Weather in La Victoria

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:53 pm (CST)

Now · clear 78 °F

Feels like: 84 °F
Low / high: 73 / 86 °F
Rain: 43% · 0.01 in
Wind: 7 mph NE

↗ 29.96 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in La Victoria: light drizzle, 73 °F to 86 °F, with a 43% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 72 °F to 85 °F and a 47% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 88 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 73°
Today
85° 72°
Thu 29
84° 71°
Fri 30
83° 76°
Sat 31
85° 73°
Sun 1
84° 73°
Mon 2
88° 73°
Tue 3
91° 74°
Wed 4
80° 76°
Thu 5
82° 75°
Fri 6
79° 72°
Sat 7
79° 69°
Sun 8
80° 65°
Mon 9
78° 69°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	43% · 0.01 in	8 mph NNE	1.9 ft	7:11 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	47% · 0.04 in	8 mph NNE	1.6 ft	9:38 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	71 / 84 °F	29%	9 mph W	1.4 ft	11:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	78% · 0.08 in	7 mph NW	1.3 ft	11:54 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	74% · 0.07 in	7 mph NW	1.4 ft	—	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	72% · 0.06 in	7 mph N	1.4 ft	12:01 am · 11:44 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	73 / 88 °F	41%	6 mph NE	1.0 ft	8:48 am · 11:30 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Mainly clear	74 / 91 °F	36%	6 mph NE	1.0 ft	11:03 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light showers	76 / 80 °F	57% · 0.57 in	13 mph NW	4.9 ft	12:41 pm · 10:54 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	75 / 82 °F	47%	13 mph NW	8.1 ft	2:01 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	72 / 79 °F	48%	10 mph NW	7.7 ft	3:12 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	69 / 79 °F	33%	6 mph W	5.1 ft	4:16 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	65 / 80 °F	35% · 0.13 in	4 mph E	2.9 ft	5:16 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	69 / 78 °F	38% · 0.24 in	4 mph N	2.5 ft	6:15 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	75°	73°	74°	82°	86°	84°	79°	78°
Chance of rain	4%	0%	0%	2%	37%	39%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 SE	4 S	2 SW	3 SE	8 NNW	8 N	7 NE	6 ENE
Humidity	93%	96%	100%	76%	55%	62%	76%	81%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	85°	84°	83°	85°	84°	88°
AIFS	86°	84°	85°	83°	85°	85°	86°
GFS	85°	85°	84°	85°	85°	86°	94°
ICON	87°	87°	84°	86°	90°	89°	94°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.04 in	0	0.08 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0
AIFS	0.00 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.16 in	0.14 in	0.12 in	0.05 in
GFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.01 in	0	0	0.05 in	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	820	819	920	719	722	721	622
AIFS	9	7	7	6	7	6	7
GFS	1014	810	89	910	79	810	911
ICON	1118	1017	1118	814	1016	1017	915
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	43%	47%	29%	78%	74%	72%	41%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	65%	39%	7%	14%	29%	30%	26%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Below −53%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	81° / 78°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −21%	A bit above +1.4 °F	82° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	80° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F
January	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −23%	A bit above +0.5 °F
February	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −23%	Normal +0.4 °F
March	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −35%	Normal +0.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

La Victoria climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit La Victoria is from February to March: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Victoria, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

82° 67°

JanJ
85° 68°

FebF
89° 70°

MarM
93° 73°

AprA
95° 75°

MayM
94° 75°

JunJ
94° 75°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
91° 75°

SepS
89° 74°

OctO
85° 71°

NovN
83° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	67°	3.56 in	9	5.8	76°	2.8 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	85°	68°	2.08 in	6	6.7	77°	2.5 ft	–
MarchMar	89°	70°	1.03 in	4	6.9	78°	2.5 ft	–
AprilApr	93°	73°	1.08 in	4	6.6	81°	2.2 ft	–
MayMay	95°	75°	1.98 in	9	6.9	83°	2.1 ft	–
JuneJun	94°	75°	6.80 in	18	6.7	84°	1.9 ft	1
JulyJul	94°	75°	4.85 in	18	7.3	83°	2.0 ft	–
AugustAug	93°	75°	6.17 in	21	7.0	83°	1.8 ft	3
SeptemberSep	91°	75°	11.57 in	24	5.7	84°	1.6 ft	2
OctoberOct	89°	74°	11.63 in	19	5.9	83°	2.0 ft	5
NovemberNov	85°	71°	6.72 in	12	6.2	81°	2.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	83°	68°	3.77 in	9	5.8	78°	2.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	2.8 ft	–
Feb	77°	2.5 ft	–
Mar	78°	2.5 ft	–
Apr	81°	2.2 ft	–
May	83°	2.1 ft	–
Jun	84°	1.9 ft	1
Jul	83°	2.0 ft	–
Aug	83°	1.8 ft	3
Sep	84°	1.6 ft	2
Oct	83°	2.0 ft	5
Nov	81°	2.5 ft	–
Dec	78°	2.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 61.25 in of rain on about 152 days and about 2,350 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 84 °F

Tomorrow72 / 85 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 73 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 43% 0.01 in
Thu 29 47% 0.04 in
Fri 30 29%
Sat 31 78% 0.08 in
Sun 1 74% 0.07 in
Mon 2 72% 0.06 in
Tue 3 41%

Today the chance of rain reaches 43%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 47% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.43 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.88

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	0.12 in	6 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	0.03 in	8 mph NNW
Sun 25	Overcast	75 / 86 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.07 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.12 in	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.07 in	10 mph NE
Wed 21	Showers	74 / 88 °F	0.68 in	9 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Showers	74 / 86 °F	0.61 in	9 mph NNE
Mon 19	Light rain	74 / 83 °F	0.40 in	6 mph NW
Sun 18	Light rain	74 / 84 °F	0.51 in	6 mph SSE
Sat 17	Showers	74 / 86 °F	0.66 in	9 mph N
Fri 16	Drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.13 in	8 mph NNE
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	75 / 92 °F	0.74 in	8 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.10 in	13 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.02 in	12 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.02 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.39 in	9 mph ENE
Sat 10	Heavy drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.20 in	6 mph SSW
Fri 9	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.29 in	9 mph W
Thu 8	Showers	77 / 83 °F	1.17 in	12 mph W
Wed 7	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.41 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 6	Showers	75 / 85 °F	0.98 in	11 mph WSW
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	77 / 88 °F	0.60 in	5 mph SSW
Sun 4	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.30 in	7 mph NE
Sat 3	Drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NNE
Fri 2	Drizzle	76 / 95 °F	0.23 in	8 mph ENE
Thu 1	Drizzle	78 / 100 °F	0.06 in	9 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	79 / 97 °F	0.01 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.10 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.11 in	8 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in La VictoriaQuestions

What's the weather like today in La Victoria?

Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph) and a 43% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in La Victoria?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 47% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and rising: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit La Victoria?

The best time to visit La Victoria is from February to March: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in La Victoria in October?

In October, La Victoria normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 19 rainy days (11.63 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in La Victoria?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 95 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (11.63 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in La Victoria?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Victoria, about 4 every 10 years; 3 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

More about La Victoria today

Weather near La Victoria

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:53 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from