Weather in Nosy Varika

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:15 am (GMT+3)

Now · clear sky 80 °F

Feels like: 88 °F
Low / high: 69 / 84 °F
Rain: 98% · 0.41 in
Wind: 5 mph NNE

→ 29.88 inHg · steady UV 11 · very high

Today in Nosy Varika: light rain, 69 °F to 84 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.41 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 67 °F to 74 °F and a 97% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 84 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 69°
Today
74° 67°
Fri 30
77° 66°
Sat 31
78° 68°
Sun 1
81° 72°
Mon 2
82° 74°
Tue 3
83° 73°
Wed 4
82° 72°
Thu 5
83° 71°
Fri 6
82° 71°
Sat 7
82° 69°
Sun 8
82° 73°
Mon 9
82° 71°
Tue 10
81° 70°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	69 / 84 °F	98% · 0.41 in	14 mph NNE	4.8 ft	2:02 am · 2:01 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light rain	67 / 74 °F	97% · 0.64 in	14 mph SW	5.5 ft	3:01 am · 2:52 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	66 / 77 °F	47% · 0.02 in	10 mph S	4.9 ft	4:24 am · 4:07 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	68 / 78 °F	61%	9 mph SSE	5.0 ft	6:31 am · 6:10 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 81 °F	65% · 0.09 in	9 mph E	5.1 ft	8:16 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	70% · 0.06 in	11 mph NE	4.7 ft	9:17 am · 9:04 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 83 °F	12% · 0.02 in	13 mph NNE	4.3 ft	9:59 am · 9:53 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Clear sky	72 / 82 °F	12%	14 mph NNE	3.9 ft	10:34 am · 10:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	71 / 83 °F	7%	13 mph NNE	3.7 ft	11:03 am · 11:09 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	71 / 82 °F	6%	13 mph NNE	3.7 ft	11:29 am · 11:41 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	12% · 0.03 in	11 mph NE	3.1 ft	11:51 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	20% · 0.15 in	10 mph E	3.3 ft	12:10 am · 12:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	20% · 0.07 in	9 mph E	5.0 ft	12:37 am · 12:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	70 / 81 °F	24% · 0.23 in	10 mph ENE	6.6 ft	1:04 am · 12:51 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Overcast	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle
Temperature	74°	73°	73°	83°	84°	80°	77°	71°
Chance of rain	65%	37%	2%	0%	10%	94%	86%	86%
Rain	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.04 in
Wind (mph)	10 NNE	9 N	6 N	5 NE	9 NE	4 NE	2 N	13 SSW
Humidity	97%	98%	97%	72%	73%	85%	96%	98%
UV	0	0	0	8	7	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	84°	74°	77°	78°	81°	82°	83°
AIFS	82°	74°	78°	79°	81°	82°	83°
GFS	82°	71°	73°	78°	80°	82°	81°
ICON	87°	76°	78°	78°	82°	83°	85°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.41 in	0.64 in	0.02 in	0	0.09 in	0.06 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.52 in	1.02 in	0.11 in	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.07 in	0.04 in
GFS	1.00 in	0.56 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0
ICON	0.56 in	0.26 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1430	1428	1021	921	922	1130	1327
AIFS	10	11	8	10	10	11	13
GFS	1619	1221	810	1312	1210	1721	1721
ICON	1020	1122	1123	1019	1121	1122	1224
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	97%	47%	61%	65%	70%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	90%	90%	45%	17%	16%	19%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.8 °F	Below −77%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	84° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	85° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	86° / 73°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
January	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Nosy Varika climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nosy Varika is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 81 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nosy Varika, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.

86° 74°

JanJ
86° 73°

FebF
85° 72°

MarM
84° 70°

AprA
81° 66°

MayM
78° 63°

JunJ
77° 62°

JulJ
77° 62°

AugA
79° 64°

SepS
81° 67°

OctO
84° 69°

NovN
86° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	86°	74°	17.48 in	25	6.0	83°	5.1 ft	5
FebruaryFeb	86°	73°	14.09 in	24	6.2	83°	4.9 ft	5
MarchMar	85°	72°	17.26 in	24	6.2	83°	5.2 ft	2
AprilApr	84°	70°	9.28 in	17	6.8	82°	5.1 ft	1
MayMay	81°	66°	10.08 in	14	6.5	80°	5.1 ft	1
JuneJun	78°	63°	8.24 in	13	6.3	78°	5.6 ft	–
JulyJul	77°	62°	5.91 in	14	6.3	76°	5.7 ft	–
AugustAug	77°	62°	4.69 in	8	7.3	75°	5.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	79°	64°	3.63 in	7	7.5	76°	5.1 ft	–
OctoberOct	81°	67°	2.40 in	10	8.1	77°	4.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	84°	69°	5.20 in	15	7.7	79°	4.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	72°	7.77 in	21	7.7	81°	4.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	5.1 ft	5
Feb	83°	4.9 ft	5
Mar	83°	5.2 ft	2
Apr	82°	5.1 ft	1
May	80°	5.1 ft	1
Jun	78°	5.6 ft	–
Jul	76°	5.7 ft	–
Aug	75°	5.2 ft	–
Sep	76°	5.1 ft	–
Oct	77°	4.9 ft	–
Nov	79°	4.3 ft	–
Dec	81°	4.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 106.04 in of rain on about 189 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 88 °F

Tomorrow67 / 74 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 69 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 67 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 98% 0.41 in
Fri 30 97% 0.64 in
Sat 31 47% 0.02 in
Sun 1 61%
Mon 2 65% 0.09 in
Tue 3 70% 0.06 in
Wed 4 12% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.41 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.64 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 1.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity77%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 77% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds9%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now5

Today's peak11very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 30.03

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	72 / 84 °F	0.05 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	72 / 81 °F	0.03 in	14 mph NNE
Mon 26	Drizzle	72 / 79 °F	0.25 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	71 / 76 °F	0.45 in	10 mph S
Sat 24	Light showers	73 / 82 °F	0.41 in	11 mph S
Fri 23	Overcast	75 / 85 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	74 / 84 °F	0	17 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	73 / 82 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Tue 20	Overcast	70 / 82 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	66 / 81 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Sun 18	Drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.07 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	68 / 79 °F	0.13 in	11 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	68 / 81 °F	0.01 in	9 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	68 / 80 °F	0.05 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	67 / 79 °F	0.03 in	10 mph ENE
Tue 13	Drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.21 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	0.05 in	9 mph SSE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.02 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	73 / 81 °F	0.03 in	10 mph NE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.01 in	14 mph NE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	68 / 83 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NNE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	71 / 79 °F	0.07 in	10 mph E
Mon 5	Light rain	72 / 78 °F	0.61 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.06 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 3	Light rain	70 / 79 °F	0.17 in	11 mph ENE
Fri 2	Rain	69 / 77 °F	1.45 in	11 mph SSE
Thu 1	Rain	69 / 75 °F	0.97 in	15 mph SW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	0.05 in	10 mph ENE
Tue 29	Clear sky	68 / 81 °F	0	13 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Nosy VarikaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nosy Varika?

Light rain, from 69 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (5 mph) and a 98% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nosy Varika?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 97% (0.64 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 66 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nosy Varika?

The best time to visit Nosy Varika is from August to October: highs of 77 °F to 81 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nosy Varika in October?

In October, Nosy Varika normally sees highs of 81 °F and lows of 67 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.40 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 77 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nosy Varika?

The warmest is December, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest August, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is January (17.48 in) and the driest, October.

When is cyclone season in Nosy Varika?

Cyclone season: from January to March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nosy Varika, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Freddy, in February 2023.

More about Nosy Varika today

Weather near Nosy Varika

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:15 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from