Weather in Fenoarivo Atsinanana

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:26 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 88 °F

Feels like: 98 °F
Low / high: 71 / 88 °F
Rain: 51% · 0.05 in
Wind: 10 mph NE

↘ 29.89 inHg · falling UV 12 · extreme

Today in Fenoarivo Atsinanana: light drizzle, 71 °F to 88 °F, with a 51% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a gentle breeze from the northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, showers, 71 °F to 80 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 88 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

88° 71°
Today
80° 71°
Fri 30
81° 71°
Sat 31
86° 74°
Sun 1
83° 74°
Mon 2
85° 74°
Tue 3
85° 73°
Wed 4
85° 72°
Thu 5
84° 70°
Fri 6
83° 70°
Sat 7
84° 73°
Sun 8
84° 73°
Mon 9
83° 71°
Tue 10
84° 70°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	71 / 88 °F	51% · 0.05 in	12 mph NNE	5.3 ft	3:09 am · 3:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	71 / 80 °F	100% · 1.50 in	6 mph ESE	4.9 ft	4:05 am · 4:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	69% · 0.08 in	9 mph ESE	3.9 ft	5:15 am · 5:17 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	79% · 0.15 in	10 mph SE	4.1 ft	6:44 am · 7:01 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	74 / 83 °F	100% · 0.18 in	10 mph ESE	4.4 ft	8:18 am · 8:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	69% · 0.16 in	9 mph NE	4.4 ft	9:33 am · 9:53 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	46% · 0.01 in	8 mph NE	3.9 ft	10:30 am · 10:47 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	50% · 0.09 in	8 mph ESE	3.3 ft	11:15 am · 11:32 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	40% · 0.06 in	8 mph SE	3.7 ft	11:53 am	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	29% · 0.06 in	9 mph SSE	4.7 ft	12:12 am · 12:27 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	55% · 0.23 in	9 mph ESE	5.1 ft	12:47 am · 12:57 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	71% · 0.18 in	9 mph SE	5.0 ft	1:20 am · 1:24 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	71 / 83 °F	61% · 0.21 in	9 mph E	4.9 ft	1:51 am · 1:48 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	49% · 0.03 in	9 mph NE	4.9 ft	2:20 am · 2:10 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	74°	72°	72°	85°	88°	84°	80°	77°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	16%	49%	45%	24%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 NNW	2 WNW	2 NW	5 NNE	11 NE	12 NE	7 NE	2 N
Humidity	91%	99%	97%	65%	63%	69%	82%	95%
UV	0	0	0	8	12	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	88°	80°	81°	86°	83°	85°	85°
AIFS	86°	84°	81°	83°	83°	84°	85°
GFS	90°	93°	85°	90°	89°	88°	86°
ICON	89°	86°	82°	83°	83°	85°	86°
Confidence	high	low	high	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.05 in	1.50 in	0.08 in	0.15 in	0.18 in	0.16 in	0.01 in
AIFS	0.15 in	0.53 in	0.21 in	0.19 in	0.23 in	0.16 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.15 in	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
ICON	0	0.74 in	0.01 in	0.08 in	0.03 in	0.07 in	0.01 in
Confidence	medium	medium	low	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1226	619	918	1022	1023	922	822
AIFS	10	5	6	8	7	7	7
GFS	1131	1024	818	1021	917	1015	812
ICON	1833	1123	1019	1019	1018	1121	1323
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	51%	100%	69%	79%	100%	69%	46%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	27%	90%	71%	42%	39%	52%	48%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −35%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	81° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	83° / 70°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	83° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −25%
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Fenoarivo Atsinanana climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Fenoarivo Atsinanana is from September to October: highs of 79 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fenoarivo Atsinanana, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Faida, in February 2025.

88° 73°

JanJ
87° 72°

FebF
87° 71°

MarM
86° 69°

AprA
83° 65°

MayM
80° 63°

JunJ
77° 62°

JulJ
77° 62°

AugA
79° 63°

SepS
82° 65°

OctO
84° 69°

NovN
87° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	88°	73°	12.38 in	27	5.9	83°	2.2 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	87°	72°	17.01 in	24	5.3	83°	2.2 ft	4
MarchMar	87°	71°	16.56 in	25	5.8	83°	2.5 ft	2
AprilApr	86°	69°	9.14 in	21	6.7	82°	2.6 ft	1
MayMay	83°	65°	7.54 in	18	6.7	80°	2.6 ft	–
JuneJun	80°	63°	6.52 in	19	6.2	78°	3.0 ft	–
JulyJul	77°	62°	6.45 in	20	6.6	76°	3.1 ft	–
AugustAug	77°	62°	5.11 in	14	6.8	75°	2.7 ft	–
SeptemberSep	79°	63°	4.11 in	10	7.4	76°	2.5 ft	–
OctoberOct	82°	65°	3.87 in	8	8.1	78°	2.2 ft	–
NovemberNov	84°	69°	5.33 in	12	7.7	80°	2.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	87°	70°	10.77 in	20	6.9	82°	2.0 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	2.2 ft	4
Feb	83°	2.2 ft	4
Mar	83°	2.5 ft	2
Apr	82°	2.6 ft	1
May	80°	2.6 ft	–
Jun	78°	3.0 ft	–
Jul	76°	3.1 ft	–
Aug	75°	2.7 ft	–
Sep	76°	2.5 ft	–
Oct	78°	2.2 ft	–
Nov	80°	2.0 ft	–
Dec	82°	2.0 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 104.80 in of rain on about 217 days and about 2,450 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now88 °Ffeels like 98 °F

Tomorrow71 / 80 °F

It's 88 °F now (feels like 98 °F). Today, 71 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 51% 0.05 in
Fri 30 100% 1.50 in
Sat 31 69% 0.08 in
Sun 1 79% 0.15 in
Mon 2 100% 0.18 in
Tue 3 69% 0.16 in
Wed 4 46% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 51%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 1.50 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.39 in; last 7 days, 1.00 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity62%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 62% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.4 migood

Clouds47%

Visibility is good now (7.4 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now12

Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 12 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 30.03

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.10 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	0.02 in	12 mph NNE
Tue 27	Drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.20 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 26	Drizzle	73 / 83 °F	0.39 in	8 mph SE
Sun 25	Drizzle	74 / 82 °F	0.27 in	10 mph SSE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.06 in	11 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	0.05 in	11 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	68 / 83 °F	0.04 in	8 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	0.10 in	9 mph SE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	66 / 78 °F	0.14 in	9 mph SSE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	68 / 79 °F	0.11 in	11 mph SSE
Thu 15	Heavy drizzle	67 / 77 °F	0.30 in	9 mph SSE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	0.19 in	11 mph SSE
Tue 13	Drizzle	69 / 79 °F	0.41 in	11 mph SSE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.11 in	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.11 in	10 mph SE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.03 in	9 mph ESE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NE
Thu 8	Overcast	67 / 86 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SSE
Mon 5	Drizzle	71 / 81 °F	0.17 in	10 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.05 in	10 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.04 in	10 mph SE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.09 in	7 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.13 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	69 / 83 °F	0.08 in	9 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Fenoarivo AtsinananaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Fenoarivo Atsinanana?

Light drizzle, from 71 °F to 88 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (10 mph) and a 51% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Fenoarivo Atsinanana?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (1.50 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.89 inHg and falling: −0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Fenoarivo Atsinanana?

The best time to visit Fenoarivo Atsinanana is from September to October: highs of 79 °F to 82 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Fenoarivo Atsinanana in October?

In October, Fenoarivo Atsinanana normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 65 °F, with about 8 rainy days (3.87 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Fenoarivo Atsinanana?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is February (17.01 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Fenoarivo Atsinanana?

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fenoarivo Atsinanana, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Faida, in February 2025.

More about Fenoarivo Atsinanana today

Weather near Fenoarivo Atsinanana

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:26 am (local time).

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