TidePlanet

Weather in Carpinteria

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:24 am (PDT)
Now · overcast 61 °F
Feels like
59 °F
Low / high
60 / 71 °F
Rain
18% · 0.04 in
Wind
6 mph ENE
→ 29.88 inHg · steady

Today in Carpinteria: overcast, 60 °F to 71 °F, with a 18% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 60 °F to 66 °F and a 32% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 71 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Overcast 60 / 71 °F 18% · 0.04 in 9 mph E 2.6 ft 1:01 am · 11:36 am HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Light drizzle 60 / 66 °F 32% · 0.04 in 11 mph SE 2.2 ft 2:23 am · 12:34 pm NBM
Sat 31 Heavy drizzle 60 / 65 °F 78% · 0.19 in 8 mph ESE 2.2 ft 3:58 am · 1:46 pm NBM
Sun 1 Drizzle 57 / 68 °F 65% · 0.14 in 15 mph NW 6.6 ft 4:13 am · 2:17 pm NBM
Mon 2 Partly cloudy 54 / 70 °F 1% 9 mph N 4.2 ft 5:01 am · 3:50 pm NBM
Tue 3 Partly cloudy 57 / 70 °F 4% 5 mph NW 2.9 ft 5:38 am · 5:08 pm NBM
Wed 4 Partly cloudy 57 / 70 °F 4% 6 mph WNW 3.4 ft 6:11 am · 6:13 pm NBM
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 57 / 69 °F 5% 5 mph WNW 3.7 ft 6:42 am · 7:11 pm NBM
Fri 6 Overcast 57 / 69 °F 8% 8 mph NW 6.8 ft 7:10 am · 8:03 pm NBM
Sat 7 Mainly clear 57 / 69 °F 5% 7 mph NNW 6.8 ft 7:37 am · 8:50 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 57 / 69 °F 1% 6 mph NNW 4.5 ft 8:03 am · 9:36 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 62 / 77 °F 4% 4 mph SW 4.4 ft 8:29 am · 10:23 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Partly cloudy 62 / 76 °F 7% 4 mph S 4.3 ft 8:56 am · 11:12 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Overcast 60 / 73 °F 14% 3 mph SW 6.8 ft 9:25 am ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 11:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
Temperature 61°61°64°68°71°70°68°64°
Chance of rain 0%3%1%1%2%8%1%8%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in
Wind (mph) 4 NE5 ENE8 NE7 NE7 SSE5 S4 S2 ESE
Humidity 74%73%72%64%58%69%70%100%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRNBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 73°71°67°71°77°82°78°
AIFS 73°72°67°68°74°78°73°
GFS 70°69°69°74°72°75°73°
ICON 74°72°66°75°73°77°73°
HRRR 71°70°—————
NBM 68°66°65°68°70°70°70°
Confidence highhighhighmediumhighmediumhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 00.07 in0.35 in0.14 in000
AIFS 0.02 in0.07 in0.64 in0.35 in000
GFS 0.01 in0.02 in0.03 in0.02 in000
ICON 00.00 in0.82 in1.16 in000
HRRR 00.06 in—————
NBM 0.04 in0.04 in0.19 in0.14 in000
Confidence highmediummediummediumhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 617619924930825416418
AIFS 5445544
GFS 88977717127115585
ICON 615615716619613511512
HRRR 9121315—————
NBM 8121116813152191159610
Confidence highmediumhighmediumhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 12%59%90%41%0%12%10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%26%26%24%0%3%0%
NBM (NOAA) 18%32%78%65%1%4%4%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%3%3%2%0%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit below −1.8 °F Normal —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +1.4 °F Above +98% —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Normal −0.5 °F Above +70% 67° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal +0.2 °F Normal 65° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal −0.2 °F Normal 63° / 42°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +2.3 °F Well above +104%
December Above +2.7 °F A bit above +40%
January A bit above +1.6 °F Well above +146%
February Normal −0.2 °F Well above +134%
March Normal +0.2 °F Well above +116%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Carpinteria climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carpinteria is from June to September: highs of 72 °F to 77 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 66° 44° 3.39 in 6 5.3 58° 3.6 ft
FebruaryFeb 65° 45° 3.82 in 6 5.6 58° 3.7 ft
MarchMar 67° 47° 2.75 in 5 7.5 57° 3.7 ft
AprilApr 69° 48° 0.96 in 2 9.0 57° 4.0 ft
MayMay 70° 52° 0.35 in 1 8.9 58° 3.7 ft
JuneJun 72° 55° 0.09 in 0 9.2 61° 3.2 ft
JulyJul 76° 58° 0.05 in 0 9.4 64° 2.9 ft
AugustAug 77° 58° 0.02 in 0 9.8 65° 2.9 ft
SeptemberSep 77° 57° 0.10 in 0 8.8 65° 3.0 ft
OctoberOct 75° 54° 0.72 in 2 7.3 64° 3.1 ft
NovemberNov 71° 48° 0.94 in 3 6.7 62° 3.2 ft
DecemberDec 66° 44° 2.50 in 5 5.3 59° 3.6 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 58° 3.6 ft
Feb 58° 3.7 ft
Mar 57° 3.7 ft
Apr 57° 4.0 ft
May 58° 3.7 ft
Jun 61° 3.2 ft
Jul 64° 2.9 ft
Aug 65° 2.9 ft
Sep 65° 3.0 ft
Oct 64° 3.1 ft
Nov 62° 3.2 ft
Dec 59° 3.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 15.68 in of rain on about 30 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 59 °F
Tomorrow60 / 66 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 59 °F). Today, 60 °F to 71 °F; tomorrow, 60 °F to 66 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 18% 0.04 in
  • Fri 30 32% 0.04 in
  • Sat 31 78% 0.19 in
  • Sun 1 65% 0.14 in
  • Mon 2 1%
  • Tue 3 4%
  • Wed 4 4%

Today the chance of rain reaches 18%, with 0.04 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 32% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.24 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity75%
Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 53 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood
Clouds99%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 3 · Sun 1: 5

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 36
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Overcast57 / 74 °F05 mph SSE
Tue 27 Overcast55 / 76 °F05 mph NW
Mon 26 Clear sky58 / 79 °F05 mph NNW
Sun 25 Mainly clear60 / 80 °F05 mph W
Sat 24 Overcast59 / 79 °F09 mph N
Fri 23 Light drizzle55 / 71 °F0.05 in9 mph NNE
Thu 22 Rain57 / 65 °F0.57 in5 mph SSE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Light rain61 / 67 °F0.86 in7 mph E
Tue 20 Overcast64 / 81 °F09 mph SE
Mon 19 Clear sky65 / 87 °F06 mph W
Sun 18 Clear sky67 / 89 °F06 mph WNW
Sat 17 Partly cloudy73 / 94 °F09 mph NE
Fri 16 Clear sky65 / 96 °F09 mph NE
Thu 15 Clear sky65 / 92 °F09 mph N
Wed 14 Clear sky57 / 83 °F07 mph N
Tue 13 Clear sky52 / 78 °F07 mph N
Mon 12 Light drizzle55 / 69 °F0.02 in7 mph WSW
Sun 11 Light drizzle59 / 75 °F0.02 in9 mph S
Sat 10 Overcast72 / 85 °F05 mph S
Fri 9 Clear sky72 / 89 °F07 mph SSE
Thu 8 Clear sky79 / 96 °F06 mph SSE
Wed 7 Clear sky78 / 100 °F08 mph NE
Tue 6 Clear sky79 / 100 °F08 mph N
Mon 5 Clear sky78 / 101 °F07 mph W
Sun 4 Clear sky79 / 100 °F06 mph ESE
Sat 3 Mainly clear79 / 103 °F05 mph NNE
Fri 2 Mainly clear78 / 101 °F07 mph ESE
Thu 1 Clear sky71 / 96 °F04 mph SW
Wed 30 Clear sky72 / 92 °F07 mph WNW
Tue 29 Clear sky71 / 94 °F012 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarpinteriaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carpinteria?

Overcast, from 60 °F to 71 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (6 mph) and a 18% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carpinteria?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 32% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 54 °F and a high of 71 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carpinteria?

The best time to visit Carpinteria is from June to September: highs of 72 °F to 77 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carpinteria in October?

In October, Carpinteria normally sees highs of 75 °F and lows of 54 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.72 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 64 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carpinteria?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 44 °F. The wettest is February (3.82 in) and the driest, August.

More about Carpinteria today

Weather near Carpinteria

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:24 am (local time).

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