 8 mph E 2.3 ft 12:21 am · 12:36 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Light drizzle 71 / 83 °F 51% · 0.02 in 8 mph ESE 2.4 ft 12:56 am · 1:06 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 74 / 81 °F 68% · 0.21 in 10 mph SSE 3.2 ft 1:28 am · 1:32 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Drizzle 73 / 81 °F 53% · 0.31 in 11 mph SSE 3.7 ft 1:58 am · 1:57 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Heavy drizzle 71 / 78 °F 37% · 0.65 in 11 mph SSE 4.7 ft 2:27 am · 2:21 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClear skyClear skyClear skyClear skyClearClear
Temperature 73°72°72°83°84°82°79°77°
Chance of rain 0%2%0%0%2%20%4%10%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 3 NNW4 NNW5 NNW6 NE14 NE16 NE9 NE5 NNE
Humidity 91%94%91%72%73%77%84%90%
UV 000711300
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 85°84°79°81°81°83°82°
AIFS 85°85°82°82°82°84°84°
GFS 89°91°84°89°88°86°86°
ICON 93°97°86°84°83°88°88°
Confidence mediumlowmediummediummediumhighmedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 00.34 in0.02 in0.08 in0.08 in0.09 in0.09 in
AIFS 0.06 in0.31 in0.15 in0.19 in0.22 in0.09 in0.07 in
GFS 0.02 in0.13 in00000
ICON 00.49 in0.03 in0.10 in0.11 in0.02 in0
Confidence mediummediummediummediummediummediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 163111247171021923921920
AIFS 11757677
GFS 12261320101411211115111399
ICON 19361026917101891611211121
Confidence mediumhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 20%100%40%53%65%43%39%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 39%81%58%23%17%23%17%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.8 °F A bit below −34% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +1.3 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal 80° / 70°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.4 °F Normal 81° / 71°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.3 °F Normal 82° / 71°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.4 °F Normal
December A bit above +2.2 °F Normal
January A bit above +2.5 °F Normal
February A bit above +2.5 °F A bit below −22%
March A bit above +2.5 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Soanierana Ivongo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo is from September to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Soanierana Ivongo, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dumako, in February 2022.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 89° 74° 14.83 in 28 6.2 83° 2.2 ft 6
FebruaryFeb 88° 74° 18.27 in 25 5.5 83° 2.2 ft 3
MarchMar 88° 73° 19.26 in 26 5.9 83° 2.5 ft 4
AprilApr 86° 71° 13.88 in 22 7.1 82° 2.6 ft 1
MayMay 84° 68° 10.86 in 20 6.9 80° 2.6 ft –
JuneJun 81° 66° 10.70 in 21 6.4 78° 3.0 ft –
JulyJul 78° 65° 11.39 in 22 6.5 76° 3.1 ft –
AugustAug 79° 65° 7.56 in 16 7.1 75° 2.7 ft –
SeptemberSep 80° 66° 5.05 in 12 7.7 76° 2.5 ft –
OctoberOct 83° 68° 3.66 in 10 8.4 78° 2.2 ft –
NovemberNov 86° 71° 4.93 in 13 7.9 80° 2.0 ft –
DecemberDec 88° 73° 9.63 in 22 6.9 82° 2.0 ft 1
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 83° 2.2 ft 6
Feb 83° 2.2 ft 3
Mar 83° 2.5 ft 4
Apr 82° 2.6 ft 1
May 80° 2.6 ft –
Jun 78° 3.0 ft –
Jul 76° 3.1 ft –
Aug 75° 2.7 ft –
Sep 76° 2.5 ft –
Oct 78° 2.2 ft –
Nov 80° 2.0 ft –
Dec 82° 2.0 ft 1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 130.01 in of rain on about 236 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 77 °F
Tomorrow73 / 84 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 77 °F). Today, 71 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 20%
  • Fri 30 100% 0.34 in
  • Sat 31 40% 0.02 in
  • Sun 1 53% 0.08 in
  • Mon 2 65% 0.08 in
  • Tue 3 43% 0.09 in
  • Wed 4 39% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 20%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.34 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.39 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%
Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 11 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 8

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 15
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle69 / 83 °F0.01 in14 mph NNE
Tue 27 Light drizzle72 / 81 °F0.08 in8 mph SSE
Mon 26 Drizzle73 / 80 °F0.12 in9 mph SE
Sun 25 Light drizzle72 / 81 °F0.06 in10 mph ESE
Sat 24 Overcast72 / 83 °F09 mph NE
Fri 23 Light drizzle72 / 82 °F0.06 in12 mph NE
Thu 22 Light drizzle74 / 82 °F0.06 in14 mph NE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Mainly clear67 / 82 °F011 mph NNE
Tue 20 Light drizzle70 / 81 °F0.01 in9 mph NE
Mon 19 Light drizzle67 / 80 °F0.02 in8 mph SE
Sun 18 Drizzle70 / 79 °F0.27 in11 mph SE
Sat 17 Drizzle68 / 76 °F0.34 in7 mph SSE
Fri 16 Drizzle67 / 78 °F0.31 in12 mph SSE
Thu 15 Heavy drizzle67 / 78 °F0.33 in9 mph SSE
Wed 14 Drizzle68 / 77 °F0.36 in8 mph SSE
Tue 13 Light rain70 / 79 °F0.41 in11 mph SSE
Mon 12 Light rain69 / 80 °F0.50 in12 mph SSE
Sun 11 Light drizzle71 / 80 °F0.12 in10 mph SE
Sat 10 Overcast70 / 80 °F010 mph SE
Fri 9 Overcast68 / 81 °F09 mph NE
Thu 8 Overcast69 / 81 °F09 mph ENE
Wed 7 Light drizzle71 / 78 °F0.09 in10 mph SE
Tue 6 Drizzle71 / 79 °F0.15 in11 mph SSE
Mon 5 Light drizzle71 / 79 °F0.19 in10 mph SE
Sun 4 Light drizzle72 / 81 °F0.13 in8 mph SE
Sat 3 Light drizzle70 / 80 °F0.06 in9 mph SE
Fri 2 Drizzle70 / 80 °F0.19 in9 mph SE
Thu 1 Light drizzle69 / 80 °F0.09 in7 mph ESE
Wed 30 Light drizzle67 / 79 °F0.08 in8 mph SE
Tue 29 Light drizzle69 / 79 °F0.07 in9 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Soanierana IvongoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Soanierana Ivongo?

Clear sky, from 71 °F to 85 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph) and a 20% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Soanierana Ivongo?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.34 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo?

The best time to visit Soanierana Ivongo is from September to October: highs of 80 °F to 83 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Soanierana Ivongo in October?

In October, Soanierana Ivongo normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.66 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Soanierana Ivongo?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is March (19.26 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Soanierana Ivongo?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Soanierana Ivongo, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Dumako, in February 2022.

More about Soanierana Ivongo today

Weather near Soanierana Ivongo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:08 am (local time).

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