Weather in San José de Las Conchas

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 8:36 pm (CST)

Now · overcast 79 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 74 / 93 °F
Rain: 49% · 0.01 in
Wind: 6 mph SSE

↗ 29.90 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in San José de Las Conchas: light drizzle, 74 °F to 93 °F, with a 49% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 92 °F and a 51% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 94 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

93° 74°
Today
92° 74°
Thu 29
92° 75°
Fri 30
94° 75°
Sat 31
92° 78°
Sun 1
94° 75°
Mon 2
90° 74°
Tue 3
88° 73°
Wed 4
89° 74°
Thu 5
89° 74°
Fri 6
93° 74°
Sat 7
92° 74°
Sun 8
93° 75°
Mon 9
94° 75°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	49% · 0.01 in	6 mph ENE	0.8 ft	3:58 am · 4:24 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	51% · 0.01 in	4 mph E	0.7 ft	4:45 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	43%	4 mph E	0.7 ft	5:34 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	75 / 94 °F	16%	7 mph NE	0.9 ft	6:26 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	78 / 92 °F	44% · 0.09 in	8 mph NE	0.9 ft	7:22 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	75 / 94 °F	51% · 0.02 in	7 mph ENE	1.0 ft	8:23 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Heavy drizzle	74 / 90 °F	81% · 0.38 in	4 mph ESE	1.0 ft	9:30 am · 10:12 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	73 / 88 °F	85% · 0.40 in	4 mph E	0.9 ft	10:39 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	76% · 0.11 in	4 mph SSE	0.9 ft	11:46 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 89 °F	65% · 0.07 in	4 mph SSE	1.2 ft	12:19 am · 12:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	74 / 93 °F	41% · 0.05 in	8 mph NE	1.1 ft	1:12 am · 1:39 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	74 / 92 °F	37%	12 mph NNE	1.1 ft	1:58 am · 2:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	75 / 93 °F	34%	13 mph NNE	0.9 ft	2:39 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	75 / 94 °F	47% · 0.02 in	12 mph NNE	1.0 ft	3:17 am · 3:43 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	78°	75°	74°	86°	92°	92°	83°	79°
Chance of rain	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	8%	10%	49%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 E	5 NE	4 NE	5 NNE	6 NNE	4 S	5 SSW	6 SE
Humidity	82%	85%	83%	63%	45%	50%	76%	86%
UV	0	0	0	6	10	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	93°	92°	92°	94°	92°	94°	90°
AIFS	93°	92°	94°	95°	96°	95°	91°
GFS	95°	94°	94°	95°	96°	95°	90°
ICON	92°	91°	94°	98°	98°	98°	90°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.38 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.08 in	0.27 in
GFS	0.07 in	0.20 in	0.21 in	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.15 in	0.11 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.44 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	613	413	415	715	818	716	416
AIFS	4	3	4	4	4	3	4
GFS	66	65	88	76	67	64	74
ICON	815	917	815	1120	715	712	816
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	49%	51%	43%	16%	44%	51%	81%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	28%	79%	89%	50%	65%	61%	72%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +28%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −48%	91° / 76°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.6 °F	Below −58%	92° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	93° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.6 °F	Below −56%	94° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +4.3 °F	Below −72%
December	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
March	Above +2.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

San José de Las Conchas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit San José de Las Conchas is from November to February: highs of 92 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of San José de Las Conchas, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

93° 73°

JanJ
95° 74°

FebF
96° 75°

MarM
96° 77°

AprA
95° 77°

MayM
92° 75°

JunJ
94° 76°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
90° 74°

OctO
92° 74°

NovN
93° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	93°	73°	0.08 in	0	9.3	82°	1.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	95°	74°	0.08 in	0	9.8	82°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	96°	75°	0.23 in	1	10.1	83°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	96°	77°	0.84 in	4	9.1	85°	2.0 ft	–
MayMay	95°	77°	9.91 in	16	8.1	86°	2.2 ft	2
JuneJun	92°	75°	10.70 in	18	7.7	86°	2.3 ft	–
JulyJul	94°	76°	5.76 in	12	8.7	86°	2.1 ft	1
AugustAug	93°	75°	8.33 in	16	8.1	87°	2.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	12.60 in	21	7.5	86°	2.3 ft	–
OctoberOct	90°	74°	11.92 in	17	6.9	85°	2.3 ft	2
NovemberNov	92°	74°	1.85 in	4	8.4	84°	1.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	93°	73°	0.17 in	1	8.8	82°	1.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.5 ft	–
Feb	82°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	83°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	85°	2.0 ft	–
May	86°	2.2 ft	2
Jun	86°	2.3 ft	–
Jul	86°	2.1 ft	1
Aug	87°	2.2 ft	–
Sep	86°	2.3 ft	–
Oct	85°	2.3 ft	2
Nov	84°	1.9 ft	1
Dec	82°	1.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 62.46 in of rain on about 109 days and about 3,100 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow74 / 92 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 74 °F to 93 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 92 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 49% 0.01 in
Thu 29 51% 0.01 in
Fri 30 43%
Sat 31 16%
Sun 1 44% 0.09 in
Mon 2 51% 0.02 in
Tue 3 81% 0.38 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 49%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 51% and 0.01 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.26 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds91%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.7029.8029.9030.00 29.74

Rising now (+0.08 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityPoor · 62

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	71 / 90 °F	0.00 in	7 mph NE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	70 / 93 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NNE
Sun 25	Overcast	76 / 92 °F	0	7 mph N
Sat 24	Overcast	76 / 94 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.22 in	8 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NE
Wed 21	Overcast	76 / 91 °F	0	4 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.20 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 19	Thunderstorm	77 / 91 °F	0.41 in	6 mph ENE
Sun 18	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.35 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 17	Showers	77 / 90 °F	1.96 in	4 mph NE
Fri 16	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.16 in	6 mph NNE
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	77 / 92 °F	0.74 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.38 in	6 mph NNE
Tue 13	Drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.20 in	5 mph ENE
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.30 in	9 mph NNE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.08 in	4 mph NE
Sat 10	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.76 in	4 mph SE
Fri 9	Showers	76 / 89 °F	0.88 in	4 mph WNW
Thu 8	Showers	76 / 87 °F	0.69 in	6 mph NNW
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 91 °F	0.50 in	5 mph SSE
Tue 6	Showers	75 / 91 °F	1.26 in	5 mph NE
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	76 / 92 °F	1.08 in	6 mph NE
Sun 4	Showers	77 / 90 °F	0.94 in	5 mph NNW
Sat 3	Showers	78 / 90 °F	1.19 in	10 mph ESE
Fri 2	Showers	76 / 86 °F	1.09 in	5 mph ESE
Thu 1	Showers	74 / 89 °F	0.29 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 30	Showers	74 / 90 °F	0.63 in	8 mph N
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	77 / 89 °F	0.61 in	6 mph ENE
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.26 in	3 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in San José de Las ConchasQuestions

What's the weather like today in San José de Las Conchas?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 93 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph) and a 49% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in San José de Las Conchas?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 51% (0.01 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit San José de Las Conchas?

The best time to visit San José de Las Conchas is from November to February: highs of 92 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in San José de Las Conchas in October?

In October, San José de Las Conchas normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 17 rainy days (11.92 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in San José de Las Conchas?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 96 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is September (12.60 in) and the driest, January.

When is hurricane season in San José de Las Conchas?

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of San José de Las Conchas, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

More about San José de Las Conchas today

Weather near San José de Las Conchas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from