Weather in Fagafau

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:40 pm (GMT+13)

Now · overcast 80 °F

Feels like: 80 °F
Low / high: 80 / 81 °F
Rain: 8%
Wind: 22 mph ESE

→ 29.91 inHg · steady UV 14 · extreme

Today in Fagafau: overcast, 80 °F to 81 °F, with a 8% chance of rain and a fresh breeze from the east-southeast (22 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 79 °F to 80 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 82 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

81° 80°
Today
80° 79°
Fri 30
81° 79°
Sat 31
81° 80°
Sun 1
82° 80°
Mon 2
82° 80°
Tue 3
81° 80°
Wed 4
81° 80°
Thu 5
80° 79°
Fri 6
82° 80°
Sat 7
81° 79°
Sun 8
82° 80°
Mon 9
82° 81°
Tue 10
81° 80°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	80 / 81 °F	8%	24 mph SE	6.0 ft	8:15 am · 8:37 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	79 / 80 °F	0%	19 mph SE	4.6 ft	9:16 am · 9:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	4%	20 mph SE	3.5 ft	10:24 am · 10:47 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	8% · 0.01 in	24 mph SE	4.5 ft	11:37 am · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	80 / 82 °F	27% · 0.04 in	25 mph ESE	5.6 ft	12:49 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	80 / 82 °F	10% · 0.01 in	23 mph ESE	6.7 ft	1:09 am · 1:53 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	80 / 81 °F	12%	26 mph ESE	7.3 ft	2:12 am · 2:48 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	80 / 81 °F	21%	29 mph SE	7.5 ft	3:07 am · 3:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	79 / 80 °F	19%	23 mph SE	6.6 ft	3:55 am · 4:19 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	80 / 82 °F	14%	25 mph SE	6.6 ft	4:39 am · 4:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	22%	23 mph ESE	6.8 ft	5:19 am · 5:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	80 / 82 °F	25%	28 mph ESE	6.8 ft	5:58 am · 6:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	81 / 82 °F	37% · 0.02 in	23 mph ESE	6.6 ft	6:36 am · 6:50 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	27% · 0.07 in	29 mph ESE	7.9 ft	7:15 am · 7:28 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	81°	80°	80°	80°	80°	80°	80°	80°
Chance of rain	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	18 ESE	20 SE	21 SE	21 SE	23 SE	23 SE	22 ESE	20 ESE
Humidity	81%	83%	81%	81%	81%	77%	77%	77%
UV	0	0	0	5	14	7	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	81°	80°	81°	81°	82°	82°	81°
AIFS	80°	80°	80°	80°	81°	80°	79°
GFS	77°	77°	78°	78°	77°	76°	76°
ICON	87°	88°	87°	90°	93°	91°	89°
Confidence	medium	low	medium	low	low	low	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.06 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.20 in
GFS	0.09 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.36 in	0.08 in	0.22 in	0.09 in
ICON	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	low	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2430	1924	2026	2431	2532	2329	2634
AIFS	16	9	13	14	14	16	18
GFS	2123	1621	1419	2225	2728	2828	3030
ICON	414	618	517	517	524	526	525
Confidence	low	medium	low	low	low	low	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	8%	0%	4%	8%	27%	10%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	25%	65%	35%	40%	26%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.5 °F	Below −77%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Below −51%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Below −51%	82° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	Below −52%	83° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Below −53%	83° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −60%
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −51%
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −41%
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −21%
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Fagafau climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Fagafau is from June to August: highs of 81 °F to 82 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April and from November to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fagafau, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Wasi, in February 2020.

84° 73°

JanJ
84° 73°

FebF
83° 73°

MarM
83° 73°

AprA
82° 72°

MayM
82° 72°

JunJ
81° 71°

JulJ
81° 71°

AugA
81° 71°

SepS
82° 72°

OctO
83° 72°

NovN
83° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	73°	20.85 in	22	5.1	84°	5.2 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	84°	73°	14.17 in	20	5.2	85°	5.4 ft	2
MarchMar	83°	73°	13.72 in	20	5.6	85°	4.9 ft	–
AprilApr	83°	73°	10.93 in	18	5.1	85°	4.7 ft	1
MayMay	82°	72°	7.04 in	16	5.1	85°	5.0 ft	–
JuneJun	82°	72°	7.35 in	13	5.1	84°	5.2 ft	–
JulyJul	81°	71°	8.97 in	11	4.3	83°	5.3 ft	–
AugustAug	81°	71°	6.06 in	10	5.0	82°	5.1 ft	–
SeptemberSep	81°	71°	9.17 in	13	4.7	83°	5.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	82°	72°	13.44 in	19	5.3	83°	4.8 ft	–
NovemberNov	83°	72°	13.30 in	21	5.1	84°	4.5 ft	1
DecemberDec	83°	73°	16.37 in	21	5.5	84°	5.0 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	84°	5.2 ft	4
Feb	85°	5.4 ft	2
Mar	85°	4.9 ft	–
Apr	85°	4.7 ft	1
May	85°	5.0 ft	–
Jun	84°	5.2 ft	–
Jul	83°	5.3 ft	–
Aug	82°	5.1 ft	–
Sep	83°	5.0 ft	–
Oct	83°	4.8 ft	–
Nov	84°	4.5 ft	1
Dec	84°	5.0 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 141.35 in of rain on about 203 days and about 1,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 80 °F

Tomorrow79 / 80 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 80 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 79 °F to 80 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 8%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 4%
Sun 1 8% 0.01 in
Mon 2 27% 0.04 in
Tue 3 10% 0.01 in
Wed 4 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 8%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.08 in; last 7 days, 0.12 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds91%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak14extreme

Fri 30: 14 · Sat 31: 13 · Sun 1: 15

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 30.00

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	80 / 81 °F	0	28 mph ESE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.08 in	22 mph ESE
Mon 26	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	26 mph ESE
Sun 25	Overcast	79 / 80 °F	0	30 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	79 / 80 °F	0.04 in	26 mph ESE
Fri 23	Overcast	78 / 81 °F	0	26 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	77 / 80 °F	0.01 in	30 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	78 / 79 °F	0	28 mph SE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 80 °F	0.03 in	30 mph SE
Mon 19	Drizzle	78 / 80 °F	0.22 in	28 mph SE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	79 / 80 °F	0.05 in	21 mph SE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.04 in	25 mph SE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.01 in	23 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.01 in	28 mph ESE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.04 in	28 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.04 in	28 mph ESE
Mon 12	Overcast	79 / 82 °F	0	29 mph ESE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.04 in	32 mph ESE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.00 in	28 mph ESE
Fri 9	Overcast	79 / 81 °F	0	29 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.04 in	27 mph ESE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.02 in	27 mph ESE
Tue 6	Overcast	80 / 82 °F	0	19 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.01 in	23 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 82 °F	0.01 in	23 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	79 / 80 °F	0.03 in	27 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.04 in	29 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.05 in	32 mph SE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	0.07 in	32 mph SE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	80 / 81 °F	0.03 in	31 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in FagafauQuestions

What's the weather like today in Fagafau?

Overcast, from 80 °F to 81 °F, with a fresh breeze from the east-southeast (22 mph) and a 8% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Fagafau?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 79 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 14 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Fagafau?

The best time to visit Fagafau is from June to August: highs of 81 °F to 82 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Fagafau in October?

In October, Fagafau normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 19 rainy days (13.44 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Fagafau?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is January (20.85 in) and the driest, August.

When is cyclone season in Fagafau?

Cyclone season: in April and from November to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Fagafau, about 3 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Wasi, in February 2020.

More about Fagafau today

Weather near Fagafau

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:40 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from