Weather in Vinanivao

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:49 am (GMT+3)

Now · clear 71 °F

Feels like: 76 °F
Low / high: 71 / 85 °F
Rain: 74% · 0.06 in
Wind: 5 mph NNW

→ 29.93 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Vinanivao: light drizzle, 71 °F to 85 °F, with a 74% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 72 °F to 85 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 71°
Today
85° 72°
Fri 30
83° 71°
Sat 31
84° 73°
Sun 1
83° 72°
Mon 2
83° 71°
Tue 3
82° 70°
Wed 4
81° 68°
Thu 5
81° 71°
Fri 6
82° 67°
Sat 7
82° 72°
Sun 8
82° 71°
Mon 9
80° 73°
Tue 10
76° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	74% · 0.06 in	13 mph NNE	2.8 ft	3:45 am · 3:51 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	72 / 85 °F	100% · 0.18 in	12 mph NNE	2.7 ft	4:37 am · 4:43 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	71 / 83 °F	89% · 0.17 in	9 mph NE	2.3 ft	5:38 am · 5:50 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	73% · 0.03 in	8 mph NE	2.8 ft	6:54 am · 7:21 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	72 / 83 °F	45% · 0.11 in	9 mph NE	2.8 ft	8:22 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	38% · 0.05 in	7 mph NE	2.8 ft	9:43 am · 10:17 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	70 / 82 °F	30% · 0.05 in	8 mph E	2.6 ft	10:47 am · 11:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	68 / 81 °F	43% · 0.08 in	8 mph SSE	2.6 ft	11:38 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	45% · 0.13 in	8 mph SE	2.6 ft	12:03 am · 12:21 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	67 / 82 °F	60%	8 mph SSE	4.3 ft	12:44 am · 12:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	73% · 0.15 in	6 mph SE	4.3 ft	1:21 am · 1:32 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	67% · 0.20 in	10 mph SSE	5.4 ft	1:54 am · 2:02 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	73 / 80 °F	53% · 0.41 in	12 mph SSE	6.6 ft	2:27 am · 2:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light showers	72 / 76 °F	55% · 0.98 in	7 mph SE	7.7 ft	2:58 am · 2:58 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Light drizzle
Temperature	73°	71°	74°	83°	85°	83°	78°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	2%	0%	0%	67%	67%	14%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 N	5 NNW	6 N	8 NNE	10 NE	13 NE	11 NNE	10 N
Humidity	89%	92%	88%	67%	68%	71%	81%	86%
UV	0	0	0	7	10	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	85°	83°	84°	83°	83°	82°
AIFS	82°	82°	82°	82°	81°	81°	81°
GFS	84°	85°	82°	85°	84°	82°	82°
ICON	91°	90°	86°	87°	84°	85°	86°
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.18 in	0.17 in	0.03 in	0.11 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.03 in	0.11 in	0.17 in	0.12 in	0.13 in	0.05 in	0.05 in
GFS	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.07 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.01 in	0.69 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1328	1227	919	822	923	721	820
AIFS	14	14	10	9	9	8	8
GFS	2027	2123	1620	2124	1620	1416	1111
ICON	1934	1425	1018	1019	713	917	1017
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	74%	100%	89%	73%	45%	38%	30%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	58%	77%	86%	29%	63%	16%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	80° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	81° / 79°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	82° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Vinanivao climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Vinanivao is from September to November: highs of 79 °F to 84 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Vinanivao, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cheneso, in January 2023.

88° 74°

JanJ
87° 74°

FebF
87° 73°

MarM
85° 72°

AprA
83° 69°

MayM
80° 67°

JunJ
77° 66°

JulJ
77° 65°

AugA
79° 66°

SepS
82° 67°

OctO
84° 70°

NovN
86° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	88°	74°	13.08 in	26	6.3	83°	4.8 ft	5
FebruaryFeb	87°	74°	16.63 in	23	5.8	84°	4.6 ft	3
MarchMar	87°	73°	18.95 in	25	6.0	84°	5.2 ft	8
AprilApr	85°	72°	14.00 in	22	7.3	83°	5.4 ft	2
MayMay	83°	69°	9.25 in	19	7.5	81°	5.8 ft	–
JuneJun	80°	67°	8.76 in	21	7.1	78°	6.9 ft	–
JulyJul	77°	66°	9.27 in	22	6.9	76°	7.0 ft	–
AugustAug	77°	65°	7.09 in	18	7.8	75°	6.5 ft	–
SeptemberSep	79°	66°	4.68 in	13	8.3	76°	6.1 ft	–
OctoberOct	82°	67°	3.51 in	11	8.5	78°	5.2 ft	–
NovemberNov	84°	70°	4.14 in	12	7.9	80°	4.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	72°	9.56 in	19	6.8	82°	4.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	4.8 ft	5
Feb	84°	4.6 ft	3
Mar	84°	5.2 ft	8
Apr	83°	5.4 ft	2
May	81°	5.8 ft	–
Jun	78°	6.9 ft	–
Jul	76°	7.0 ft	–
Aug	75°	6.5 ft	–
Sep	76°	6.1 ft	–
Oct	78°	5.2 ft	–
Nov	80°	4.5 ft	–
Dec	82°	4.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 118.91 in of rain on about 232 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 76 °F

Tomorrow72 / 85 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 76 °F). Today, 71 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 74% 0.06 in
Fri 30 100% 0.18 in
Sat 31 89% 0.17 in
Sun 1 73% 0.03 in
Mon 2 45% 0.11 in
Tue 3 38% 0.05 in
Wed 4 30% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 74%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.18 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.09 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.30 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds7%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 12 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 29.84

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 18

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.11 in	10 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SE
Mon 26	Overcast	73 / 83 °F	0	8 mph ESE
Sun 25	Overcast	67 / 83 °F	0	8 mph S
Sat 24	Overcast	69 / 83 °F	0	10 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.13 in	11 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	0.03 in	8 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.24 in	9 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.13 in	10 mph SE
Sat 17	Drizzle	68 / 79 °F	0.26 in	10 mph SE
Fri 16	Drizzle	69 / 77 °F	0.23 in	11 mph SE
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.37 in	10 mph SE
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	70 / 81 °F	0.37 in	10 mph SE
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SE
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.31 in	11 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	72 / 81 °F	0.05 in	10 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.02 in	8 mph SSE
Fri 9	Overcast	65 / 81 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Thu 8	Overcast	69 / 82 °F	0	6 mph E
Wed 7	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.16 in	9 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SE
Sat 3	Overcast	72 / 81 °F	0	7 mph SE
Fri 2	Overcast	70 / 81 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	66 / 80 °F	0.02 in	7 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	65 / 79 °F	0.12 in	9 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in VinanivaoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Vinanivao?

Light drizzle, from 71 °F to 85 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph) and a 74% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Vinanivao?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.18 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Vinanivao?

The best time to visit Vinanivao is from September to November: highs of 79 °F to 84 °F, about 12 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Vinanivao in October?

In October, Vinanivao normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.51 in for the month) and 9 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Vinanivao?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is March (18.95 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Vinanivao?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Vinanivao, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cheneso, in January 2023.

More about Vinanivao today

Weather near Vinanivao

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:49 am (local time).

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