TidePlanet

Weather in Jamaica Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:09 am (CDT)
Now · partly cloudy 73 °F
Feels like
72 °F
Low / high
72 / 79 °F
Rain
1%
Wind
9 mph ESE
→ 30.09 inHg · steady

Today in Jamaica Beach: overcast, 72 °F to 79 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (9 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 78 °F and a 22% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 80 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (31%).

Measured now at the airport

Galveston/Scholes (KGLS), 8.9 mi away · 17 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature71 °F
Wind6 mph from the east-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Overcast 72 / 79 °F 1% 12 mph ESE 1.6 ft 1:18 am HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Drizzle 73 / 78 °F 22% · 0.02 in 15 mph E 2.2 ft 2:36 am NBM
Sat 31 Drizzle 72 / 79 °F 31% · 0.08 in 11 mph ESE 1.7 ft 7:37 am NBM
Sun 1 Light drizzle 73 / 79 °F 6% 9 mph E 1.2 ft 6:35 am NBM
Mon 2 Light drizzle 74 / 80 °F 3% 14 mph SE 2.0 ft 4:56 am NBM
Tue 3 Thunderstorm 70 / 79 °F 52% · 0.55 in 15 mph S 2.4 ft 5:14 am · 3:14 pm NBM
Wed 4 Light rain 66 / 75 °F 42% · 0.32 in 13 mph NW 2.6 ft 5:32 am · 5:16 pm NBM
Thu 5 Clear sky 64 / 74 °F 5% · 0.02 in 13 mph N 1.9 ft 5:49 am · 6:48 pm NBM
Fri 6 Mainly clear 63 / 71 °F 4% 13 mph NE 1.6 ft 6:04 am · 8:04 pm NBM
Sat 7 Overcast 64 / 72 °F 8% 11 mph E — 6:12 am · 9:06 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 65 / 73 °F 9% · 0.05 in 12 mph ESE — 5:59 am · 9:58 pm NBM
Mon 9 Drizzle 57 / 71 °F 22% · 0.19 in 12 mph NNW — 10:44 pm NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 51 / 67 °F 22% 9 mph NNE — 11:31 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Rain 57 / 71 °F 18% · 1.54 in 7 mph ENE — — ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 11:00 pm; then NBM until Monday 9 1:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 9:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Partly cloudyOvercastMainly clearPartly cloudyPartly cloudyMainly clearClear skyPartly cloudy
Temperature 73°73°73°76°78°78°74°72°
Chance of rain 0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 10 SE11 ESE10 ESE10 E12 E12 E12 ESE11 ESE
Humidity 71%71%67%63%59%58%63%60%
UV 00016400
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 80°78°82°81°81°80°71°
AIFS 81°76°80°82°82°82°77°
GFS 79°78°84°82°82°83°78°
ICON 78°75°79°80°77°79°80°
HRRR 79°78°—————
NBM 78°78°79°79°80°79°75°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 00.14 in0.11 in0.08 in0.06 in1.02 in0.06 in
AIFS 00.25 in0.35 in0.06 in0.07 in0.52 in0.02 in
GFS 00.00 in0.04 in00.00 in0.33 in0
ICON 00.03 in0.05 in000.46 in0.71 in
HRRR 00—————
NBM 00.02 in0.08 in000.55 in0.32 in
Confidence highmediumhighmediummediumhighlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 11201324717721133019311632
AIFS 101066111111
GFS 13141519914811122320251527
ICON 9199196147177161021613
HRRR 12181620—————
NBM 131615191114911141815191316
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediumhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 4%59%83%56%40%80%47%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%45%55%3%6%71%26%
NBM (NOAA) 1%22%31%6%3%52%42%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%22%23%18%11%32%24%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +2.0 °F Above +78% Above +2.3 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal −0.5 °F Normal A bit above +1.4 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +25% A bit above +1.4 °F 70° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal −0.7 °F Above +63% A bit above +0.7 °F 67° / 63°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit below −1.6 °F A bit above +36% Normal −0.2 °F 64° / 60°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November Normal +0.4 °F A bit above +40% A bit above +0.9 °F
December Normal −0.7 °F A bit above +21% Normal +0.2 °F
January A bit below −1.1 °F Normal Normal −0.4 °F
February A bit below −2.0 °F A bit above +23% A bit below −1.3 °F
March A bit below −1.3 °F Normal A bit below −1.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Jamaica Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Jamaica Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 75 °F to 81 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Jamaica Beach, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 60° 48° 3.97 in 9 4.4 59° 3.1 ft –
FebruaryFeb 63° 51° 2.72 in 7 3.8 60° 3.1 ft –
MarchMar 69° 58° 2.80 in 7 5.3 64° 3.1 ft –
AprilApr 75° 64° 2.62 in 8 6.5 71° 3.1 ft –
MayMay 81° 71° 3.68 in 10 7.9 78° 3.0 ft –
JuneJun 87° 76° 5.43 in 12 8.6 83° 2.8 ft 2
JulyJul 89° 78° 4.98 in 13 8.8 85° 2.3 ft 2
AugustAug 89° 78° 4.82 in 13 8.3 86° 2.2 ft 3
SeptemberSep 86° 74° 6.97 in 12 7.1 84° 2.5 ft 6
OctoberOct 79° 66° 4.64 in 8 6.3 78° 2.9 ft 1
NovemberNov 70° 57° 4.27 in 8 4.9 70° 3.2 ft –
DecemberDec 62° 50° 4.24 in 9 3.9 63° 3.2 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 59° 3.1 ft –
Feb 60° 3.1 ft –
Mar 64° 3.1 ft –
Apr 71° 3.1 ft –
May 78° 3.0 ft –
Jun 83° 2.8 ft 2
Jul 85° 2.3 ft 2
Aug 86° 2.2 ft 3
Sep 84° 2.5 ft 6
Oct 78° 2.9 ft 1
Nov 70° 3.2 ft –
Dec 63° 3.2 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 51.14 in of rain on about 115 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now73 °Ffeels like 72 °F
Tomorrow73 / 78 °F

It's 73 °F now (feels like 72 °F). Today, 72 °F to 79 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 78 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 1%
  • Fri 30 22% 0.02 in
  • Sat 31 31% 0.08 in
  • Sun 1 6%
  • Mon 2 3%
  • Tue 3 52% 0.55 in
  • Wed 4 42% 0.32 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 31% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.37 in; last 7 days, 0.37 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity65%
Dew point60 °F

Humidity is 65% now and the dew point is 60 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now16 migood
Clouds76%

Visibility is good now (16 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak6moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 5 · Sun 1: 6

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 51
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light showers69 / 82 °F0.37 in12 mph ESE
Tue 27 Light rain66 / 75 °F0.37 in11 mph ENE
Mon 26 Overcast65 / 80 °F011 mph ENE
Sun 25 Overcast67 / 79 °F013 mph E
Sat 24 Mainly clear64 / 83 °F012 mph E
Fri 23 Clear sky56 / 85 °F08 mph E
Thu 22 Clear sky60 / 83 °F07 mph ENE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast69 / 82 °F08 mph ENE
Tue 20 Overcast60 / 81 °F011 mph NE
Mon 19 Overcast58 / 79 °F015 mph ENE
Sun 18 Overcast53 / 73 °F09 mph NNE
Sat 17 Overcast55 / 70 °F016 mph N
Fri 16 Drizzle64 / 77 °F0.18 in20 mph N
Thu 15 Drizzle74 / 88 °F0.07 in6 mph SE
Wed 14 Light drizzle77 / 87 °F0.04 in13 mph SSE
Tue 13 Light drizzle78 / 90 °F0.10 in13 mph SSE
Mon 12 Drizzle77 / 87 °F0.22 in13 mph SE
Sun 11 Partly cloudy70 / 87 °F010 mph SE
Sat 10 Light drizzle63 / 84 °F0.01 in10 mph ESE
Fri 9 Clear sky68 / 88 °F09 mph NNE
Thu 8 Clear sky72 / 89 °F012 mph NE
Wed 7 Overcast73 / 88 °F010 mph NNE
Tue 6 Overcast72 / 87 °F011 mph NNE
Mon 5 Light rain71 / 83 °F0.53 in15 mph NNE
Sun 4 Showers75 / 78 °F0.97 in14 mph NNE
Sat 3 Thunderstorm76 / 82 °F0.73 in10 mph NE
Fri 2 Drizzle74 / 89 °F0.15 in6 mph NNE
Thu 1 Thunderstorm80 / 89 °F0.21 in14 mph SSE
Wed 30 Light drizzle80 / 91 °F0.02 in13 mph SE
Tue 29 Drizzle76 / 86 °F0.13 in12 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Jamaica BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Jamaica Beach?

Overcast, from 72 °F to 79 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (9 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Jamaica Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 22% (0.02 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 80 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.09 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Jamaica Beach?

The best time to visit Jamaica Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 75 °F to 81 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Jamaica Beach in October?

In October, Jamaica Beach normally sees highs of 79 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.64 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 78 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Jamaica Beach?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 48 °F. The wettest is September (6.97 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Jamaica Beach?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Jamaica Beach, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Beryl, in July 2024.

More about Jamaica Beach today

Weather near Jamaica Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:09 am (local time).

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