Weather in Ubatuba
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:23 pm (GMT-3)- Feels like
- 77 °F
- Low / high
- 70 / 72 °F
- Rain
- 29%
- Wind
- 2 mph NNW
Today in Ubatuba: overcast, 70 °F to 72 °F, with a 29% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northwest (2 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 70 °F to 72 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 77 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 70 / 72 °F | 29% | 7 mph NNE | 4.3 ft | 3:13 am · 2:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 70 / 72 °F | 100% · 0.98 in | 7 mph NW | 3.8 ft | 3:45 am · 3:19 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 70 / 74 °F | 96% · 0.20 in | 6 mph W | 3.3 ft | 4:19 am · 3:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 73 / 73 °F | 69% · 0.07 in | 15 mph WSW | 3.0 ft | 9:33 am · 4:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 71 / 74 °F | 37% · 0.02 in | 11 mph NE | 3.0 ft | 10:40 am · 5:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 70 / 75 °F | 49% | 6 mph WNW | 2.8 ft | 11:31 am · 6:43 pm · 11:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 73 / 77 °F | 33% | 8 mph E | 3.1 ft | 12:12 pm · 11:59 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 73 / 78 °F | 22% | 11 mph ESE | 2.7 ft | 12:44 pm · 11:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 77 / 78 °F | 47% · 0.05 in | 9 mph ESE | 2.0 ft | 1:04 pm · 11:54 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 75 / 81 °F | 61% | 6 mph SE | 2.4 ft | 1:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 78 / 82 °F | 76% · 0.22 in | 8 mph E | 2.8 ft | 12:22 am · 12:55 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 74 / 78 °F | 75% · 0.80 in | 16 mph WSW | 4.5 ft | 12:55 am · 1:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 73 / 75 °F | 51% · 0.05 in | 12 mph SW | 4.6 ft | 1:30 am · 1:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 71 / 75 °F | 55% | 7 mph NNW | 3.9 ft | 2:04 am · 2:02 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Mainly clear | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Partly cloudy | Overcast | Overcast |
| Temperature | 71° | 71° | 71° | 71° | 70° | 70° | 72° | 72° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 8% | 10% | 0% | 29% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 4 NE | 5 NE | 6 NE | 5 ENE | 6 E | 4 WNW | 7 W | 2 NW |
| Humidity | 71% | 75% | 75% | 73% | 78% | 79% | 79% | 81% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 72° | 72° | 74° | 73° | 74° | 75° | 77° |
| AIFS | 71° | 71° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 74° | 76° |
| GFS | 74° | 72° | 76° | 77° | 75° | 79° | 83° |
| ICON | 75° | 73° | 76° | 75° | 74° | 78° | 85° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.98 in | 0.20 in | 0.07 in | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0.06 in | 0.64 in | 0.28 in | 0.10 in | 0.17 in | 0.24 in | 0.06 in |
| GFS | 0.02 in | 0.94 in | 0.25 in | 0.06 in | 0.46 in | 0.96 in | 0.17 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0.51 in | 0.43 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 in |
| Confidence | medium | high | medium | medium | low | low | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 712 | 711 | 611 | 1518 | 1112 | 611 | 812 |
| AIFS | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
| GFS | 711 | 35 | 57 | 66 | 58 | 54 | 46 |
| ICON | 715 | 511 | 619 | 619 | 512 | 613 | 716 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | medium | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 29% | 100% | 96% | 69% | 37% | 49% | 33% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 71% | 100% | 100% | 76% | 68% | 79% | 88% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal −0.2 °F | Normal | 77° / 65° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Above +2.7 °F | Normal | 80° / 67° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | 79° / 67° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | 79° / 67° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | Above +2.9 °F | Normal |
| December | Above +3.1 °F | Normal |
| January | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
| March | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Ubatuba climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Ubatuba is from May to August: highs of 76 °F to 78 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 86° | 70° | 13.80 in | 23 | 4.1 | 79° | 3.9 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 87° | 70° | 11.56 in | 19 | 4.8 | 80° | 3.9 ft |
| MarchMar | 86° | 69° | 11.93 in | 20 | 5.0 | 80° | 4.5 ft |
| AprilApr | 83° | 66° | 7.85 in | 11 | 5.2 | 78° | 4.6 ft |
| MayMay | 78° | 60° | 5.30 in | 8 | 5.1 | 75° | 5.3 ft |
| JuneJun | 77° | 58° | 3.51 in | 6 | 4.7 | 73° | 4.8 ft |
| JulyJul | 76° | 56° | 4.49 in | 6 | 5.1 | 71° | 5.0 ft |
| AugustAug | 77° | 58° | 3.47 in | 5 | 5.4 | 70° | 5.4 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 78° | 62° | 5.01 in | 10 | 3.8 | 71° | 5.3 ft |
| OctoberOct | 80° | 65° | 7.94 in | 14 | 3.8 | 72° | 5.1 ft |
| NovemberNov | 80° | 66° | 9.60 in | 18 | 3.6 | 73° | 4.8 ft |
| DecemberDec | 84° | 69° | 11.74 in | 22 | 3.7 | 77° | 4.1 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 79° | 3.9 ft |
| Feb | 80° | 3.9 ft |
| Mar | 80° | 4.5 ft |
| Apr | 78° | 4.6 ft |
| May | 75° | 5.3 ft |
| Jun | 73° | 4.8 ft |
| Jul | 71° | 5.0 ft |
| Aug | 70° | 5.4 ft |
| Sep | 71° | 5.3 ft |
| Oct | 72° | 5.1 ft |
| Nov | 73° | 4.8 ft |
| Dec | 77° | 4.1 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 96.19 in of rain on about 161 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 72 °F now (feels like 77 °F). Today, 70 °F to 72 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 72 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 29%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.98 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.19 in; last 7 days, 2.13 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 66 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 3 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.20 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 68 / 72 °F | 0.03 in | 10 mph NNE |
| Mon 26 | Drizzle | 69 / 73 °F | 0.16 in | 14 mph WSW |
| Sun 25 | Rain | 73 / 76 °F | 1.54 in | 15 mph WSW |
| Sat 24 | Light rain | 71 / 76 °F | 0.17 in | 10 mph NNW |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 71 / 75 °F | 0.07 in | 13 mph E |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 72 / 74 °F | 0.14 in | 23 mph E |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 71 / 73 °F | 0.03 in | 17 mph E |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 69 / 73 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph ENE |
| Mon 19 | Drizzle | 70 / 73 °F | 0.10 in | 7 mph SSW |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 71 / 75 °F | 0.13 in | 13 mph SSW |
| Sat 17 | Rain | 72 / 74 °F | 0.44 in | 18 mph SSW |
| Fri 16 | Showers | 75 / 77 °F | 0.91 in | 9 mph NE |
| Thu 15 | Drizzle | 74 / 79 °F | 0.11 in | 7 mph W |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 75 / 78 °F | 0.05 in | 6 mph NW |
| Tue 13 | Overcast | 72 / 76 °F | 0 | 9 mph SSE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 73 / 75 °F | 0.13 in | 14 mph WSW |
| Sun 11 | Drizzle | 75 / 78 °F | 0.18 in | 11 mph SSW |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 74 / 78 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 69 / 74 °F | 0.04 in | 6 mph SSE |
| Thu 8 | Overcast | 69 / 74 °F | 0 | 8 mph NNW |
| Wed 7 | Drizzle | 73 / 75 °F | 0.18 in | 15 mph W |
| Tue 6 | Light rain | 69 / 74 °F | 0.47 in | 8 mph NNW |
| Mon 5 | Rain | 71 / 74 °F | 0.54 in | 11 mph SW |
| Sun 4 | Heavy drizzle | 71 / 75 °F | 0.17 in | 17 mph SE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 69 / 73 °F | 0.08 in | 15 mph ENE |
| Fri 2 | Heavy drizzle | 69 / 73 °F | 0.44 in | 16 mph S |
| Thu 1 | Light rain | 71 / 76 °F | 0.42 in | 13 mph SSW |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 74 / 78 °F | 0.15 in | 13 mph SE |
| Tue 29 | Light showers | 71 / 75 °F | 0.23 in | 10 mph E |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 71 / 75 °F | 0.09 in | 11 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in UbatubaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Ubatuba?
Overcast, from 70 °F to 72 °F, with a light air from the north-northwest (2 mph) and a 29% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Ubatuba?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.98 in): light rain.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 77 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.07 inHg and steady: −0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Ubatuba?
The best time to visit Ubatuba is from May to August: highs of 76 °F to 78 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Ubatuba in October?
In October, Ubatuba normally sees highs of 80 °F and lows of 65 °F, with about 14 rainy days (7.94 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 72 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Ubatuba?
The warmest is February, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is January (13.80 in) and the driest, August.
More about Ubatuba today
Weather near Ubatuba
- Caraguatatuba 69 °F · overcast · 25 mi
- Paraty 71 °F · overcast · 27 mi
- Ilhabela 68 °F · light drizzle · 30 mi
- São Sebastião 68 °F · light drizzle · 31 mi
- Angra dos Reis 70 °F · overcast · 56 mi
- Mangaratiba 70 °F · overcast · 73 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:23 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from