Weather in Mananjary
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:42 am (GMT+3)- Feels like
- 78 °F
- Low / high
- 69 / 84 °F
- Rain
- 99% · 0.43 in
- Wind
- 5 mph NNW
Today in Mananjary: light showers, 69 °F to 84 °F, with a 99% chance of rain (0.43 in) and a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 65 °F to 74 °F and a 94% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 84 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 69 / 84 °F | 99% · 0.43 in | 12 mph SW | 3.5 ft | 1:42 am · 1:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 65 / 74 °F | 94% · 0.59 in | 13 mph SSW | 4.4 ft | 2:41 am · 2:31 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 64 / 78 °F | 49% · 0.05 in | 11 mph S | 3.8 ft | 4:08 am · 3:45 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 65 / 78 °F | 43% | 10 mph SE | 3.9 ft | 6:35 am · 5:57 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 72 / 80 °F | 65% · 0.06 in | 10 mph ENE | 3.9 ft | 8:21 am · 7:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 73 / 83 °F | 84% · 0.06 in | 10 mph NE | 3.6 ft | 9:15 am · 8:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 73 / 83 °F | 25% · 0.02 in | 12 mph NE | 3.2 ft | 9:54 am · 9:40 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 72 / 83 °F | 12% | 13 mph NE | 3.0 ft | 10:25 am · 10:19 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 71 / 83 °F | 8% | 13 mph NE | 2.9 ft | 10:52 am · 10:53 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 71 / 83 °F | 9% | 12 mph NNE | 4.7 ft | 11:16 am · 11:23 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 69 / 83 °F | 20% · 0.03 in | 9 mph NE | 4.2 ft | 11:36 am · 11:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 73 / 82 °F | 20% · 0.17 in | 10 mph E | 4.5 ft | 11:55 am | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 70 / 81 °F | 20% · 0.02 in | 10 mph E | 6.3 ft | 12:17 am · 12:13 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 70 / 80 °F | 29% · 0.14 in | 10 mph NE | 7.9 ft | 12:42 am · 12:32 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Clear | Clear sky | Overcast | Light drizzle | Drizzle | Light showers | Drizzle |
| Temperature | 74° | 71° | 72° | 84° | 82° | 81° | 73° | 70° |
| Chance of rain | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 98% | 96% | 90% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.02 in | 0.07 in | 0.03 in |
| Wind (mph) | 5 N | 3 NW | 5 N | 4 N | 3 SSE | 3 N | 12 S | 9 SSW |
| Humidity | 96% | 100% | 96% | 64% | 72% | 79% | 97% | 97% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on temperature today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 84° | 74° | 78° | 78° | 80° | 83° | 83° |
| AIFS | 80° | 74° | 78° | 80° | 82° | 84° | 84° |
| GFS | 89° | 72° | 76° | 80° | 81° | 87° | 85° |
| ICON | 91° | 76° | 80° | 80° | 84° | 85° | 87° |
| Confidence | low | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.43 in | 0.59 in | 0.05 in | 0 | 0.06 in | 0.06 in | 0.02 in |
| AIFS | 0.50 in | 0.81 in | 0.09 in | 0.02 in | 0.02 in | 0.06 in | 0.02 in |
| GFS | 0.19 in | 0.82 in | 0 | 0 | 0.00 in | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0.37 in | 0.26 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | high | medium | medium | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1221 | 1325 | 1121 | 1021 | 1022 | 1027 | 1225 |
| AIFS | 8 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| GFS | 1123 | 1125 | 811 | 1010 | 99 | 1322 | 1319 |
| ICON | 921 | 921 | 921 | 820 | 1022 | 1023 | 1126 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 99% | 94% | 49% | 43% | 65% | 84% | 25% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 91% | 98% | 45% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Below −82% | A bit above +0.7 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F | 81° / 76° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.5 °F | 81° / 76° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.5 °F | 82° / 77° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F |
| December | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F |
| January | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | Above +2.0 °F |
| February | Above +2.7 °F | A bit below −24% | Above +2.2 °F |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal | Above +2.2 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Mananjary climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Mananjary is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 80 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mananjary, about 5 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 86° | 73° | 14.50 in | 23 | 6.3 | 82° | 5.3 ft | 7 |
| FebruaryFeb | 86° | 73° | 13.61 in | 21 | 6.5 | 83° | 5.2 ft | 5 |
| MarchMar | 85° | 72° | 15.39 in | 21 | 6.2 | 83° | 5.5 ft | 2 |
| AprilApr | 84° | 70° | 8.46 in | 14 | 6.8 | 82° | 5.4 ft | 1 |
| MayMay | 81° | 65° | 8.22 in | 11 | 6.6 | 80° | 5.3 ft | 1 |
| JuneJun | 78° | 63° | 6.24 in | 9 | 6.3 | 78° | 5.8 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 76° | 61° | 6.41 in | 9 | 6.5 | 76° | 5.9 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 77° | 61° | 4.50 in | 5 | 7.4 | 75° | 5.3 ft | – |
| SeptemberSep | 78° | 63° | 3.72 in | 4 | 7.5 | 75° | 5.3 ft | – |
| OctoberOct | 80° | 67° | 3.22 in | 7 | 8.1 | 77° | 5.2 ft | – |
| NovemberNov | 83° | 69° | 5.96 in | 11 | 7.7 | 78° | 4.6 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 85° | 72° | 7.12 in | 17 | 8.0 | 81° | 4.6 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 82° | 5.3 ft | 7 |
| Feb | 83° | 5.2 ft | 5 |
| Mar | 83° | 5.5 ft | 2 |
| Apr | 82° | 5.4 ft | 1 |
| May | 80° | 5.3 ft | 1 |
| Jun | 78° | 5.8 ft | – |
| Jul | 76° | 5.9 ft | – |
| Aug | 75° | 5.3 ft | – |
| Sep | 75° | 5.3 ft | – |
| Oct | 77° | 5.2 ft | – |
| Nov | 78° | 4.6 ft | – |
| Dec | 81° | 4.6 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 97.36 in of rain on about 151 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 72 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 69 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 74 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 99%, with 0.43 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 94% and 0.59 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.12 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 0.89 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 9
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Heavy drizzle | 72 / 85 °F | 0.12 in | 15 mph NNE |
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 72 / 82 °F | 0.04 in | 13 mph NNE |
| Mon 26 | Light drizzle | 71 / 78 °F | 0.07 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Sun 25 | Drizzle | 71 / 74 °F | 0.31 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Sat 24 | Heavy drizzle | 72 / 81 °F | 0.35 in | 12 mph S |
| Fri 23 | Overcast | 75 / 85 °F | 0 | 14 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Overcast | 73 / 85 °F | 0 | 13 mph NNE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Partly cloudy | 72 / 85 °F | 0 | 15 mph NNE |
| Tue 20 | Partly cloudy | 69 / 82 °F | 0 | 15 mph NNE |
| Mon 19 | Partly cloudy | 67 / 82 °F | 0 | 12 mph NNE |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 68 / 81 °F | 0.07 in | 12 mph NE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 67 / 79 °F | 0.07 in | 11 mph NE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 68 / 81 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Thu 15 | Light drizzle | 69 / 80 °F | 0.01 in | 11 mph NE |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 67 / 80 °F | 0.07 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Drizzle | 69 / 80 °F | 0.21 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 68 / 81 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 72 / 82 °F | 0 | 10 mph ENE |
| Sat 10 | Heavy drizzle | 72 / 81 °F | 0.28 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 69 / 84 °F | 0.03 in | 11 mph NE |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 66 / 83 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph NNE |
| Wed 7 | Light drizzle | 70 / 80 °F | 0.03 in | 10 mph NE |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 70 / 78 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Mon 5 | Heavy drizzle | 71 / 77 °F | 0.33 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Sun 4 | Light rain | 70 / 80 °F | 0.46 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Sat 3 | Light showers | 70 / 77 °F | 1.12 in | 13 mph ENE |
| Fri 2 | Rain | 69 / 73 °F | 1.97 in | 11 mph SSE |
| Thu 1 | Rain | 68 / 71 °F | 1.01 in | 14 mph SSW |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 69 / 82 °F | 0.20 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Tue 29 | Mainly clear | 68 / 83 °F | 0 | 11 mph NE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in MananjaryQuestions
What's the weather like today in Mananjary?
Light showers, from 69 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (5 mph) and a 99% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Mananjary?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 94% (0.59 in): light rain.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.86 inHg and steady: −0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Mananjary?
The best time to visit Mananjary is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 80 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Mananjary in October?
In October, Mananjary normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.22 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Mananjary?
The warmest is January, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 61 °F. The wettest is March (15.39 in) and the driest, October.
When is cyclone season in Mananjary?
Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mananjary, about 5 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.
More about Mananjary today
Weather near Mananjary
- Nosy Varika 72 °F · clear · 46 mi
- Manakara 71 °F · partly cloudy · 67 mi
- Savana 71 °F · overcast · 85 mi
- Mahanoro 73 °F · clear · 97 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:42 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from