Weather in Papa

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:56 am (GMT+13)

Now · overcast 81 °F

Feels like: 90 °F
Low / high: 77 / 81 °F
Rain: 22% · 0.02 in
Wind: 3 mph NE

→ 29.97 inHg · steady UV 14 · extreme

Today in Papa: light drizzle, 77 °F to 81 °F, with a 22% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a light air from the northeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 75 °F to 82 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 83 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (37%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

81° 77°
Today
82° 75°
Fri 30
83° 77°
Sat 31
83° 76°
Sun 1
83° 77°
Mon 2
82° 77°
Tue 3
79° 77°
Wed 4
78° 75°
Thu 5
82° 75°
Fri 6
83° 76°
Sat 7
82° 76°
Sun 8
84° 77°
Mon 9
82° 78°
Tue 10
84° 78°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	22% · 0.02 in	6 mph NE	5.1 ft	8:15 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	75 / 82 °F	2%	8 mph ENE	3.9 ft	9:16 am · 9:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	37% · 0.06 in	6 mph ESE	3.1 ft	10:24 am · 10:47 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	25% · 0.02 in	4 mph NNE	3.5 ft	11:37 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	57% · 0.14 in	6 mph NE	4.4 ft	12:49 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	46% · 0.01 in	5 mph N	5.8 ft	1:09 am · 1:53 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	77 / 79 °F	59% · 0.20 in	4 mph NE	5.8 ft	2:12 am · 2:48 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	75 / 78 °F	57% · 0.17 in	4 mph ENE	5.4 ft	3:07 am · 3:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	35% · 0.05 in	4 mph E	5.2 ft	3:55 am · 4:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	76 / 83 °F	20%	4 mph ENE	4.7 ft	4:39 am · 4:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	76 / 82 °F	16%	6 mph NE	—	5:19 am · 5:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	77 / 84 °F	31%	6 mph N	—	5:58 am · 6:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	31% · 0.09 in	6 mph ENE	—	6:36 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	39% · 0.20 in	6 mph ENE	—	7:15 am · 7:28 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Overcast	Light drizzle	Overcast	Mainly clear
Temperature	79°	78°	77°	79°	81°	81°	79°	77°
Chance of rain	19%	0%	0%	0%	5%	19%	13%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	1 ESE	2 N	3 NE	3 NE	3 NE	5 ENE	5 ENE	4 NE
Humidity	86%	87%	86%	82%	75%	74%	78%	82%
UV	0	0	0	5	14	7	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Sunday 1: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	81°	82°	83°	83°	83°	82°	79°
AIFS	80°	80°	80°	81°	82°	81°	80°
GFS	82°	80°	81°	82°	82°	82°	81°
ICON	87°	88°	87°	90°	93°	91°	89°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	low	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.14 in	0.01 in	0.20 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0.05 in	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.05 in	0.06 in
GFS	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.31 in	0.40 in	0.48 in	0.48 in
ICON	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	low	medium	low	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	612	813	613	411	618	513	412
AIFS	13	7	9	10	13	12	11
GFS	1415	1110	77	1619	1922	2022	2426
ICON	414	618	517	517	524	526	525
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	low	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	22%	2%	37%	25%	57%	46%	59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	6%	0%	27%	61%	47%	57%	66%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, drier and a cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −0.9 °F	Below −88%	Below −2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.4 °F	Below −60%	Below −2.2 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal −0.4 °F	Below −61%	Below −2.2 °F	82° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal 0.0 °F	Below −54%	Below −1.8 °F	82° / 79°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −58%	A bit below −1.6 °F	83° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −68%	A bit below −1.4 °F
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	Below −60%	A bit below −0.5 °F
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −53%	Normal +0.2 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −33%	A bit above +0.9 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −27%	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Papa climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Papa is from June to August: highs of 81 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April and from November to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Papa, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Wasi, in February 2020.

83° 72°

JanJ
83° 72°

FebF
83° 72°

MarM
82° 72°

AprA
81° 71°

MayM
81° 71°

JunJ
80° 70°

JulJ
80° 70°

AugA
80° 70°

SepS
81° 71°

OctO
82° 71°

NovN
82° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	72°	18.32 in	22	5.0	84°	5.2 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	83°	72°	14.30 in	20	5.2	85°	5.4 ft	2
MarchMar	83°	72°	14.09 in	20	5.6	85°	4.9 ft	–
AprilApr	82°	72°	12.53 in	18	5.0	85°	4.7 ft	1
MayMay	81°	71°	9.38 in	16	4.9	85°	5.0 ft	–
JuneJun	81°	71°	7.89 in	13	5.0	84°	5.2 ft	–
JulyJul	80°	70°	9.76 in	11	4.1	83°	5.3 ft	–
AugustAug	80°	70°	6.89 in	10	4.6	82°	5.1 ft	–
SeptemberSep	80°	70°	9.69 in	13	4.4	83°	5.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	81°	71°	14.32 in	19	5.1	83°	4.8 ft	–
NovemberNov	82°	71°	11.83 in	21	5.0	84°	4.5 ft	1
DecemberDec	82°	72°	16.19 in	21	5.5	84°	5.0 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	84°	5.2 ft	4
Feb	85°	5.4 ft	2
Mar	85°	4.9 ft	–
Apr	85°	4.7 ft	1
May	85°	5.0 ft	–
Jun	84°	5.2 ft	–
Jul	83°	5.3 ft	–
Aug	82°	5.1 ft	–
Sep	83°	5.0 ft	–
Oct	83°	4.8 ft	–
Nov	84°	4.5 ft	1
Dec	84°	5.0 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 145.19 in of rain on about 203 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now81 °Ffeels like 90 °F

Tomorrow75 / 82 °F

It's 81 °F now (feels like 90 °F). Today, 77 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 22% 0.02 in
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 37% 0.06 in
Sun 1 25% 0.02 in
Mon 2 57% 0.14 in
Tue 3 46% 0.01 in
Wed 4 59% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 22%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 37% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 0.39 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity75%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now14

Today's peak14extreme

Fri 30: 14 · Sat 31: 13 · Sun 1: 15

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.89

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 20

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.02 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.04 in	3 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.06 in	6 mph NE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.09 in	7 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.04 in	6 mph ENE
Fri 23	Overcast	74 / 81 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Thu 22	Drizzle	76 / 79 °F	0.17 in	5 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.06 in	14 mph SE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	0.01 in	14 mph SE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.02 in	15 mph SSE
Sun 18	Overcast	77 / 83 °F	0	18 mph S
Sat 17	Overcast	77 / 84 °F	0	20 mph SSE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	75 / 83 °F	0.06 in	7 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.07 in	7 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.01 in	4 mph N
Tue 13	Overcast	74 / 83 °F	0	7 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	74 / 80 °F	0.08 in	4 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	75 / 83 °F	0.05 in	4 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.09 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.01 in	4 mph NNE
Thu 8	Drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.11 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 7	Drizzle	76 / 82 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	76 / 84 °F	0	6 mph ENE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.02 in	6 mph ENE
Sun 4	Overcast	76 / 81 °F	0	5 mph ENE
Sat 3	Overcast	75 / 81 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.04 in	4 mph NE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.07 in	9 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.06 in	7 mph E
Tue 29	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.19 in	4 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PapaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Papa?

Light drizzle, from 77 °F to 81 °F, with a light air from the northeast (3 mph) and a 22% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Papa?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 14 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.97 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Papa?

The best time to visit Papa is from June to August: highs of 81 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Papa in October?

In October, Papa normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 19 rainy days (14.32 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Papa?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 83 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is January (18.32 in) and the driest, August.

When is cyclone season in Papa?

Cyclone season: in April and from November to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Papa, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Wasi, in February 2020.

More about Papa today

Weather near Papa

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:56 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from