Weather in Isla Holbox

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:11 am (EST)

Now · clear 73 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 73 / 87 °F
Rain: 90% · 0.18 in
Wind: 5 mph WNW

→ 29.93 inHg · steady UV 6 · high

Today in Isla Holbox: light drizzle, 73 °F to 87 °F, with a 90% chance of rain (0.18 in) and a light breeze from the west-northwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 72 °F to 90 °F and a 63% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 90 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 73°
Today
90° 72°
Fri 30
90° 71°
Sat 31
88° 71°
Sun 1
88° 72°
Mon 2
87° 70°
Tue 3
89° 70°
Wed 4
89° 72°
Thu 5
84° 68°
Fri 6
82° 65°
Sat 7
81° 65°
Sun 8
85° 67°
Mon 9
83° 68°
Tue 10
85° 63°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	90% · 0.18 in	7 mph NNW	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Mainly clear	72 / 90 °F	63%	8 mph E	1.3 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	71 / 90 °F	55% · 0.02 in	6 mph E	1.3 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	71 / 88 °F	78% · 0.15 in	5 mph NNE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 88 °F	78% · 0.06 in	6 mph NE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 87 °F	67% · 0.07 in	3 mph ENE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	70 / 89 °F	59% · 0.05 in	5 mph ESE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	72 / 89 °F	57% · 0.09 in	7 mph WSW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	68 / 84 °F	38%	12 mph W	2.7 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	65 / 82 °F	29%	11 mph W	2.5 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	65 / 81 °F	20% · 0.02 in	6 mph NW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	67 / 85 °F	28%	7 mph N	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	68 / 83 °F	25% · 0.02 in	8 mph NNE	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	63 / 85 °F	31%	7 mph NNW	1.4 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	73°	73°	73°	80°	86°	85°	79°	76°
Chance of rain	1%	8%	16%	35%	53%	84%	66%	16%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WNW	5 WNW	5 WNW	5 NNW	6 NNW	7 N	3 NNE	1 E
Humidity	88%	89%	91%	82%	69%	70%	90%	98%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	90°	90°	88°	88°	87°	89°
AIFS	84°	87°	87°	89°	88°	88°	88°
GFS	85°	88°	93°	92°	88°	93°	95°
ICON	87°	89°	92°	87°	86°	88°	90°
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.18 in	0	0.02 in	0.15 in	0.06 in	0.07 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.12 in	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.02 in
GFS	0.33 in	0.12 in	0	0.00 in	0.08 in	0	0
ICON	0.04 in	0	0	0.02 in	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	717	819	617	519	618	319	512
AIFS	5	6	6	4	5	5	6
GFS	613	1015	815	1217	610	815	915
ICON	717	719	617	517	820	717	515
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	90%	63%	55%	78%	78%	67%	59%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	84%	46%	35%	58%	55%	39%	45%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −44%	Above +2.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +23%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	81° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +48%	A bit above +1.3 °F	82° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +54%	A bit above +1.3 °F	81° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F
January	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	Normal 0.0 °F
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F
March	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit above +0.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Isla Holbox climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Isla Holbox is from February to March: highs of 84 °F to 86 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Isla Holbox, about 7 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

82° 64°

JanJ
84° 64°

FebF
86° 65°

MarM
89° 67°

AprA
91° 70°

MayM
91° 72°

JunJ
92° 73°

JulJ
92° 73°

AugA
91° 73°

SepS
89° 71°

OctO
85° 68°

NovN
83° 66°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	64°	1.43 in	6	6.5	76°	2.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	64°	1.01 in	4	7.8	75°	1.8 ft	–
MarchMar	86°	65°	0.77 in	3	8.0	76°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	67°	1.56 in	4	7.7	77°	1.6 ft	–
MayMay	91°	70°	2.65 in	8	8.5	78°	1.4 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	72°	5.06 in	14	7.6	80°	1.2 ft	1
JulyJul	92°	73°	3.54 in	13	8.5	81°	1.0 ft	5
AugustAug	92°	73°	3.94 in	15	7.7	82°	1.1 ft	1
SeptemberSep	91°	73°	7.30 in	18	7.2	83°	1.1 ft	3
OctoberOct	89°	71°	6.27 in	15	6.5	82°	1.8 ft	8
NovemberNov	85°	68°	2.63 in	8	6.8	79°	2.0 ft	2
DecemberDec	83°	66°	1.53 in	7	6.6	77°	1.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	2.1 ft	–
Feb	75°	1.8 ft	–
Mar	76°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	77°	1.6 ft	–
May	78°	1.4 ft	–
Jun	80°	1.2 ft	1
Jul	81°	1.0 ft	5
Aug	82°	1.1 ft	1
Sep	83°	1.1 ft	3
Oct	82°	1.8 ft	8
Nov	79°	2.0 ft	2
Dec	77°	1.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 37.69 in of rain on about 116 days and about 2,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now73 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow72 / 90 °F

It's 73 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 73 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 90 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 90% 0.18 in
Fri 30 63%
Sat 31 55% 0.02 in
Sun 1 78% 0.15 in
Mon 2 78% 0.06 in
Tue 3 67% 0.07 in
Wed 4 59% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 90%, with 0.18 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 63% and 0.00 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.37 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity89%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 89% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds12%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.84

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.01 in	8 mph N
Tue 27	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	0.04 in	9 mph NNE
Mon 26	Drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.12 in	11 mph NNE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.01 in	10 mph N
Sat 24	Clear sky	72 / 85 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Fri 23	Drizzle	69 / 83 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NNE
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	71 / 83 °F	0.12 in	10 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.03 in	9 mph ENE
Mon 19	Thunderstorm	76 / 83 °F	0.71 in	8 mph NE
Sun 18	Thunderstorm	74 / 85 °F	0.34 in	7 mph NE
Sat 17	Thunderstorm	74 / 87 °F	0.96 in	6 mph ENE
Fri 16	Thunderstorm	75 / 79 °F	1.30 in	8 mph E
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	74 / 86 °F	1.54 in	8 mph E
Wed 14	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.15 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.04 in	9 mph NE
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	76 / 87 °F	0.44 in	6 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	75 / 92 °F	0.05 in	6 mph SSE
Fri 9	Drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.22 in	8 mph SSW
Thu 8	Drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.19 in	10 mph S
Wed 7	Drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.14 in	7 mph SE
Tue 6	Light showers	75 / 92 °F	0.30 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	76 / 91 °F	0.27 in	8 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.22 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light showers	73 / 84 °F	0.41 in	8 mph ESE
Fri 2	Thunderstorm	74 / 85 °F	0.99 in	8 mph SE
Thu 1	Light showers	74 / 88 °F	0.33 in	8 mph ESE
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.38 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	74 / 81 °F	2.11 in	6 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Isla HolboxQuestions

What's the weather like today in Isla Holbox?

Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the west-northwest (5 mph) and a 90% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Isla Holbox?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 63% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Isla Holbox?

The best time to visit Isla Holbox is from February to March: highs of 84 °F to 86 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Isla Holbox in October?

In October, Isla Holbox normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 15 rainy days (6.27 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Isla Holbox?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 64 °F. The wettest is September (7.30 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Isla Holbox?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Isla Holbox, about 7 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Isla Holbox today

Weather near Isla Holbox

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 20 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:11 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from