Weather in Manambotra Sud

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:40 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 81 °F

Feels like: 86 °F
Low / high: 68 / 81 °F
Rain: 100% · 1.30 in
Wind: 6 mph NW

→ 29.85 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Manambotra Sud: thunderstorm, 68 °F to 81 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.30 in) and a light breeze from the northwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, rain, 63 °F to 74 °F and a 87% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 82 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

81° 68°
Today
74° 63°
Fri 30
77° 63°
Sat 31
77° 63°
Sun 1
80° 71°
Mon 2
82° 74°
Tue 3
82° 75°
Wed 4
83° 74°
Thu 5
82° 73°
Fri 6
82° 73°
Sat 7
82° 72°
Sun 8
82° 73°
Mon 9
81° 72°
Tue 10
82° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Thunderstorm	68 / 81 °F	100% · 1.30 in	15 mph SW	4.7 ft	12:44 am · 12:50 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Rain	63 / 74 °F	87% · 0.54 in	12 mph SSW	4.6 ft	1:38 am · 1:30 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	63 / 77 °F	88% · 0.21 in	10 mph SSW	4.1 ft	3:08 am · 2:28 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	63 / 77 °F	20%	11 mph SE	4.6 ft	5:10 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	71 / 80 °F	32% · 0.04 in	11 mph ENE	4.4 ft	8:54 am · 7:26 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	44% · 0.04 in	12 mph NE	3.9 ft	9:20 am · 8:25 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	20% · 0.06 in	13 mph NE	3.5 ft	9:45 am · 9:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	25% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	3.4 ft	10:07 am · 9:41 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	73 / 82 °F	15%	14 mph NNE	3.5 ft	10:26 am · 10:10 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	73 / 82 °F	9%	14 mph NNE	5.1 ft	10:42 am · 10:36 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	72 / 82 °F	16%	9 mph NE	4.7 ft	10:56 am · 10:59 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	22% · 0.03 in	11 mph ENE	5.9 ft	11:09 am · 11:21 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	72 / 81 °F	25% · 0.13 in	13 mph NE	7.3 ft	11:23 am · 11:42 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	29% · 0.12 in	13 mph NE	7.9 ft	11:40 am	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Showers	Rain	Light rain
Temperature	73°	70°	71°	79°	81°	71°	69°	68°
Chance of rain	88%	31%	2%	63%	88%	100%	100%	94%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.24 in	0.11 in	0.06 in
Wind (mph)	3 SSW	4 NNW	7 WNW	7 NW	4 WNW	14 S	12 S	12 SSW
Humidity	99%	98%	94%	72%	71%	95%	96%	95%
UV	0	0	0	6	5	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	81°	74°	77°	77°	80°	82°	82°
AIFS	77°	73°	76°	80°	82°	84°	85°
GFS	83°	71°	76°	80°	81°	82°	81°
ICON	85°	74°	79°	85°	86°	87°	87°
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1.30 in	0.54 in	0.21 in	0	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.06 in
AIFS	0.80 in	0.67 in	0.13 in	0	0	0.03 in	0.09 in
GFS	2.01 in	0.80 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.02 in
ICON	0.82 in	0.23 in	0	0	0	0	0.31 in
Confidence	medium	medium	low	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1529	1224	1023	1125	1124	1226	1329
AIFS	12	11	6	8	11	12	13
GFS	1626	1426	712	914	1115	1221	1222
ICON	1128	919	919	921	1023	1227	921
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	87%	88%	20%	32%	44%	20%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	48%	40%	49%	39%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −72%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	85° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	85° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	85° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Manambotra Sud climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manambotra Sud is from August to October: highs of 78 °F to 82 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manambotra Sud, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Alvaro, in January 2023.

87° 74°

JanJ
87° 74°

FebF
86° 73°

MarM
84° 70°

AprA
82° 65°

MayM
79° 62°

JunJ
78° 60°

JulJ
78° 62°

AugA
80° 64°

SepS
82° 68°

OctO
84° 70°

NovN
86° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	87°	74°	13.96 in	24	6.8	82°	5.1 ft	5
FebruaryFeb	87°	74°	12.04 in	22	7.0	83°	5.1 ft	2
MarchMar	86°	73°	11.53 in	23	6.3	82°	5.2 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	70°	10.26 in	16	6.8	81°	5.2 ft	–
MayMay	82°	65°	8.54 in	14	6.7	80°	5.0 ft	1
JuneJun	79°	62°	5.26 in	11	6.4	78°	5.5 ft	–
JulyJul	78°	60°	5.73 in	12	6.7	76°	5.5 ft	–
AugustAug	78°	62°	3.27 in	8	7.3	75°	5.1 ft	–
SeptemberSep	80°	64°	2.60 in	7	7.6	75°	5.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	82°	68°	4.10 in	10	8.2	76°	5.0 ft	–
NovemberNov	84°	70°	4.14 in	15	7.7	77°	4.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	73°	8.89 in	20	8.2	80°	4.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	5.1 ft	5
Feb	83°	5.1 ft	2
Mar	82°	5.2 ft	–
Apr	81°	5.2 ft	–
May	80°	5.0 ft	1
Jun	78°	5.5 ft	–
Jul	76°	5.5 ft	–
Aug	75°	5.1 ft	–
Sep	75°	5.2 ft	–
Oct	76°	5.0 ft	–
Nov	77°	4.6 ft	–
Dec	80°	4.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 90.33 in of rain on about 181 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now81 °Ffeels like 86 °F

Tomorrow63 / 74 °F

It's 81 °F now (feels like 86 °F). Today, 68 °F to 81 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 74 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 1.30 in
Fri 30 87% 0.54 in
Sat 31 88% 0.21 in
Sun 1 20%
Mon 2 32% 0.04 in
Tue 3 44% 0.04 in
Wed 4 20% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.30 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 87% and 0.54 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.18 in; last 3 days, 0.18 in; last 7 days, 0.64 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point70 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 70 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds97%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now7

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.0030.10 30.03

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.15 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Heavy drizzle	73 / 86 °F	0.14 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	73 / 83 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	68 / 75 °F	0.22 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 24	Drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.13 in	15 mph S
Fri 23	Drizzle	75 / 85 °F	0.10 in	17 mph NNE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	74 / 84 °F	0	15 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Mainly clear	73 / 83 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	71 / 82 °F	0	16 mph NNE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	70 / 81 °F	0	14 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.14 in	13 mph NE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	70 / 82 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	72 / 80 °F	0.03 in	12 mph NE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.06 in	12 mph NNE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	69 / 80 °F	0.09 in	12 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.09 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	70 / 81 °F	0.12 in	12 mph NE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	69 / 78 °F	0.11 in	8 mph ESE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	67 / 80 °F	0.05 in	11 mph SSE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	67 / 83 °F	0.05 in	11 mph N
Wed 7	Light drizzle	70 / 79 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	71 / 76 °F	0.01 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 5	Light rain	70 / 75 °F	0.73 in	14 mph ENE
Sun 4	Rain	70 / 74 °F	1.17 in	11 mph NE
Sat 3	Rain	69 / 72 °F	1.97 in	11 mph E
Fri 2	Light rain	67 / 72 °F	0.86 in	10 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	69 / 73 °F	0.11 in	16 mph SSE
Wed 30	Drizzle	69 / 79 °F	0.15 in	18 mph S
Tue 29	Light drizzle	69 / 83 °F	0.01 in	12 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Manambotra SudQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manambotra Sud?

Thunderstorm, from 68 °F to 81 °F, with a light breeze from the northwest (6 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manambotra Sud?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 87% (0.54 in): rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 63 °F and a high of 82 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manambotra Sud?

The best time to visit Manambotra Sud is from August to October: highs of 78 °F to 82 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manambotra Sud in October?

In October, Manambotra Sud normally sees highs of 82 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.10 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 76 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manambotra Sud?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is January (13.96 in) and the driest, September.

When is cyclone season in Manambotra Sud?

Cyclone season: from January to February, peaking in January. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manambotra Sud, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Alvaro, in January 2023.

More about Manambotra Sud today

Weather near Manambotra Sud

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:40 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from