Weather in Ilhabela
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:58 pm (GMT-3)- Feels like
- 73 °F
- Low / high
- 65 / 75 °F
- Rain
- 76% · 0.01 in
- Wind
- 4 mph NNE
Today in Ilhabela: light drizzle, 65 °F to 75 °F, with a 76% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, rain, 67 °F to 72 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 84 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 65 / 75 °F | 76% · 0.01 in | 8 mph NE | 5.4 ft | 3:13 am · 2:51 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 67 / 72 °F | 100% · 1.58 in | 4 mph NNE | 3.9 ft | 3:45 am · 3:19 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 67 / 77 °F | 96% · 0.06 in | 9 mph SW | 3.4 ft | 4:19 am · 3:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 66 / 73 °F | 93% · 0.53 in | 7 mph WSW | 4.3 ft | 9:33 am · 4:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 68 / 77 °F | 67% · 0.20 in | 5 mph NNE | 3.7 ft | 10:40 am · 5:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 68 / 83 °F | 58% · 0.24 in | 5 mph NE | 3.1 ft | 11:31 am · 6:43 pm · 11:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 71 / 84 °F | 46% | 5 mph SW | 2.9 ft | 12:12 pm · 11:59 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 70 / 89 °F | 31% | 3 mph NE | 2.5 ft | 12:44 pm · 11:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 74 / 85 °F | 55% · 0.05 in | 6 mph ESE | 1.8 ft | 1:04 pm · 11:54 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 74 / 91 °F | 68% | 4 mph NE | 2.3 ft | 1:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 74 / 90 °F | 83% · 0.54 in | 6 mph SSW | 1.8 ft | 12:22 am · 12:55 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 69 / 78 °F | 78% · 1.91 in | 11 mph SW | 2.8 ft | 12:55 am · 1:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 62 / 75 °F | 62% · 0.17 in | 8 mph SW | 2.8 ft | 1:30 am · 1:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 60 / 75 °F | 61% · 0.13 in | 4 mph NNE | 2.4 ft | 2:04 am · 2:02 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast | Light drizzle | Overcast | Overcast | Overcast |
| Temperature | 66° | 66° | 67° | 70° | 75° | 74° | 70° | 69° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 6% | 51% | 6% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 65% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 6 NNE | 5 NE | 6 NE | 8 NE | 7 NE | 5 ENE | 3 N | 4 NNE |
| Humidity | 86% | 89% | 89% | 85% | 71% | 75% | 84% | 89% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 75° | 72° | 77° | 73° | 77° | 83° | 84° |
| AIFS | 71° | 73° | 76° | 76° | 76° | 78° | 82° |
| GFS | 78° | 75° | 77° | 78° | 77° | 83° | 87° |
| ICON | 74° | 72° | 76° | 75° | 74° | 77° | 84° |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | high | high | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.01 in | 1.58 in | 0.06 in | 0.53 in | 0.20 in | 0.24 in | 0 |
| AIFS | 0.08 in | 0.69 in | 0.28 in | 0.14 in | 0.14 in | 0.22 in | 0.10 in |
| GFS | 0.04 in | 0.43 in | 0.15 in | 0.09 in | 0.16 in | 0.28 in | 0.09 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0.86 in | 0.10 in | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 824 | 415 | 928 | 722 | 519 | 517 | 520 |
| AIFS | 8 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| GFS | 711 | 59 | 77 | 55 | 59 | 49 | 511 |
| ICON | 916 | 38 | 615 | 612 | 613 | 510 | 511 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 76% | 100% | 96% | 93% | 67% | 58% | 46% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 29% | 100% | 100% | 65% | 61% | 80% | 84% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.0 °F | A bit above +25% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.2 °F | Normal | 78° / 67° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal | 80° / 69° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | 80° / 69° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | 79° / 69° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal |
| December | Above +2.9 °F | Normal |
| January | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | Normal |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Ilhabela climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Ilhabela is from June to August: highs of 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 84° | 69° | 12.18 in | 23 | 4.1 | 79° | 4.3 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 84° | 69° | 10.39 in | 19 | 4.2 | 80° | 4.3 ft |
| MarchMar | 83° | 68° | 10.69 in | 19 | 4.3 | 79° | 4.9 ft |
| AprilApr | 80° | 65° | 6.93 in | 11 | 4.8 | 78° | 5.0 ft |
| MayMay | 76° | 60° | 5.35 in | 8 | 4.3 | 74° | 5.7 ft |
| JuneJun | 74° | 57° | 3.46 in | 7 | 4.2 | 72° | 5.2 ft |
| JulyJul | 73° | 55° | 4.22 in | 6 | 4.4 | 70° | 5.5 ft |
| AugustAug | 74° | 57° | 3.23 in | 6 | 4.8 | 69° | 5.9 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 75° | 60° | 4.76 in | 11 | 3.7 | 70° | 5.8 ft |
| OctoberOct | 77° | 63° | 7.05 in | 14 | 3.6 | 72° | 5.5 ft |
| NovemberNov | 78° | 65° | 8.50 in | 17 | 3.5 | 73° | 5.2 ft |
| DecemberDec | 82° | 68° | 9.61 in | 20 | 3.8 | 76° | 4.5 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 79° | 4.3 ft |
| Feb | 80° | 4.3 ft |
| Mar | 79° | 4.9 ft |
| Apr | 78° | 5.0 ft |
| May | 74° | 5.7 ft |
| Jun | 72° | 5.2 ft |
| Jul | 70° | 5.5 ft |
| Aug | 69° | 5.9 ft |
| Sep | 70° | 5.8 ft |
| Oct | 72° | 5.5 ft |
| Nov | 73° | 5.2 ft |
| Dec | 76° | 4.5 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 86.39 in of rain on about 161 days and about 1,500 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 69 °F now (feels like 73 °F). Today, 65 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 67 °F to 72 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 76%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 1.58 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.74 in; last 7 days, 2.94 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 66 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.18 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 62 / 74 °F | 0.14 in | 7 mph NE |
| Mon 26 | Light rain | 62 / 69 °F | 0.56 in | 10 mph SW |
| Sun 25 | Showers | 69 / 78 °F | 1.52 in | 8 mph SW |
| Sat 24 | Showers | 67 / 83 °F | 0.27 in | 7 mph ENE |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 69 / 84 °F | 0.13 in | 6 mph ENE |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 68 / 73 °F | 0.31 in | 12 mph NE |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 65 / 75 °F | 0.10 in | 9 mph NE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Drizzle | 65 / 74 °F | 0.14 in | 5 mph NNE |
| Mon 19 | Light drizzle | 65 / 72 °F | 0.07 in | 5 mph WSW |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 63 / 75 °F | 0.17 in | 8 mph SW |
| Sat 17 | Rain | 66 / 75 °F | 0.78 in | 6 mph SW |
| Fri 16 | Showers | 71 / 82 °F | 1.19 in | 5 mph SSW |
| Thu 15 | Heavy drizzle | 71 / 81 °F | 0.24 in | 4 mph NNE |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 70 / 84 °F | 0.10 in | 4 mph W |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 69 / 81 °F | 0.01 in | 5 mph NE |
| Mon 12 | Light rain | 71 / 74 °F | 0.29 in | 5 mph WSW |
| Sun 11 | Light rain | 70 / 81 °F | 0.47 in | 7 mph SW |
| Sat 10 | Drizzle | 70 / 87 °F | 0.03 in | 6 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 68 / 88 °F | 0.11 in | 6 mph N |
| Thu 8 | Overcast | 65 / 82 °F | 0 | 6 mph NE |
| Wed 7 | Light rain | 68 / 76 °F | 0.35 in | 12 mph SW |
| Tue 6 | Light rain | 67 / 77 °F | 0.46 in | 5 mph NE |
| Mon 5 | Heavy drizzle | 68 / 75 °F | 0.28 in | 6 mph SW |
| Sun 4 | Heavy drizzle | 68 / 88 °F | 0.33 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 65 / 74 °F | 0.05 in | 11 mph NE |
| Fri 2 | Light rain | 66 / 70 °F | 0.39 in | 6 mph SW |
| Thu 1 | Heavy drizzle | 69 / 73 °F | 0.33 in | 9 mph SW |
| Wed 30 | Light rain | 71 / 90 °F | 0.19 in | 5 mph ENE |
| Tue 29 | Light showers | 71 / 87 °F | 0.25 in | 6 mph ENE |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 70 / 83 °F | 0.10 in | 5 mph NNE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in IlhabelaQuestions
What's the weather like today in Ilhabela?
Light drizzle, from 65 °F to 75 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph) and a 76% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Ilhabela?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (1.58 in): rain.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 65 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.08 inHg and steady: −0.12 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Ilhabela?
The best time to visit Ilhabela is from June to August: highs of 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Ilhabela in October?
In October, Ilhabela normally sees highs of 77 °F and lows of 63 °F, with about 14 rainy days (7.05 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 72 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Ilhabela?
The warmest is February, with average highs of 84 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 55 °F. The wettest is January (12.18 in) and the driest, August.
More about Ilhabela today
Weather near Ilhabela
- São Sebastião 69 °F · overcast · 3.5 mi
- Caraguatatuba 70 °F · overcast · 11 mi
- Ubatuba 72 °F · partly cloudy · 30 mi
- Bertioga 70 °F · light drizzle · 50 mi
- Paraty 69 °F · overcast · 56 mi
- Guarujá 69 °F · overcast · 59 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:58 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from