Weather in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:27 am (CST)

Now · light drizzle 73 °F

Feels like: 80 °F
Low / high: 71 / 85 °F
Rain: 69% · 0.05 in
Wind: 3 mph SE

↘ 29.98 inHg · falling UV 9 · very high

Today in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid): light drizzle, 71 °F to 85 °F, with a 69% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light air from the southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 69 °F to 85 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 91 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (65%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 71°
Today
85° 69°
Fri 30
85° 70°
Sat 31
85° 73°
Sun 1
85° 72°
Mon 2
86° 71°
Tue 3
91° 73°
Wed 4
79° 73°
Thu 5
82° 69°
Fri 6
80° 66°
Sat 7
79° 63°
Sun 8
80° 66°
Mon 9
75° 69°
Tue 10
76° 67°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	69% · 0.05 in	8 mph NE	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Mainly clear	69 / 85 °F	31%	9 mph W	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	70 / 85 °F	65% · 0.02 in	9 mph W	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	76% · 0.08 in	8 mph NW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light rain	72 / 85 °F	80% · 0.22 in	7 mph NNE	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	16% · 0.01 in	6 mph ESE	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	39% · 0.02 in	6 mph ESE	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Showers	73 / 79 °F	55% · 1.16 in	9 mph NW	5.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	69 / 82 °F	43%	11 mph NW	8.3 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	66 / 80 °F	38%	9 mph WNW	8.1 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	63 / 79 °F	33%	4 mph NW	5.3 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	66 / 80 °F	39%	4 mph NNE	3.2 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	69 / 75 °F	43% · 0.28 in	7 mph N	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	67 / 76 °F	40% · 0.30 in	6 mph NNE	4.9 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	74°	73°	71°	79°	84°	84°	75°	74°
Chance of rain	2%	22%	14%	6%	69%	12%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 ESE	4 SE	2 S	2 SSW	5 NNE	8 NNE	4 N	3 NE
Humidity	90%	93%	97%	80%	65%	58%	80%	83%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	85°	85°	85°	85°	86°	91°
AIFS	85°	85°	85°	86°	87°	88°	87°
GFS	84°	83°	84°	84°	84°	90°	86°
ICON	84°	84°	83°	86°	84°	89°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.05 in	0	0.02 in	0.08 in	0.22 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.14 in	0.14 in	0.07 in	0	0.14 in
GFS	0.03 in	0	0	0	0	0	0.07 in
ICON	0.02 in	0	0.04 in	0	0.05 in	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	818	919	919	816	717	616	617
AIFS	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
GFS	811	89	912	1014	811	810	88
ICON	917	918	714	715	715	917	816
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	69%	31%	65%	76%	80%	16%	39%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	48%	16%	16%	71%	26%	12%	42%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −45%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	84° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	84° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +21%	82° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −28%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) is from February to March: highs of 84 °F to 89 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid), about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

81° 67°

JanJ
84° 68°

FebF
89° 70°

MarM
93° 73°

AprA
95° 75°

MayM
94° 75°

JunJ
94° 75°

JulJ
94° 75°

AugA
92° 75°

SepS
89° 74°

OctO
85° 71°

NovN
83° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	81°	67°	5.87 in	10	5.4	76°	2.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	68°	3.27 in	7	6.5	76°	2.4 ft	–
MarchMar	89°	70°	1.39 in	5	6.7	78°	2.3 ft	–
AprilApr	93°	73°	1.41 in	4	6.4	80°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	95°	75°	1.98 in	10	6.7	83°	1.8 ft	1
JuneJun	94°	75°	5.42 in	20	6.5	84°	1.6 ft	2
JulyJul	94°	75°	4.04 in	21	7.1	83°	1.7 ft	–
AugustAug	94°	75°	6.02 in	23	6.8	83°	1.5 ft	4
SeptemberSep	92°	75°	11.87 in	26	5.4	85°	1.5 ft	1
OctoberOct	89°	74°	14.30 in	21	5.9	83°	2.1 ft	4
NovemberNov	85°	71°	8.38 in	14	6.0	81°	2.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	83°	68°	5.65 in	11	5.5	78°	2.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	2.9 ft	–
Feb	76°	2.4 ft	–
Mar	78°	2.3 ft	–
Apr	80°	1.9 ft	–
May	83°	1.8 ft	1
Jun	84°	1.6 ft	2
Jul	83°	1.7 ft	–
Aug	83°	1.5 ft	4
Sep	85°	1.5 ft	1
Oct	83°	2.1 ft	4
Nov	81°	2.7 ft	–
Dec	78°	2.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 69.59 in of rain on about 171 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now73 °Ffeels like 80 °F

Tomorrow69 / 85 °F

It's 73 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 71 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 69% 0.05 in
Fri 30 31%
Sat 31 65% 0.02 in
Sun 1 76% 0.08 in
Mon 2 80% 0.22 in
Tue 3 16% 0.01 in
Wed 4 39% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 69%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 65% and 0.02 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.03 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds81%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.87

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.06 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.12 in	7 mph WSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	0.05 in	8 mph NNW
Sun 25	Overcast	73 / 86 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.02 in	7 mph E
Fri 23	Light rain	73 / 83 °F	0.28 in	8 mph ENE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	75 / 85 °F	0.29 in	10 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light showers	73 / 86 °F	0.85 in	6 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	0.67 in	6 mph S
Mon 19	Light rain	71 / 84 °F	0.81 in	7 mph WSW
Sun 18	Light rain	73 / 83 °F	0.75 in	6 mph S
Sat 17	Showers	74 / 81 °F	1.04 in	9 mph WNW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.20 in	7 mph N
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	75 / 89 °F	0.89 in	7 mph ENE
Wed 14	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.68 in	11 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	79 / 93 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.13 in	7 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.44 in	7 mph SSW
Fri 9	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.46 in	6 mph WSW
Thu 8	Showers	78 / 84 °F	0.63 in	9 mph WSW
Wed 7	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.28 in	10 mph WSW
Tue 6	Showers	76 / 84 °F	1.00 in	6 mph WSW
Mon 5	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.54 in	5 mph SW
Sun 4	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.41 in	9 mph NE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	74 / 94 °F	0.22 in	5 mph W
Fri 2	Light showers	75 / 94 °F	0.37 in	4 mph S
Thu 1	Light showers	77 / 95 °F	0.25 in	6 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	78 / 96 °F	0.09 in	7 mph NE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	76 / 95 °F	0.19 in	8 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)Questions

What's the weather like today in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)?

Light drizzle, from 71 °F to 85 °F, with a light air from the southeast (3 mph) and a 69% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 31% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 91 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and falling: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)?

The best time to visit El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) is from February to March: highs of 84 °F to 89 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) in October?

In October, El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 21 rainy days (14.30 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 95 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (14.30 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)?

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid), about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

More about El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid) today

Weather near El Bellote (Miguel de la Madrid)

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:27 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from