Weather in Ciudad del Carmen

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:04 pm (CST)

Now · clear 77 °F

Feels like: 83 °F
Low / high: 72 / 87 °F
Rain: 46% · 0.02 in
Wind: 4 mph NNE

↗ 29.96 inHg · rising UV 9 · very high

Today in Ciudad del Carmen: light drizzle, 72 °F to 87 °F, with a 46% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 74 °F to 87 °F and a 25% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 90 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (49%).

Measured now at the airport

Ciudad Del Carmen (MMCE), 2.0 mi away · 24 min ago

Visibility7.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature82 °F

Wind9 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 72°
Today
87° 74°
Thu 29
84° 70°
Fri 30
87° 74°
Sat 31
88° 72°
Sun 1
88° 72°
Mon 2
90° 73°
Tue 3
92° 74°
Wed 4
82° 75°
Thu 5
83° 71°
Fri 6
81° 68°
Sat 7
84° 65°
Sun 8
74° 66°
Mon 9
82° 68°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	46% · 0.02 in	7 mph NNE	1.5 ft	12:53 am	ECMWF
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	74 / 87 °F	25%	7 mph NNE	1.6 ft	1:00 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	70 / 84 °F	49%	6 mph W	1.2 ft	1:14 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	67% · 0.09 in	4 mph WNW	0.9 ft	1:28 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	72 / 88 °F	55% · 0.13 in	5 mph WNW	1.0 ft	1:12 am · 11:47 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 88 °F	78% · 0.08 in	5 mph NNW	1.0 ft	11:32 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	24% · 0.04 in	6 mph E	0.9 ft	9:23 am · 11:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	37% · 0.05 in	6 mph E	0.9 ft	11:29 am · 11:32 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	75 / 82 °F	67% · 0.28 in	9 mph NW	2.9 ft	1:11 pm · 11:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	40% · 0.02 in	12 mph WNW	4.9 ft	2:33 pm · 11:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	68 / 81 °F	35%	9 mph W	4.4 ft	3:49 pm · 11:45 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	65 / 84 °F	25%	5 mph W	3.0 ft	11:51 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	66 / 74 °F	31% · 0.21 in	4 mph W	1.8 ft	11:47 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	68 / 82 °F	35% · 0.12 in	5 mph NW	1.6 ft	11:30 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	75°	75°	72°	82°	87°	85°	78°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	4%	37%	43%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 N	1 W	3 S	3 SE	2 NNE	7 NNE	4 NNE	5 NNE
Humidity	83%	84%	97%	69%	54%	57%	81%	83%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	87°	87°	84°	87°	88°	88°	90°
AIFS	88°	85°	85°	85°	86°	86°	87°
GFS	83°	83°	83°	83°	83°	84°	87°
ICON	86°	85°	85°	86°	89°	88°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.08 in	0.04 in
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.14 in	0.09 in	0.12 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.04 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.13 in	0.01 in
ICON	0.00 in	0	0	0.02 in	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	717	717	615	412	517	514	616
AIFS	8	7	6	5	5	5	6
GFS	1215	1114	1113	1013	1115	1010	1112
ICON	918	816	917	613	615	918	816
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	46%	25%	49%	67%	55%	78%	24%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	13%	7%	7%	30%	61%	75%	39%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Below −52%	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	81° / 77°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −24%	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	81° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
March	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit below −27%	Normal −0.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Ciudad del Carmen climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ciudad del Carmen is from December to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ciudad del Carmen, about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

85° 67°

JanJ
88° 68°

FebF
92° 70°

MarM
96° 73°

AprA
97° 75°

MayM
96° 75°

JunJ
95° 75°

JulJ
95° 75°

AugA
94° 75°

SepS
91° 74°

OctO
88° 71°

NovN
86° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	67°	2.27 in	7	6.1	76°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	88°	68°	1.57 in	5	7.0	77°	1.8 ft	–
MarchMar	92°	70°	0.80 in	4	7.0	79°	2.0 ft	–
AprilApr	96°	73°	0.70 in	3	6.7	82°	1.9 ft	–
MayMay	97°	75°	2.54 in	9	6.9	84°	1.8 ft	–
JuneJun	96°	75°	8.69 in	19	6.6	85°	1.4 ft	2
JulyJul	95°	75°	5.90 in	20	7.2	84°	1.3 ft	–
AugustAug	95°	75°	7.44 in	23	6.9	85°	1.3 ft	4
SeptemberSep	94°	75°	10.63 in	24	5.9	85°	1.2 ft	2
OctoberOct	91°	74°	11.20 in	19	6.0	84°	1.5 ft	3
NovemberNov	88°	71°	5.78 in	11	6.6	81°	1.8 ft	1
DecemberDec	86°	68°	2.75 in	7	6.0	78°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	77°	1.8 ft	–
Mar	79°	2.0 ft	–
Apr	82°	1.9 ft	–
May	84°	1.8 ft	–
Jun	85°	1.4 ft	2
Jul	84°	1.3 ft	–
Aug	85°	1.3 ft	4
Sep	85°	1.2 ft	2
Oct	84°	1.5 ft	3
Nov	81°	1.8 ft	1
Dec	78°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 60.27 in of rain on about 150 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now77 °Ffeels like 83 °F

Tomorrow74 / 87 °F

It's 77 °F now (feels like 83 °F). Today, 72 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 46% 0.02 in
Thu 29 25%
Fri 30 49%
Sat 31 67% 0.09 in
Sun 1 55% 0.13 in
Mon 2 78% 0.08 in
Tue 3 24% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 46%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 49% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.15 in; last 7 days, 0.53 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds6%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.88

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 34

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.12 in	4 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	70 / 87 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	72 / 86 °F	0	6 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.18 in	6 mph NE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.17 in	8 mph NE
Wed 21	Heavy drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.20 in	6 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.22 in	7 mph SE
Mon 19	Light showers	73 / 87 °F	0.61 in	5 mph SW
Sun 18	Rain	74 / 86 °F	0.99 in	6 mph SW
Sat 17	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	0.57 in	6 mph N
Fri 16	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.26 in	6 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.12 in	10 mph E
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.21 in	8 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.01 in	8 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.03 in	9 mph E
Sun 11	Light rain	75 / 92 °F	0.15 in	8 mph E
Sat 10	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.24 in	5 mph SW
Fri 9	Light showers	76 / 88 °F	0.35 in	6 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.70 in	9 mph WSW
Wed 7	Showers	76 / 87 °F	0.88 in	8 mph SW
Tue 6	Showers	75 / 88 °F	0.63 in	6 mph SW
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	77 / 92 °F	0.62 in	6 mph SE
Sun 4	Showers	76 / 91 °F	0.80 in	5 mph NE
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	75 / 96 °F	0.16 in	6 mph NE
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	78 / 97 °F	0.16 in	7 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	78 / 96 °F	0.06 in	12 mph ESE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	78 / 98 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light rain	74 / 98 °F	0.17 in	7 mph ESE
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 93 °F	0.37 in	5 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Ciudad del CarmenQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ciudad del Carmen?

Light drizzle, from 72 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph) and a 46% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ciudad del Carmen?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 25% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and rising: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ciudad del Carmen?

The best time to visit Ciudad del Carmen is from December to February: highs of 85 °F to 88 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ciudad del Carmen in October?

In October, Ciudad del Carmen normally sees highs of 91 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 19 rainy days (11.20 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ciudad del Carmen?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 97 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (11.20 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Ciudad del Carmen?

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ciudad del Carmen, about 4 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

More about Ciudad del Carmen today

Weather near Ciudad del Carmen

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:04 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from