Weather in Santa Paula
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:34 am (PDT)- Feels like
- 61 °F
- Low / high
- 59 / 74 °F
- Rain
- 4% · 0.01 in
- Wind
- 2 mph WNW
Today in Santa Paula: light drizzle, 59 °F to 74 °F, with a 4% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the west-northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 58 °F to 70 °F and a 36% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 76 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (72%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 59 / 74 °F | 4% · 0.01 in | 11 mph S | 2.4 ft | HRRR + NBM | |
| Fri 30 | 58 / 70 °F | 36% · 0.03 in | 8 mph S | 2.4 ft | NBM | |
| Sat 31 | 57 / 67 °F | 72% · 0.14 in | 5 mph E | 2.4 ft | NBM | |
| Sun 1 | 56 / 71 °F | 67% · 0.19 in | 14 mph N | 6.4 ft | NBM | |
| Mon 2 | 53 / 76 °F | 0% | 10 mph NNE | 4.2 ft | NBM | |
| Tue 3 | 56 / 76 °F | 5% | 9 mph NNW | 2.8 ft | NBM | |
| Wed 4 | 56 / 74 °F | 5% | 7 mph NW | 2.8 ft | NBM | |
| Thu 5 | 55 / 74 °F | 2% | 7 mph NNW | 3.0 ft | NBM | |
| Fri 6 | 55 / 72 °F | 3% | 11 mph NNW | 5.8 ft | NBM | |
| Sat 7 | 55 / 72 °F | 6% · 0.02 in | 10 mph N | 5.6 ft | NBM | |
| Sun 8 | 55 / 75 °F | 4% | 9 mph NE | 3.6 ft | NBM + ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 59 / 82 °F | 4% | 6 mph S | 3.7 ft | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 64 / 89 °F | 8% | 11 mph ENE | 3.5 ft | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 62 / 86 °F | 12% | 5 mph ESE | 5.6 ft | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 5:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Light drizzle | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast |
| Temperature | 62° | 60° | 59° | 64° | 74° | 72° | 67° | 63° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 2 SSW | 4 E | 4 ESE | 3 E | 4 S | 9 SW | 6 SSW | 2 S |
| Humidity | 72% | 78% | 78% | 76% | 55% | 64% | 72% | 100% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | HRRR | NBM |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 73° | 72° | 68° | 71° | 79° | 83° | 78° |
| AIFS | 68° | 68° | 64° | 65° | 70° | 73° | 68° |
| GFS | 74° | 73° | 71° | 73° | 79° | 79° | 76° |
| ICON | 75° | 72° | 66° | 72° | 74° | 78° | 76° |
| HRRR | 74° | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 73° | 70° | 67° | 71° | 76° | 76° | 74° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.01 in | 0.06 in | 0.13 in | 0.07 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.52 in | 0.43 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GFS | 0 | 0.01 in | 0.00 in | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0.63 in | 1.50 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| HRRR | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 0.01 in | 0.03 in | 0.14 in | 0.19 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | medium | high | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 717 | 513 | 612 | 715 | 638 | 627 | 716 |
| AIFS | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| GFS | 118 | 139 | 107 | 1213 | 1315 | 87 | 119 |
| ICON | 815 | 714 | 713 | 1019 | 714 | 511 | 612 |
| HRRR | 1113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NBM | 1019 | 816 | 512 | 1421 | 1016 | 916 | 717 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 25% | 67% | 88% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 3% | 31% | 19% | 17% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| NBM (NOAA) | 4% | 36% | 72% | 67% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| Thunderstorm (NBM) | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit below −1.8 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Above +86% | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Normal −0.7 °F | Above +65% | 66° / 43° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal −0.2 °F | Normal | 64° / 40° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal −0.5 °F | Normal | 62° / 38° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.4 °F | Above +81% |
| December | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit above +23% |
| January | A bit above +1.1 °F | Well above +129% |
| February | A bit below −0.9 °F | Well above +115% |
| March | Normal −0.5 °F | Above +95% |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Santa Paula climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Santa Paula is from April to September: highs of 73 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 68° | 44° | 3.39 in | 6 | 5.5 | 58° | 3.1 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 67° | 44° | 3.53 in | 6 | 5.7 | 58° | 3.3 ft |
| MarchMar | 70° | 46° | 2.54 in | 5 | 7.7 | 58° | 3.5 ft |
| AprilApr | 73° | 47° | 0.88 in | 2 | 9.1 | 58° | 3.8 ft |
| MayMay | 74° | 51° | 0.23 in | 1 | 9.3 | 60° | 3.7 ft |
| JuneJun | 77° | 54° | 0.04 in | 0 | 10.0 | 63° | 3.2 ft |
| JulyJul | 82° | 58° | 0.00 in | 0 | 10.0 | 66° | 3.1 ft |
| AugustAug | 84° | 58° | 0.01 in | 0 | 10.3 | 67° | 3.0 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 83° | 57° | 0.09 in | 0 | 9.1 | 67° | 3.1 ft |
| OctoberOct | 80° | 53° | 0.48 in | 2 | 7.5 | 65° | 3.0 ft |
| NovemberNov | 74° | 47° | 1.07 in | 2 | 6.8 | 63° | 2.9 ft |
| DecemberDec | 68° | 42° | 2.39 in | 4 | 5.5 | 59° | 3.1 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 58° | 3.1 ft |
| Feb | 58° | 3.3 ft |
| Mar | 58° | 3.5 ft |
| Apr | 58° | 3.8 ft |
| May | 60° | 3.7 ft |
| Jun | 63° | 3.2 ft |
| Jul | 66° | 3.1 ft |
| Aug | 67° | 3.0 ft |
| Sep | 67° | 3.1 ft |
| Oct | 65° | 3.0 ft |
| Nov | 63° | 2.9 ft |
| Dec | 59° | 3.1 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 14.64 in of rain on about 29 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 61 °F now (feels like 61 °F). Today, 59 °F to 74 °F; tomorrow, 58 °F to 70 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 4%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 72% and 0.14 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.43 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 53 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 5
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Overcast | 56 / 77 °F | 0 | 6 mph ESE |
| Tue 27 | Overcast | 56 / 77 °F | 0 | 8 mph SSE |
| Mon 26 | Mainly clear | 55 / 79 °F | 0 | 7 mph S |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 56 / 78 °F | 0 | 7 mph S |
| Sat 24 | Clear sky | 53 / 82 °F | 0 | 6 mph ENE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 56 / 70 °F | 0.02 in | 7 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Light rain | 57 / 64 °F | 0.47 in | 7 mph ESE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Rain | 59 / 65 °F | 1.17 in | 8 mph NE |
| Tue 20 | Partly cloudy | 60 / 85 °F | 0 | 8 mph SSE |
| Mon 19 | Clear sky | 62 / 85 °F | 0 | 8 mph SSW |
| Sun 18 | Clear sky | 65 / 88 °F | 0 | 12 mph SW |
| Sat 17 | Partly cloudy | 72 / 95 °F | 0 | 15 mph NE |
| Fri 16 | Clear sky | 73 / 96 °F | 0 | 21 mph NE |
| Thu 15 | Clear sky | 63 / 94 °F | 0 | 17 mph ENE |
| Wed 14 | Clear sky | 55 / 88 °F | 0 | 11 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Clear sky | 52 / 78 °F | 0 | 8 mph SE |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 59 / 71 °F | 0.01 in | 10 mph WSW |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 63 / 72 °F | 0.01 in | 10 mph SSW |
| Sat 10 | Overcast | 61 / 82 °F | 0 | 5 mph S |
| Fri 9 | Partly cloudy | 62 / 85 °F | 0 | 8 mph SW |
| Thu 8 | Partly cloudy | 65 / 93 °F | 0 | 9 mph SW |
| Wed 7 | Mainly clear | 71 / 97 °F | 0 | 9 mph SW |
| Tue 6 | Clear sky | 73 / 100 °F | 0 | 11 mph SSW |
| Mon 5 | Clear sky | 75 / 103 °F | 0 | 11 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Clear sky | 77 / 103 °F | 0 | 9 mph SE |
| Sat 3 | Clear sky | 74 / 104 °F | 0 | 10 mph E |
| Fri 2 | Mainly clear | 66 / 101 °F | 0 | 9 mph SSW |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 61 / 86 °F | 0 | 7 mph SW |
| Wed 30 | Clear sky | 63 / 86 °F | 0 | 9 mph SW |
| Tue 29 | Clear sky | 62 / 91 °F | 0 | 8 mph WNW |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Santa PaulaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Santa Paula?
Light drizzle, from 59 °F to 74 °F, with a light air from the west-northwest (2 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Santa Paula?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 36% (0.03 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 53 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.89 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Santa Paula?
The best time to visit Santa Paula is from April to September: highs of 73 °F to 84 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Santa Paula in October?
In October, Santa Paula normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 53 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.48 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Santa Paula?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 42 °F. The wettest is February (3.53 in) and the driest, July.
More about Santa Paula today
Weather near Santa Paula
- Saticoy 62 °F · overcast · 7.1 mi
- La Conchita 60 °F · overcast · 22 mi
- Carpinteria 61 °F · overcast · 26 mi
- Malibu 65 °F · overcast · 28 mi
- Montecito 60 °F · overcast · 33 mi
- Santa Monica 65 °F · overcast · 40 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:34 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from