Weather in Manakara

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:20 am (GMT+3)

Now · mainly clear 72 °F

Feels like: 80 °F
Low / high: 67 / 82 °F
Rain: 100% · 1.11 in
Wind: 2 mph WNW

→ 29.83 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Manakara: showers, 67 °F to 82 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.11 in) and a light air from the west-northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 65 °F to 75 °F and a 94% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 84 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 67°
Today
75° 65°
Fri 30
76° 64°
Sat 31
78° 65°
Sun 1
80° 71°
Mon 2
83° 72°
Tue 3
84° 73°
Wed 4
84° 72°
Thu 5
83° 71°
Fri 6
84° 71°
Sat 7
83° 70°
Sun 8
82° 72°
Mon 9
81° 70°
Tue 10
81° 71°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Showers	67 / 82 °F	100% · 1.11 in	11 mph SSW	4.8 ft	1:07 am · 1:10 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	65 / 75 °F	94% · 0.69 in	13 mph SW	5.3 ft	2:04 am · 1:54 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	64 / 76 °F	80% · 0.09 in	9 mph SSW	4.7 ft	3:36 am · 3:01 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	65 / 78 °F	47% · 0.04 in	9 mph ESE	5.1 ft	7:18 am · 5:31 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	45% · 0.02 in	10 mph ENE	5.0 ft	8:38 am · 7:34 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	72 / 83 °F	67% · 0.09 in	10 mph NE	4.5 ft	9:16 am · 8:35 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	25% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	4.7 ft	9:47 am · 9:19 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	72 / 84 °F	18%	13 mph NE	4.6 ft	10:13 am · 9:55 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	71 / 83 °F	6%	13 mph NNE	3.0 ft	10:35 am · 10:26 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	71 / 84 °F	6%	13 mph NNE	2.9 ft	10:54 am · 10:54 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	20% · 0.02 in	9 mph NE	—	11:11 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	72 / 82 °F	24% · 0.15 in	10 mph ENE	—	11:26 am · 11:42 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	24% · 0.03 in	10 mph ENE	—	11:41 am	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	71 / 81 °F	29% · 0.09 in	11 mph NE	—	12:05 am · 11:58 am	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Clear	Overcast	Overcast	Light showers	Light showers	Rain	Light drizzle
Temperature	74°	72°	73°	82°	78°	74°	71°	69°
Chance of rain	18%	0%	0%	25%	98%	100%	96%	98%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.05 in	0.08 in	0.22 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	3 NE	2 WNW	3 WNW	3 SE	7 ESE	5 ESE	4 WNW	10 SW
Humidity	93%	97%	97%	75%	85%	91%	98%	97%
UV	0	0	0	6	8	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	82°	75°	76°	78°	80°	83°	84°
AIFS	79°	74°	78°	81°	83°	84°	85°
GFS	83°	71°	75°	78°	80°	83°	82°
ICON	86°	77°	80°	80°	86°	88°	89°
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1.11 in	0.69 in	0.09 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.61 in	0.69 in	0.17 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.05 in
GFS	0.42 in	2.95 in	0.03 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.00 in	0.17 in
ICON	0.67 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1120	1325	921	923	1024	1026	1327
AIFS	8	10	6	9	10	11	13
GFS	913	1727	916	1011	915	1324	1519
ICON	932	921	921	718	923	1025	1126
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	94%	80%	47%	45%	67%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	45%	30%	39%	10%	21%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −77%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	85° / 72°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	85° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	86° / 74°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Manakara climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manakara is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manakara, about 4 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.

86° 73°

JanJ
85° 73°

FebF
85° 72°

MarM
84° 69°

AprA
80° 64°

MayM
78° 62°

JunJ
76° 60°

JulJ
77° 60°

AugA
78° 62°

SepS
80° 66°

OctO
82° 69°

NovN
85° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	86°	73°	15.18 in	25	6.4	82°	4.5 ft	4
FebruaryFeb	85°	73°	12.90 in	23	6.6	83°	4.5 ft	5
MarchMar	85°	72°	18.00 in	23	6.1	83°	4.7 ft	1
AprilApr	84°	69°	10.95 in	17	6.6	82°	4.6 ft	1
MayMay	80°	64°	7.75 in	13	6.6	80°	4.5 ft	1
JuneJun	78°	62°	7.83 in	11	6.5	78°	4.9 ft	–
JulyJul	76°	60°	5.86 in	13	6.5	76°	4.9 ft	–
AugustAug	77°	60°	4.06 in	7	7.3	75°	4.5 ft	–
SeptemberSep	78°	62°	3.67 in	6	7.2	75°	4.5 ft	–
OctoberOct	80°	66°	2.85 in	10	7.7	76°	4.4 ft	–
NovemberNov	82°	69°	5.22 in	16	7.4	78°	3.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	85°	71°	7.52 in	22	7.8	80°	3.9 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	4.5 ft	4
Feb	83°	4.5 ft	5
Mar	83°	4.7 ft	1
Apr	82°	4.6 ft	1
May	80°	4.5 ft	1
Jun	78°	4.9 ft	–
Jul	76°	4.9 ft	–
Aug	75°	4.5 ft	–
Sep	75°	4.5 ft	–
Oct	76°	4.4 ft	–
Nov	78°	3.9 ft	–
Dec	80°	3.9 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 101.79 in of rain on about 188 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 80 °F

Tomorrow65 / 75 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 80 °F). Today, 67 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 65 °F to 75 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 1.11 in
Fri 30 94% 0.69 in
Sat 31 80% 0.09 in
Sun 1 47% 0.04 in
Mon 2 45% 0.02 in
Tue 3 67% 0.09 in
Wed 4 25% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.11 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 94% and 0.69 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.06 in; last 7 days, 0.60 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds29%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.99

Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	72 / 88 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Tue 27	Overcast	71 / 85 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.06 in	11 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	70 / 73 °F	0.28 in	9 mph SE
Sat 24	Drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.25 in	14 mph S
Fri 23	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.02 in	16 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	73 / 85 °F	0	13 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	72 / 86 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	69 / 83 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	66 / 82 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	0.02 in	13 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.06 in	11 mph NE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	68 / 82 °F	0.03 in	12 mph NE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.05 in	11 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	0.03 in	11 mph NE
Tue 13	Drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.20 in	11 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.07 in	9 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.04 in	11 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light rain	70 / 78 °F	0.51 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 9	Drizzle	68 / 82 °F	0.23 in	9 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	66 / 84 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NNE
Wed 7	Overcast	69 / 78 °F	0	12 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	69 / 77 °F	0.07 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 5	Rain	70 / 77 °F	0.84 in	11 mph ENE
Sun 4	Light showers	69 / 78 °F	0.82 in	9 mph NE
Sat 3	Heavy rain	70 / 75 °F	2.41 in	13 mph ENE
Fri 2	Heavy rain	68 / 73 °F	2.17 in	11 mph SE
Thu 1	Rain	68 / 71 °F	1.70 in	11 mph S
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.22 in	16 mph SSE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	67 / 84 °F	0.01 in	12 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ManakaraQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manakara?

Showers, from 67 °F to 82 °F, with a light air from the west-northwest (2 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manakara?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 94% (0.69 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and steady: −0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manakara?

The best time to visit Manakara is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 80 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manakara in October?

In October, Manakara normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 66 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.85 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 76 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manakara?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is March (18.00 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Manakara?

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manakara, about 4 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.

More about Manakara today

Weather near Manakara

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:20 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from