Weather in Agua Fría

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:05 pm (CST)

Now · overcast 85 °F

Feels like: 94 °F
Low / high: 72 / 92 °F
Rain: 59% · 0.01 in
Wind: 2 mph SW

↗ 29.81 inHg · rising UV 11 · very high

Today in Agua Fría: light drizzle, 72 °F to 92 °F, with a 59% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the southwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 91 °F and a 76% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 94 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

92° 72°
Today
91° 74°
Thu 29
90° 75°
Fri 30
94° 74°
Sat 31
94° 73°
Sun 1
94° 74°
Mon 2
89° 75°
Tue 3
89° 74°
Wed 4
89° 74°
Thu 5
91° 74°
Fri 6
91° 71°
Sat 7
91° 70°
Sun 8
93° 71°
Mon 9
95° 72°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	72 / 92 °F	59% · 0.01 in	5 mph N	0.9 ft	3:58 am · 4:24 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 91 °F	76% · 0.06 in	3 mph ENE	0.8 ft	4:45 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	51% · 0.02 in	4 mph NE	0.8 ft	5:34 am · 6:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	74 / 94 °F	18%	4 mph NE	0.9 ft	6:26 am · 6:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	73 / 94 °F	39% · 0.15 in	4 mph N	0.9 ft	7:22 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	74 / 94 °F	59% · 0.04 in	7 mph E	1.0 ft	8:23 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	77% · 0.15 in	5 mph SW	0.9 ft	9:30 am · 10:12 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	82% · 0.18 in	5 mph E	0.9 ft	10:39 am · 11:19 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	78% · 0.25 in	4 mph NNE	0.9 ft	11:46 am	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 91 °F	74% · 0.10 in	3 mph E	1.2 ft	12:19 am · 12:46 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	71 / 91 °F	63% · 0.02 in	4 mph NE	1.1 ft	1:12 am · 1:39 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	70 / 91 °F	37% · 0.00 in	5 mph N	1.1 ft	1:58 am · 2:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	71 / 93 °F	39%	8 mph NNE	0.9 ft	2:39 am · 3:05 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	72 / 95 °F	37% · 0.02 in	6 mph NNE	1.0 ft	3:17 am · 3:43 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Overcast	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	77°	74°	73°	85°	92°	91°	83°	79°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	59%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 N	4 NNE	5 NNE	2 NE	1 WNW	4 SW	2 WSW	1 NNE
Humidity	87%	84%	83%	63%	47%	56%	76%	95%
UV	0	0	0	6	9	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	92°	91°	90°	94°	94°	94°	89°
AIFS	91°	91°	92°	94°	95°	94°	91°
GFS	95°	94°	94°	96°	96°	95°	90°
ICON	95°	94°	96°	98°	98°	100°	93°
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.06 in	0.02 in	0	0.15 in	0.04 in	0.15 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0.09 in	0.22 in
GFS	0.01 in	0.11 in	0.32 in	0.02 in	0.23 in	0.09 in	0.10 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.38 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	513	313	413	49	413	716	517
AIFS	5	3	4	4	4	3	5
GFS	43	65	66	44	43	53	77
ICON	915	610	515	1016	816	713	714
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	59%	76%	51%	18%	39%	59%	77%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	10%	94%	71%	42%	63%	71%	65%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +28%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −48%	91° / 76°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.6 °F	Below −58%	92° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.6 °F	Normal	93° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.6 °F	Below −56%	94° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +4.3 °F	Below −72%
December	Above +3.2 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
March	Above +2.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Agua Fría climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Agua Fría is from November to February: highs of 92 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Agua Fría, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

94° 73°

JanJ
95° 74°

FebF
97° 75°

MarM
97° 77°

AprA
95° 76°

MayM
92° 74°

JunJ
95° 76°

JulJ
94° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
91° 73°

OctO
92° 73°

NovN
93° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	94°	73°	0.07 in	0	9.2	82°	1.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	95°	74°	0.07 in	0	9.6	82°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	97°	75°	0.27 in	1	9.8	83°	1.8 ft	–
AprilApr	97°	77°	0.99 in	4	8.8	85°	2.0 ft	–
MayMay	95°	76°	11.38 in	16	7.7	86°	2.2 ft	2
JuneJun	92°	74°	11.50 in	18	7.5	86°	2.3 ft	–
JulyJul	95°	76°	5.95 in	12	8.6	86°	2.1 ft	1
AugustAug	94°	75°	8.16 in	16	8.0	87°	2.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	12.44 in	21	7.3	86°	2.3 ft	–
OctoberOct	91°	73°	12.88 in	17	6.7	85°	2.3 ft	2
NovemberNov	92°	73°	1.93 in	4	8.2	84°	1.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	93°	72°	0.19 in	1	8.8	83°	1.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.5 ft	–
Feb	82°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	83°	1.8 ft	–
Apr	85°	2.0 ft	–
May	86°	2.2 ft	2
Jun	86°	2.3 ft	–
Jul	86°	2.1 ft	1
Aug	87°	2.2 ft	–
Sep	86°	2.3 ft	–
Oct	85°	2.3 ft	2
Nov	84°	1.9 ft	1
Dec	83°	1.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 65.81 in of rain on about 109 days and about 3,050 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 94 °F

Tomorrow74 / 91 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 94 °F). Today, 72 °F to 92 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 91 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 59% 0.01 in
Thu 29 76% 0.06 in
Fri 30 51% 0.02 in
Sat 31 18%
Sun 1 39% 0.15 in
Mon 2 59% 0.04 in
Tue 3 77% 0.15 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 59%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 76% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.20 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds84%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak11very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 10

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.93

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityPoor · 64

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	69 / 90 °F	0	6 mph N
Mon 26	Overcast	68 / 91 °F	0	5 mph N
Sun 25	Overcast	73 / 92 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sat 24	Overcast	74 / 92 °F	0	5 mph N
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.15 in	5 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.05 in	4 mph NE
Wed 21	Drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.06 in	4 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.14 in	6 mph WNW
Mon 19	Heavy drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.32 in	5 mph NNW
Sun 18	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.65 in	4 mph ENE
Sat 17	Thunderstorm	76 / 88 °F	2.82 in	4 mph NE
Fri 16	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.22 in	4 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 93 °F	0.33 in	6 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light showers	77 / 92 °F	0.19 in	8 mph ENE
Tue 13	Light showers	77 / 93 °F	0.22 in	6 mph E
Mon 12	Light showers	74 / 94 °F	0.48 in	5 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.14 in	5 mph NNE
Sat 10	Showers	76 / 92 °F	0.64 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	1.24 in	4 mph N
Thu 8	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.43 in	4 mph NNE
Wed 7	Light showers	75 / 92 °F	0.42 in	8 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.53 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 5	Showers	76 / 92 °F	1.01 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.94 in	6 mph NE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	77 / 90 °F	1.40 in	5 mph ENE
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.40 in	6 mph NNE
Thu 1	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.21 in	5 mph WNW
Wed 30	Showers	75 / 90 °F	0.85 in	8 mph N
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	77 / 91 °F	0.61 in	4 mph NNE
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.27 in	3 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Agua FríaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Agua Fría?

Light drizzle, from 72 °F to 92 °F, with a light air from the southwest (2 mph) and a 59% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Agua Fría?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 76% (0.06 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 94 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 11 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.81 inHg and rising: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Agua Fría?

The best time to visit Agua Fría is from November to February: highs of 92 °F to 95 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Agua Fría in October?

In October, Agua Fría normally sees highs of 91 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 17 rainy days (12.88 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Agua Fría?

The warmest is March, with average highs of 97 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 72 °F. The wettest is October (12.88 in) and the driest, January.

When is hurricane season in Agua Fría?

Hurricane season: in May and from October to November. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Agua Fría, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Julia, in October 2022.

More about Agua Fría today

Weather near Agua Fría

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:05 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from