Weather in Playa del Carmen

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:37 pm (EST)

Now · clear 72 °F

Feels like: 76 °F
Low / high: 70 / 87 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 7 mph NW

→ 29.95 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Playa del Carmen: mainly clear, 70 °F to 87 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 71 °F to 83 °F and a 96% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 70°
Today
83° 71°
Thu 29
84° 73°
Fri 30
86° 76°
Sat 31
85° 72°
Sun 1
87° 72°
Mon 2
84° 71°
Tue 3
86° 74°
Wed 4
86° 73°
Thu 5
85° 69°
Fri 6
83° 66°
Sat 7
84° 64°
Sun 8
85° 67°
Mon 9
84° 68°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 28	Mainly clear	70 / 87 °F	4%	8 mph NNW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light showers	71 / 83 °F	96% · 0.31 in	7 mph NW	1.1 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	33% · 0.05 in	8 mph E	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	22% · 0.01 in	8 mph ESE	0.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	52% · 0.06 in	6 mph NNE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 87 °F	63% · 0.09 in	4 mph N	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	71 / 84 °F	46% · 0.06 in	5 mph NE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 86 °F	41% · 0.12 in	6 mph ESE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	65% · 0.08 in	7 mph WSW	0.5 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	69 / 85 °F	47% · 0.02 in	11 mph WNW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	66 / 83 °F	31%	9 mph WNW	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	64 / 84 °F	31% · 0.02 in	7 mph NW	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	67 / 85 °F	30%	7 mph NNW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	68 / 84 °F	25% · 0.05 in	7 mph N	1.4 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	73°	71°	70°	78°	85°	86°	78°	73°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	4%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NNW	6 NW	7 NNW	7 N	7 NNW	8 NW	4 NW	5 NW
Humidity	90%	91%	92%	74%	55%	45%	67%	82%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	87°	83°	84°	86°	85°	87°	84°
AIFS	84°	83°	83°	84°	85°	85°	84°
GFS	89°	84°	86°	87°	87°	88°	87°
ICON	86°	85°	83°	88°	88°	88°	86°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.31 in	0.05 in	0.01 in	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.06 in
AIFS	0	0.13 in	0.09 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.06 in
GFS	0	0.17 in	0.05 in	0.00 in	0	0.19 in	0
ICON	0	0.04 in	0.10 in	0.05 in	0	0.04 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	819	714	820	820	619	418	517
AIFS	9	9	7	7	6	7	5
GFS	514	515	715	611	69	68	69
ICON	717	618	717	615	513	514	616
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	4%	96%	33%	22%	52%	63%	46%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	81%	48%	39%	23%	34%	42%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −52%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	83° / 72°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	83° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	83° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +29%	82° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +21%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Playa del Carmen climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Playa del Carmen is from January to March: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Playa del Carmen, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.

84° 65°

JanJ
86° 66°

FebF
87° 68°

MarM
89° 71°

AprA
91° 74°

MayM
91° 75°

JunJ
92° 75°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
89° 72°

OctO
86° 69°

NovN
84° 67°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	65°	2.11 in	7	6.6	80°	2.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	66°	1.31 in	5	7.7	80°	2.6 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	68°	1.10 in	4	7.8	80°	2.6 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	71°	1.97 in	4	7.6	81°	2.4 ft	–
MayMay	91°	74°	3.80 in	9	8.1	82°	2.3 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	75°	6.11 in	15	7.4	83°	2.5 ft	–
JulyJul	92°	75°	3.09 in	15	8.3	84°	1.9 ft	4
AugustAug	93°	75°	4.72 in	17	7.5	85°	1.9 ft	2
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	7.31 in	20	7.1	85°	1.7 ft	2
OctoberOct	89°	72°	9.52 in	16	6.3	84°	2.0 ft	9
NovemberNov	86°	69°	3.99 in	9	6.6	83°	2.3 ft	1
DecemberDec	84°	67°	2.39 in	7	6.5	81°	2.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	2.6 ft	–
Feb	80°	2.6 ft	–
Mar	80°	2.6 ft	–
Apr	81°	2.4 ft	–
May	82°	2.3 ft	–
Jun	83°	2.5 ft	–
Jul	84°	1.9 ft	4
Aug	85°	1.9 ft	2
Sep	85°	1.7 ft	2
Oct	84°	2.0 ft	9
Nov	83°	2.3 ft	1
Dec	81°	2.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.43 in of rain on about 128 days and about 2,650 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 76 °F

Tomorrow71 / 83 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 76 °F). Today, 70 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Thu 29 96% 0.31 in
Fri 30 33% 0.05 in
Sat 31 22% 0.01 in
Sun 1 52% 0.06 in
Mon 2 63% 0.09 in
Tue 3 46% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 96% and 0.31 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.27 in; last 7 days, 0.43 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity84%

Dew point67 °F

Humidity is 84% now and the dew point is 67 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds4%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.85

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	72 / 85 °F	0.14 in	10 mph N
Mon 26	Drizzle	70 / 81 °F	0.13 in	9 mph NNW
Sun 25	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.04 in	9 mph N
Sat 24	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.03 in	9 mph N
Fri 23	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.05 in	10 mph N
Thu 22	Light drizzle	72 / 85 °F	0.04 in	10 mph NNE
Wed 21	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.19 in	10 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Heavy drizzle	75 / 86 °F	0.26 in	11 mph NE
Mon 19	Light showers	76 / 84 °F	0.31 in	7 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	74 / 84 °F	0.08 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	75 / 81 °F	0.54 in	9 mph NE
Fri 16	Thunderstorm	76 / 78 °F	1.83 in	12 mph ESE
Thu 15	Showers	75 / 86 °F	1.33 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.20 in	9 mph NE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.06 in	12 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.11 in	10 mph NE
Sun 11	Light showers	76 / 88 °F	0.38 in	8 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSW
Thu 8	Thunderstorm	76 / 87 °F	0.42 in	13 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.04 in	10 mph SSE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.05 in	9 mph E
Sun 4	Drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.24 in	10 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.19 in	8 mph ESE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	76 / 87 °F	1.49 in	12 mph SE
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.45 in	9 mph SE
Wed 30	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	0.59 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	76 / 83 °F	1.27 in	10 mph ESE
Mon 28	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.08 in	11 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Playa del CarmenQuestions

What's the weather like today in Playa del Carmen?

Mainly clear, from 70 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the northwest (7 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Playa del Carmen?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 96% (0.31 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.95 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Playa del Carmen?

The best time to visit Playa del Carmen is from January to March: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Playa del Carmen in October?

In October, Playa del Carmen normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 16 rainy days (9.52 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Playa del Carmen?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is October (9.52 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Playa del Carmen?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Playa del Carmen, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Helene, in September 2024.

More about Playa del Carmen today

Weather near Playa del Carmen

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:37 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from