Weather in El Cubolero

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:08 am (CST)

Now · partly cloudy 74 °F

Feels like: 81 °F
Low / high: 73 / 91 °F
Rain: 58% · 0.01 in
Wind: 2 mph NW

→ 29.85 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in El Cubolero: light drizzle, 73 °F to 91 °F, with a 58% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 92 °F and a 55% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 94 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

91° 73°
Today
92° 74°
Fri 30
94° 74°
Sat 31
93° 74°
Sun 1
92° 75°
Mon 2
90° 74°
Tue 3
88° 74°
Wed 4
89° 73°
Thu 5
89° 73°
Fri 6
92° 73°
Sat 7
92° 71°
Sun 8
91° 74°
Mon 9
93° 74°
Tue 10
93° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	73 / 91 °F	58% · 0.01 in	4 mph NNW	0.8 ft	4:45 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	55% · 0.04 in	3 mph NNW	0.7 ft	5:34 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	74 / 94 °F	39% · 0.01 in	3 mph NNW	0.8 ft	6:26 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	43% · 0.05 in	5 mph N	0.7 ft	7:22 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	75 / 92 °F	76% · 0.37 in	4 mph SE	0.9 ft	8:23 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light rain	74 / 90 °F	83% · 0.24 in	7 mph ENE	0.9 ft	9:30 am · 10:12 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	74 / 88 °F	86% · 0.29 in	4 mph ENE	0.7 ft	10:39 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light showers	73 / 89 °F	71% · 0.35 in	4 mph SE	0.9 ft	11:46 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light showers	73 / 89 °F	63% · 0.13 in	9 mph N	0.9 ft	12:19 am · 12:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	73 / 92 °F	51%	6 mph NNE	—	1:12 am · 1:39 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	71 / 92 °F	35% · 0.31 in	5 mph ENE	—	1:58 am · 2:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	74 / 91 °F	32% · 0.08 in	3 mph NNW	—	2:39 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	74 / 93 °F	40% · 0.16 in	4 mph NNW	—	3:17 am · 3:43 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	39% · 0.09 in	2 mph WNW	—	3:53 am · 4:19 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	76°	74°	74°	85°	90°	90°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	8%	0%	0%	0%	2%	16%	14%	51%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	0 NNW	2 NNW	2 NW	1 ESE	2 N	3 NNE	4 NNW	2 NW
Humidity	98%	92%	93%	68%	56%	61%	81%	83%
UV	0	0	0	6	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	91°	92°	94°	93°	92°	90°	88°
AIFS	91°	92°	93°	94°	93°	90°	89°
GFS	96°	96°	97°	98°	97°	92°	89°
ICON	94°	96°	99°	100°	96°	94°	88°
Confidence	medium	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.37 in	0.24 in	0.29 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.17 in	0.33 in
GFS	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.07 in	0.26 in	0.17 in	0.15 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.10 in	0.37 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	medium	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	412	39	38	511	422	723	415
AIFS	5	5	6	6	5	5	4
GFS	44	45	44	58	47	710	44
ICON	613	613	1020	1019	917	815	919
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	58%	55%	39%	43%	76%	83%	86%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	58%	58%	42%	74%	55%	61%	78%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +50%	Above +2.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −45%	Above +2.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.1 °F	Below −55%	Above +2.9 °F	90° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +3.1 °F	90° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +3.1 °F	90° / 81°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.8 °F	Below −62%	Well above +3.8 °F
December	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	Above +3.4 °F
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F
March	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +3.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

El Cubolero climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Cubolero is from December to February: highs of 92 °F to 93 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Cubolero, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

92° 73°

JanJ
93° 74°

FebF
94° 76°

MarM
95° 77°

AprA
94° 76°

MayM
91° 74°

JunJ
94° 76°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
90° 73°

OctO
91° 73°

NovN
92° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	92°	73°	0.05 in	0	9.5	82°	1.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	93°	74°	0.04 in	0	10.1	82°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	94°	76°	0.32 in	1	10.2	83°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	95°	77°	1.28 in	4	9.5	85°	2.0 ft	–
MayMay	94°	76°	12.04 in	16	8.4	86°	2.2 ft	2
JuneJun	91°	74°	12.38 in	18	7.7	86°	2.3 ft	–
JulyJul	94°	76°	6.20 in	12	8.8	86°	2.1 ft	1
AugustAug	93°	75°	9.54 in	16	8.2	87°	2.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	13.80 in	21	7.4	86°	2.3 ft	–
OctoberOct	90°	73°	13.72 in	17	6.8	85°	2.3 ft	3
NovemberNov	91°	73°	1.79 in	4	8.4	84°	1.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	92°	72°	0.19 in	1	9.0	83°	1.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.5 ft	–
Feb	82°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	83°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	85°	2.0 ft	–
May	86°	2.2 ft	2
Jun	86°	2.3 ft	–
Jul	86°	2.1 ft	1
Aug	87°	2.2 ft	–
Sep	86°	2.3 ft	–
Oct	85°	2.3 ft	3
Nov	84°	1.9 ft	1
Dec	83°	1.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 71.34 in of rain on about 109 days and about 3,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now74 °Ffeels like 81 °F

Tomorrow74 / 92 °F

It's 74 °F now (feels like 81 °F). Today, 73 °F to 91 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 92 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 58% 0.01 in
Fri 30 55% 0.04 in
Sat 31 39% 0.01 in
Sun 1 43% 0.05 in
Mon 2 76% 0.37 in
Tue 3 83% 0.24 in
Wed 4 86% 0.29 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 58%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 55% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.01 in; last 7 days, 0.17 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds72%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.75

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	72 / 93 °F	0.01 in	7 mph W
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	71 / 90 °F	0	4 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	71 / 92 °F	0	9 mph N
Sun 25	Overcast	74 / 92 °F	0	12 mph N
Sat 24	Overcast	74 / 93 °F	0	10 mph N
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.15 in	10 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	76 / 92 °F	0	4 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.01 in	4 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light showers	76 / 91 °F	0.21 in	6 mph N
Mon 19	Thunderstorm	75 / 91 °F	0.85 in	4 mph W
Sun 18	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	0.20 in	4 mph NNE
Sat 17	Showers	76 / 89 °F	1.39 in	3 mph WNW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.15 in	4 mph NNW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.06 in	4 mph NE
Wed 14	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.39 in	3 mph N
Tue 13	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.30 in	5 mph NNE
Mon 12	Thunderstorm	73 / 94 °F	0.42 in	4 mph NNE
Sun 11	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.24 in	6 mph NNW
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	75 / 91 °F	0.69 in	6 mph N
Fri 9	Showers	75 / 89 °F	0.91 in	4 mph NNW
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 88 °F	0.41 in	11 mph E
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 93 °F	0.43 in	5 mph W
Tue 6	Light showers	75 / 92 °F	0.29 in	4 mph NW
Mon 5	Showers	76 / 93 °F	0.72 in	6 mph SW
Sun 4	Light showers	74 / 87 °F	0.73 in	7 mph N
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	76 / 91 °F	1.59 in	4 mph NE
Fri 2	Light showers	75 / 85 °F	0.56 in	5 mph NNW
Thu 1	Light showers	74 / 91 °F	0.33 in	6 mph NNW
Wed 30	Thunderstorm	75 / 91 °F	0.80 in	7 mph NNW
Tue 29	Light showers	76 / 91 °F	0.50 in	5 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El CuboleroQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Cubolero?

Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 91 °F, with a light air from the northwest (2 mph) and a 58% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Cubolero?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 55% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Cubolero?

The best time to visit El Cubolero is from December to February: highs of 92 °F to 93 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Cubolero in October?

In October, El Cubolero normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 17 rainy days (13.72 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Cubolero?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 95 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 72 °F. The wettest is September (13.80 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in El Cubolero?

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Cubolero, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

More about El Cubolero today

Weather near El Cubolero

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:08 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from