Weather in Mananara

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:24 am (GMT+3)

Now · mainly clear 75 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 73 / 84 °F
Rain: 21%
Wind: 4 mph NNW

→ 29.96 inHg · steady UV 11 · very high

Today in Mananara: mainly clear, 73 °F to 84 °F, with a 21% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 74 °F to 85 °F and a 84% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 73°
Today
85° 74°
Fri 30
83° 72°
Sat 31
85° 74°
Sun 1
84° 75°
Mon 2
84° 74°
Tue 3
82° 73°
Wed 4
82° 71°
Thu 5
81° 70°
Fri 6
83° 69°
Sat 7
83° 71°
Sun 8
82° 73°
Mon 9
82° 72°
Tue 10
82° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Mainly clear	73 / 84 °F	21%	8 mph NNE	2.8 ft	3:38 am · 3:45 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	84% · 0.19 in	9 mph NNE	2.6 ft	4:30 am · 4:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	65% · 0.04 in	8 mph SE	2.3 ft	5:33 am · 5:47 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	64% · 0.09 in	8 mph E	2.8 ft	6:51 am · 7:20 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	69% · 0.09 in	8 mph ESE	3.0 ft	8:22 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	74 / 84 °F	71% · 0.15 in	7 mph E	2.9 ft	9:43 am · 10:15 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	59% · 0.09 in	8 mph ESE	2.8 ft	10:47 am · 11:13 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	53% · 0.04 in	9 mph SE	2.6 ft	11:37 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	49% · 0.09 in	9 mph SE	2.8 ft	12:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	69 / 83 °F	42% · 0.06 in	7 mph SE	2.7 ft	12:40 am · 12:56 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	61% · 0.14 in	8 mph SE	2.8 ft	1:16 am · 1:28 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	73 / 82 °F	58% · 0.20 in	12 mph SSE	3.7 ft	1:50 am · 1:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	40% · 0.13 in	13 mph SSE	4.6 ft	2:21 am · 2:25 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	44% · 0.08 in	13 mph SSE	5.1 ft	2:51 am · 2:51 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	75°	73°	74°	82°	84°	83°	79°	78°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	2%	0%	4%	8%	8%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 NNE	2 NW	4 NNW	5 NNE	6 NE	7 NE	3 ENE	3 NNW
Humidity	93%	98%	90%	70%	65%	75%	89%	91%
UV	0	0	0	7	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	85°	83°	85°	84°	84°	82°
AIFS	84°	85°	84°	84°	83°	84°	83°
GFS	89°	91°	88°	91°	91°	89°	88°
ICON	91°	93°	87°	88°	86°	88°	88°
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.19 in	0.04 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.15 in	0.09 in
AIFS	0.07 in	0.14 in	0.10 in	0.17 in	0.20 in	0.09 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.01 in	0.06 in	0.10 in	0.01 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.01 in	0.54 in	0.02 in	0	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	819	921	821	822	822	721	820
AIFS	11	10	8	9	9	8	8
GFS	919	814	811	915	1013	89	87
ICON	1425	1126	1121	1221	1018	1222	1221
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	21%	84%	65%	64%	69%	71%	59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	59%	90%	58%	29%	10%	19%	19%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −35%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	80° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	81° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	81° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Mananara climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mananara is from September to November: highs of 80 °F to 86 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mananara, about 6 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cheneso, in January 2023.

89° 74°

JanJ
88° 73°

FebF
88° 73°

MarM
87° 71°

AprA
84° 67°

MayM
81° 65°

JunJ
78° 64°

JulJ
79° 64°

AugA
80° 65°

SepS
83° 67°

OctO
86° 69°

NovN
88° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	74°	13.85 in	29	6.4	83°	3.3 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	88°	73°	16.09 in	25	5.7	84°	3.2 ft	3
MarchMar	88°	73°	16.24 in	27	6.1	84°	3.6 ft	7
AprilApr	87°	71°	9.50 in	23	7.3	82°	3.9 ft	2
MayMay	84°	67°	5.45 in	20	7.5	81°	4.2 ft	–
JuneJun	81°	65°	6.72 in	22	6.8	78°	4.9 ft	–
JulyJul	78°	64°	6.24 in	23	6.7	76°	5.0 ft	–
AugustAug	79°	64°	4.97 in	17	7.3	75°	4.7 ft	–
SeptemberSep	80°	65°	3.85 in	13	8.0	76°	4.5 ft	–
OctoberOct	83°	67°	3.56 in	12	8.3	78°	3.8 ft	–
NovemberNov	86°	69°	4.28 in	15	7.8	80°	3.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	88°	72°	9.08 in	23	6.9	82°	3.2 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	3.3 ft	4
Feb	84°	3.2 ft	3
Mar	84°	3.6 ft	7
Apr	82°	3.9 ft	2
May	81°	4.2 ft	–
Jun	78°	4.9 ft	–
Jul	76°	5.0 ft	–
Aug	75°	4.7 ft	–
Sep	76°	4.5 ft	–
Oct	78°	3.8 ft	–
Nov	80°	3.3 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.2 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 99.84 in of rain on about 246 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow74 / 85 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 73 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 21%
Fri 30 84% 0.19 in
Sat 31 65% 0.04 in
Sun 1 64% 0.09 in
Mon 2 69% 0.09 in
Tue 3 71% 0.15 in
Wed 4 59% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 21%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 84% and 0.19 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.38 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds26%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 29.84

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	73 / 83 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	0.06 in	8 mph SE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SE
Sat 24	Overcast	70 / 83 °F	0	9 mph E
Fri 23	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.11 in	9 mph ENE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.12 in	11 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	0.06 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.02 in	8 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SE
Sun 18	Drizzle	69 / 78 °F	0.24 in	11 mph SE
Sat 17	Drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.19 in	10 mph SSE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	67 / 79 °F	0.13 in	13 mph SSE
Thu 15	Drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.30 in	10 mph SSE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.11 in	11 mph SE
Tue 13	Drizzle	69 / 78 °F	0.22 in	11 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.11 in	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.06 in	11 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	70 / 82 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	67 / 82 °F	0.02 in	7 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	67 / 81 °F	0.01 in	6 mph ESE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	68 / 77 °F	0.12 in	9 mph SSE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.06 in	12 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.16 in	11 mph SSE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.02 in	9 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.14 in	8 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.06 in	9 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MananaraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mananara?

Mainly clear, from 73 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (4 mph) and a 21% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mananara?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 84% (0.19 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mananara?

The best time to visit Mananara is from September to November: highs of 80 °F to 86 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mananara in October?

In October, Mananara normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 12 rainy days (3.56 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mananara?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is March (16.24 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Mananara?

Cyclone season: from January to March, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mananara, about 6 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Cheneso, in January 2023.

More about Mananara today

Weather near Mananara

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:24 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from