Weather in La Conchita

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:36 pm (PDT)

Now · overcast 61 °F

Feels like: 59 °F
Low / high: 59 / 72 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 4 mph NE

→ 29.91 inHg · steady

Today in La Conchita: overcast, 59 °F to 72 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 60 °F to 71 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 72 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

72° 59°
Today
71° 60°
Thu 29
65° 58°
Fri 30
63° 57°
Sat 31
67° 56°
Sun 1
69° 52°
Mon 2
70° 56°
Tue 3
68° 56°
Wed 4
69° 55°
Thu 5
68° 55°
Fri 6
68° 55°
Sat 7
71° 55°
Sun 8
78° 58°
Mon 9
78° 58°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	59 / 72 °F	0%	9 mph ENE	3.6 ft	10:49 am	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	60 / 71 °F	8% · 0.04 in	10 mph E	2.5 ft	1:01 am · 11:36 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	58 / 65 °F	38% · 0.06 in	12 mph ESE	2.2 ft	2:23 am · 12:34 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	57 / 63 °F	78% · 0.17 in	11 mph ESE	2.2 ft	3:58 am · 1:46 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	56 / 67 °F	65% · 0.21 in	15 mph NNW	6.4 ft	4:13 am · 2:17 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	52 / 69 °F	1%	9 mph NNE	4.1 ft	5:01 am · 3:50 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	56 / 70 °F	11%	6 mph WNW	2.8 ft	5:38 am · 5:08 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	56 / 68 °F	6%	7 mph NW	3.2 ft	6:11 am · 6:13 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	55 / 69 °F	2%	6 mph NW	3.5 ft	6:42 am · 7:11 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Clear sky	55 / 68 °F	4%	9 mph NW	6.7 ft	7:10 am · 8:03 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Clear sky	55 / 68 °F	7% · 0.02 in	9 mph NNW	6.5 ft	7:37 am · 8:50 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	55 / 71 °F	2%	8 mph NW	4.2 ft	8:03 am · 9:36 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	58 / 78 °F	2%	5 mph NW	4.2 ft	8:29 am · 10:23 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	58 / 78 °F	9%	4 mph WNW	3.9 ft	8:56 am · 11:12 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 5:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	62°	60°	60°	65°	71°	71°	66°	62°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 E	6 E	7 E	5 E	6 S	8 W	6 WNW	4 NNE
Humidity	78%	77%	71%	81%	51%	66%	77%	74%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	72°	71°	70°	65°	71°	74°	74°
AIFS	69°	67°	67°	64°	66°	68°	71°
GFS	74°	73°	69°	70°	73°	75°	80°
ICON	73°	74°	72°	66°	75°	73°	77°
HRRR	72°	71°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	68°	68°	65°	63°	67°	69°	70°
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.17 in	0.01 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0.05 in	0.59 in	0.33 in	0	0
GFS	0	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0.00 in	0.82 in	1.16 in	0	0
HRRR	0	0.20 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.17 in	0.21 in	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	low	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	820	615	718	815	1517	822	617
AIFS	4	5	4	6	12	4	6
GFS	75	710	810	67	99	813	613
ICON	513	615	615	716	619	613	511
HRRR	99	1012	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	710	812	1216	1113	1519	911	69
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	4%	41%	80%	48%	0%	8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	16%	16%	23%	0%	3%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	8%	38%	78%	65%	1%	11%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	3%	1%	2%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.8 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +98%	71° / 49°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.5 °F	Above +70%	67° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	65° / 44°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	63° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +104%
December	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +40%
January	A bit above +1.6 °F	Well above +146%
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +134%
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +116%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

La Conchita climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit La Conchita is from June to September: highs of 72 °F to 79 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

65° 43°

JanJ
65° 44°

FebF
66° 45°

MarM
68° 46°

AprA
70° 50°

MayM
72° 52°

JunJ
77° 56°

JulJ
79° 56°

AugA
78° 56°

SepS
75° 52°

OctO
70° 47°

NovN
65° 43°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	65°	43°	3.74 in	6	5.4	58°	3.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	65°	44°	4.14 in	6	5.7	58°	3.7 ft
MarchMar	66°	45°	3.10 in	5	7.5	57°	3.7 ft
AprilApr	68°	46°	1.12 in	2	9.0	57°	4.0 ft
MayMay	70°	50°	0.38 in	1	8.9	59°	3.7 ft
JuneJun	72°	52°	0.10 in	0	9.3	62°	3.2 ft
JulyJul	77°	56°	0.06 in	0	9.4	65°	2.9 ft
AugustAug	79°	56°	0.02 in	0	9.8	66°	2.9 ft
SeptemberSep	78°	56°	0.11 in	0	8.8	66°	3.0 ft
OctoberOct	75°	52°	0.76 in	2	7.3	65°	3.1 ft
NovemberNov	70°	47°	1.07 in	3	6.8	62°	3.2 ft
DecemberDec	65°	43°	2.76 in	5	5.5	59°	3.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	58°	3.6 ft
Feb	58°	3.7 ft
Mar	57°	3.7 ft
Apr	57°	4.0 ft
May	59°	3.7 ft
Jun	62°	3.2 ft
Jul	65°	2.9 ft
Aug	66°	2.9 ft
Sep	66°	3.0 ft
Oct	65°	3.1 ft
Nov	62°	3.2 ft
Dec	59°	3.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 17.38 in of rain on about 30 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 59 °F

Tomorrow60 / 71 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 59 °F). Today, 59 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 60 °F to 71 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 8% 0.04 in
Fri 30 38% 0.06 in
Sat 31 78% 0.17 in
Sun 1 65% 0.21 in
Mon 2 1%
Tue 3 11%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 8% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.41 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point51 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 51 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now14 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (14 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.84

Steady now (−0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 37

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	55 / 72 °F	0	6 mph N
Mon 26	Clear sky	55 / 72 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	54 / 74 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Sat 24	Clear sky	53 / 74 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	55 / 69 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNW
Thu 22	Light rain	57 / 62 °F	0.40 in	8 mph NE
Wed 21	Light rain	60 / 66 °F	0.80 in	11 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	60 / 76 °F	0	10 mph SSE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	60 / 77 °F	0	6 mph W
Sun 18	Clear sky	61 / 81 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Sat 17	Overcast	70 / 91 °F	0	13 mph ENE
Fri 16	Clear sky	62 / 95 °F	0	19 mph ENE
Thu 15	Clear sky	56 / 85 °F	0	7 mph NW
Wed 14	Clear sky	53 / 79 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Tue 13	Clear sky	51 / 72 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	60 / 67 °F	0.04 in	10 mph W
Sun 11	Overcast	63 / 69 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Sat 10	Overcast	63 / 73 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Fri 9	Overcast	65 / 75 °F	0	8 mph W
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	66 / 78 °F	0	8 mph W
Wed 7	Overcast	69 / 84 °F	0	8 mph W
Tue 6	Clear sky	69 / 89 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Mon 5	Clear sky	70 / 92 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sun 4	Clear sky	70 / 94 °F	0	6 mph NW
Sat 3	Mainly clear	67 / 90 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Fri 2	Overcast	63 / 80 °F	0	7 mph W
Thu 1	Overcast	62 / 76 °F	0	8 mph W
Wed 30	Mainly clear	64 / 78 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Tue 29	Clear sky	60 / 81 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Mon 28	Clear sky	63 / 75 °F	0	8 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in La ConchitaQuestions

What's the weather like today in La Conchita?

Overcast, from 59 °F to 72 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in La Conchita?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 8% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 52 °F and a high of 72 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit La Conchita?

The best time to visit La Conchita is from June to September: highs of 72 °F to 79 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in La Conchita in October?

In October, La Conchita normally sees highs of 75 °F and lows of 52 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.76 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in La Conchita?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 79 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is February (4.14 in) and the driest, August.

More about La Conchita today

Weather near La Conchita

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from