TidePlanet

Weather in Caraguatatuba

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:16 am (GMT-3)
Now · light drizzle 71 °F
Feels like
78 °F
Low / high
70 / 75 °F
Rain
100% · 1.33 in
Wind
1 mph W
↘ 30.03 inHg · falling

Today in Caraguatatuba: rain, 70 °F to 75 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.33 in) and calm. Tomorrow, light rain, 71 °F to 85 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 93 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Rain 70 / 75 °F 100% · 1.33 in 5 mph SSE 2.8 ft 3:45 am · 3:19 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Light rain 71 / 85 °F 100% · 0.30 in 6 mph WNW 2.5 ft 4:19 am · 3:50 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Rain 72 / 78 °F 100% · 0.41 in 8 mph SSE 2.1 ft 9:33 am · 4:26 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Light drizzle 70 / 78 °F 74% · 0.04 in 8 mph SE 1.9 ft 10:40 am · 5:15 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Drizzle 72 / 84 °F 80% · 0.15 in 6 mph SE 2.1 ft 11:31 am · 6:43 pm · 11:33 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 74 / 89 °F 90% · 0.06 in 8 mph NW 2.4 ft 12:12 pm · 11:59 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Light drizzle 75 / 93 °F 37% · 0.02 in 10 mph NW 2.1 ft 12:44 pm · 11:49 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light drizzle 80 / 90 °F 72% · 0.09 in 7 mph NW 1.6 ft 1:04 pm · 11:54 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Overcast 79 / 93 °F 68% 10 mph NNW 1.6 ft 1:04 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Drizzle 77 / 87 °F 85% · 0.43 in 17 mph NW 1.8 ft 12:22 am · 12:55 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Showers 71 / 82 °F 80% · 1.23 in 13 mph WNW 2.8 ft 12:55 am · 1:08 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 67 / 74 °F 65% · 0.07 in 11 mph SSE 2.8 ft 1:30 am · 1:33 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 66 / 73 °F 69% · 0.02 in 11 mph SE 2.4 ft 2:04 am · 2:02 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 69 / 74 °F 71% · 0.17 in 11 mph SE 3.0 ft 2:38 am · 2:33 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastLight drizzleDrizzleHeavy drizzleHeavy drizzleRainLight rain
Temperature 70°71°71°72°74°75°71°71°
Chance of rain 18%43%90%100%94%98%100%100%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.01 in0.04 in0.04 in0.04 in0.19 in0.09 in
Wind (mph) 2 SW1 NW1 SE1 SE1 S4 SSE5 SE2 ESE
Humidity 100%97%96%100%99%98%99%99%
UV 00032100
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 75°85°78°78°84°89°93°
AIFS 76°80°80°82°82°90°89°
GFS 74°82°77°73°75°81°91°
ICON 73°74°75°78°79°82°91°
Confidence highlowhighmediummediummediumhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 1.33 in0.30 in0.41 in0.04 in0.15 in0.06 in0.02 in
AIFS 0.64 in0.39 in0.14 in0.17 in0.35 in0.09 in0.20 in
GFS 0.63 in0.07 in0.04 in0.11 in0.15 in0.07 in0.52 in
ICON 0.82 in0.03 in0.00 in00.13 in0.20 in0
Confidence mediummediummediummediummediumhighlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 5136198218216198221028
AIFS 2666456
GFS 34664851137612513
ICON 411714496114951139
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighmedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%100%100%74%80%90%37%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%95%100%84%94%87%80%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +25% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.2 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal 80° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.0 °F Normal 80° / 69°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.6 °F Normal 79° / 69°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +2.3 °F Normal
December Above +2.9 °F Normal
January A bit above +2.3 °F Normal
February A bit above +2.5 °F Normal
March A bit above +2.3 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Caraguatatuba climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Caraguatatuba is from May to August: highs of 74 °F to 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 85° 69° 12.18 in 23 3.5 79° 4.3 ft
FebruaryFeb 85° 70° 10.86 in 19 4.2 80° 4.3 ft
MarchMar 84° 69° 10.45 in 19 4.7 79° 4.9 ft
AprilApr 81° 65° 6.24 in 11 4.9 78° 5.0 ft
MayMay 76° 60° 4.31 in 8 4.6 75° 5.7 ft
JuneJun 75° 57° 3.22 in 7 4.3 72° 5.2 ft
JulyJul 74° 56° 3.31 in 6 4.7 71° 5.5 ft
AugustAug 76° 58° 3.23 in 6 5.0 70° 5.9 ft
SeptemberSep 77° 61° 4.81 in 11 3.7 70° 5.8 ft
OctoberOct 79° 64° 7.81 in 14 3.4 72° 5.5 ft
NovemberNov 79° 65° 8.95 in 17 3.7 73° 5.2 ft
DecemberDec 83° 68° 9.77 in 20 3.6 76° 4.5 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 79° 4.3 ft
Feb 80° 4.3 ft
Mar 79° 4.9 ft
Apr 78° 5.0 ft
May 75° 5.7 ft
Jun 72° 5.2 ft
Jul 71° 5.5 ft
Aug 70° 5.9 ft
Sep 70° 5.8 ft
Oct 72° 5.5 ft
Nov 73° 5.2 ft
Dec 76° 4.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 85.14 in of rain on about 161 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 78 °F
Tomorrow71 / 85 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 70 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 100% 1.33 in
  • Fri 30 100% 0.30 in
  • Sat 31 100% 0.41 in
  • Sun 1 74% 0.04 in
  • Mon 2 80% 0.15 in
  • Tue 3 90% 0.06 in
  • Wed 4 37% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.33 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.30 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.37 in; last 7 days, 2.39 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%
Dew point70 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 70 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood
Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). There may be fog today at 4:00 pm, 5:00 pm, 6:00 pm, 7:00 pm.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak3moderate

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 9

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.13 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle66 / 77 °F0.05 in8 mph SE
Tue 27 Light drizzle65 / 73 °F0.11 in11 mph SE
Mon 26 Drizzle65 / 71 °F0.27 in9 mph S
Sun 25 Rain71 / 77 °F1.59 in11 mph WSW
Sat 24 Heavy drizzle72 / 85 °F0.13 in8 mph NNW
Fri 23 Light drizzle71 / 80 °F0.08 in12 mph NW
Thu 22 Drizzle70 / 78 °F0.20 in8 mph SE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Light drizzle67 / 76 °F0.08 in9 mph SE
Tue 20 Light drizzle66 / 73 °F0.02 in10 mph SE
Mon 19 Light drizzle66 / 72 °F0.09 in9 mph SSE
Sun 18 Drizzle68 / 77 °F0.22 in8 mph S
Sat 17 Drizzle70 / 75 °F0.29 in8 mph SSE
Fri 16 Light rain74 / 87 °F0.63 in16 mph NW
Thu 15 Light showers75 / 86 °F0.28 in7 mph SSE
Wed 14 Drizzle75 / 87 °F0.09 in14 mph NNW
Tue 13 Light drizzle73 / 86 °F0.01 in12 mph NW
Mon 12 Drizzle73 / 81 °F0.20 in6 mph SSE
Sun 11 Light rain74 / 84 °F0.40 in9 mph SE
Sat 10 Drizzle75 / 88 °F0.08 in9 mph NNE
Fri 9 Light drizzle74 / 94 °F0.07 in8 mph NW
Thu 8 Overcast69 / 86 °F07 mph SE
Wed 7 Light rain71 / 85 °F0.41 in6 mph W
Tue 6 Light rain69 / 83 °F0.64 in5 mph ESE
Mon 5 Rain69 / 78 °F0.61 in8 mph ESE
Sun 4 Light rain72 / 89 °F0.50 in15 mph NNW
Sat 3 Light drizzle67 / 80 °F0.06 in7 mph E
Fri 2 Drizzle67 / 74 °F0.20 in8 mph SSE
Thu 1 Showers75 / 86 °F0.49 in11 mph NW
Wed 30 Light showers75 / 93 °F0.35 in11 mph NNW
Tue 29 Showers73 / 93 °F0.44 in10 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CaraguatatubaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Caraguatatuba?

Rain, from 70 °F to 75 °F, with calm and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Caraguatatuba?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.30 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 93 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.03 inHg and falling: −0.15 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Caraguatatuba?

The best time to visit Caraguatatuba is from May to August: highs of 74 °F to 76 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Caraguatatuba in October?

In October, Caraguatatuba normally sees highs of 79 °F and lows of 64 °F, with about 14 rainy days (7.81 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 72 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Caraguatatuba?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 85 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is January (12.18 in) and the driest, June.

More about Caraguatatuba today

Weather near Caraguatatuba

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 10.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:16 am (local time).

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