TidePlanet

Weather in Sweeting Cay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:06 pm (EDT)
Now · mainly clear 78 °F
Feels like
85 °F
Low / high
75 / 84 °F
Rain
14%
Wind
7 mph NNE
→ 29.92 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Sweeting Cay: light drizzle, 75 °F to 84 °F, with a 14% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 72 °F to 83 °F and a 6% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 84 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (35%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Light drizzle 75 / 84 °F 14% 13 mph ENE 1.6 ft 10:53 am · 11:17 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Clear sky 72 / 83 °F 6% 7 mph NE 1.2 ft 11:47 am HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Light drizzle 77 / 83 °F 35% · 0.09 in 14 mph NE 2.4 ft 12:11 am · 12:43 pm NBM
Sat 31 Light drizzle 77 / 84 °F 52% · 0.18 in 21 mph ENE 3.8 ft 1:10 am · 1:42 pm NBM
Sun 1 Drizzle 77 / 83 °F 58% · 0.59 in 19 mph E 4.2 ft 1:12 am · 1:43 pm NBM
Mon 2 Light showers 76 / 81 °F 58% · 0.55 in 15 mph ESE 3.9 ft 2:16 am · 2:45 pm NBM
Tue 3 Light drizzle 76 / 82 °F 43% · 0.09 in 13 mph SW 3.1 ft 3:20 am · 3:46 pm NBM
Wed 4 Mainly clear 76 / 82 °F 18% · 0.08 in 11 mph NE 2.8 ft 4:21 am · 4:44 pm NBM
Thu 5 Clear sky 76 / 82 °F 24% · 0.08 in 12 mph SSW 1.6 ft 5:17 am · 5:38 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light drizzle 76 / 82 °F 24% · 0.07 in 11 mph WNW 2.8 ft 6:07 am · 6:28 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light showers 74 / 80 °F 14% · 0.08 in 10 mph NNE 2.8 ft 6:54 am · 7:14 pm NBM
Sun 8 Light drizzle 74 / 80 °F 16% · 0.02 in 12 mph NNE 1.9 ft 7:38 am · 7:58 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 77 / 78 °F 22% · 0.02 in 9 mph N 0.7 ft 8:20 am · 8:40 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 76 / 78 °F 28% · 0.01 in 8 mph NE 0.7 ft 9:00 am · 9:20 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky Light drizzleMainly clearClearLight drizzleClear skyClear skyClear skyLight drizzle
Temperature 76°76°76°79°83°83°80°76°
Chance of rain 9%4%8%1%1%1%2%5%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 8 NE10 E8 E9 E11 ENE9 ENE9 NNE3 NNE
Humidity 87%88%85%93%84%82%82%94%
UV 00017400
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 81°80°82°82°82°78°80°
AIFS 80°80°80°81°80°77°78°
GFS 83°83°83°82°82°82°83°
ICON 82°83°81°82°80°80°81°
HRRR 84°84°—————
NBM 83°83°83°84°83°81°82°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.06 in00.01 in0.17 in0.09 in1.74 in0.04 in
AIFS 0.07 in0.01 in0.09 in0.13 in0.60 in1.92 in0.99 in
GFS 0.04 in0.02 in00.27 in0.89 in0.50 in0.01 in
ICON 0.04 in00.05 in0.04 in0.74 in0.96 in0.40 in
HRRR 00—————
NBM 0.03 in0.02 in0.09 in0.18 in0.59 in0.55 in0.09 in
Confidence mediumhighmediumhighhighmediumlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 12136913182231223024291832
AIFS 981821212219
GFS 910781316202519251117910
ICON 9135716252132203020321019
HRRR 131768—————
NBM 9137914202127192715211316
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediummedium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 54%14%43%63%61%71%52%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%16%19%77%87%71%29%
NBM (NOAA) 14%6%35%52%58%58%43%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 4%2%16%19%30%30%23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +2.3 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.7 °F Above +53% A bit above +1.4 °F 78° / 76°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +34% A bit above +1.1 °F 77° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.4 °F Above +57% A bit above +1.4 °F 77° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.4 °F Above +81% A bit above +1.6 °F 76° / 74°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +2.0 °F A bit above +39% Above +2.0 °F
December A bit above +1.1 °F Well above +120% A bit above +1.3 °F
January Normal +0.2 °F Well above +164% Normal +0.4 °F
February Normal +0.2 °F Well above +123% Normal +0.2 °F
March Normal −0.2 °F Above +87% Normal −0.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Sweeting Cay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Sweeting Cay is from November to April: highs of 74 °F to 81 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Sweeting Cay, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 74° 63° 2.16 in 6 6.6 75° 3.0 ft –
FebruaryFeb 76° 64° 2.56 in 5 7.3 74° 2.7 ft –
MarchMar 78° 66° 2.19 in 6 8.0 74° 2.7 ft –
AprilApr 81° 70° 2.84 in 6 8.5 77° 2.4 ft –
MayMay 84° 73° 4.98 in 9 9.2 80° 2.3 ft –
JuneJun 87° 76° 6.71 in 15 7.9 83° 1.7 ft –
JulyJul 89° 78° 5.29 in 15 8.6 85° 1.7 ft 2
AugustAug 90° 78° 6.39 in 16 7.8 86° 1.9 ft 4
SeptemberSep 88° 76° 9.67 in 17 6.7 85° 2.0 ft 8
OctoberOct 85° 73° 7.18 in 12 6.4 82° 2.7 ft 2
NovemberNov 80° 69° 2.31 in 7 6.7 78° 3.0 ft 3
DecemberDec 77° 65° 1.55 in 5 6.4 76° 2.7 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 75° 3.0 ft –
Feb 74° 2.7 ft –
Mar 74° 2.7 ft –
Apr 77° 2.4 ft –
May 80° 2.3 ft –
Jun 83° 1.7 ft –
Jul 85° 1.7 ft 2
Aug 86° 1.9 ft 4
Sep 85° 2.0 ft 8
Oct 82° 2.7 ft 2
Nov 78° 3.0 ft 3
Dec 76° 2.7 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 53.81 in of rain on about 119 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 85 °F
Tomorrow72 / 83 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 75 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 14%
  • Thu 29 6%
  • Fri 30 35% 0.09 in
  • Sat 31 52% 0.18 in
  • Sun 1 58% 0.59 in
  • Mon 2 58% 0.55 in
  • Tue 3 43% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 14%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 35% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 1.46 in; last 7 days, 2.35 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%
Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.0 migood
Clouds28%

Visibility is good now (9.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Showers78 / 82 °F1.04 in38 mph NE
Mon 26 Showers76 / 81 °F1.06 in32 mph NE
Sun 25 Rain76 / 81 °F0.90 in30 mph NE
Sat 24 Light drizzle76 / 80 °F0.13 in23 mph NE
Fri 23 Mainly clear78 / 81 °F020 mph NNE
Thu 22 Light drizzle78 / 81 °F0.05 in20 mph NNE
Wed 21 Light drizzle78 / 82 °F0.01 in20 mph NNE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Light drizzle79 / 81 °F0.06 in20 mph NNE
Mon 19 Light drizzle80 / 82 °F0.02 in24 mph NE
Sun 18 Showers79 / 83 °F0.92 in26 mph NE
Sat 17 Light showers81 / 86 °F0.21 in14 mph ESE
Fri 16 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.05 in16 mph E
Thu 15 Drizzle82 / 85 °F0.20 in14 mph E
Wed 14 Light drizzle82 / 84 °F0.06 in15 mph ENE
Tue 13 Light drizzle82 / 84 °F0.02 in12 mph NNE
Mon 12 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.01 in11 mph NNE
Sun 11 Light drizzle85 / 86 °F0.01 in18 mph SE
Sat 10 Heavy drizzle82 / 87 °F0.24 in23 mph SSE
Fri 9 Drizzle84 / 87 °F0.11 in19 mph SE
Thu 8 Light drizzle82 / 87 °F0.05 in12 mph S
Wed 7 Light drizzle81 / 86 °F0.14 in12 mph SSW
Tue 6 Light drizzle82 / 86 °F0.01 in9 mph S
Mon 5 Light drizzle82 / 85 °F0.05 in11 mph SE
Sun 4 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.05 in14 mph ESE
Sat 3 Light drizzle83 / 87 °F0.04 in18 mph ESE
Fri 2 Light drizzle81 / 86 °F0.09 in19 mph ESE
Thu 1 Drizzle80 / 87 °F0.17 in18 mph E
Wed 30 Light drizzle78 / 86 °F0.15 in23 mph ESE
Tue 29 Light drizzle82 / 85 °F0.06 in10 mph SW
Mon 28 Light drizzle81 / 85 °F0.05 in10 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Sweeting CayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Sweeting Cay?

Light drizzle, from 75 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph) and a 14% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Sweeting Cay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 6% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: +0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Sweeting Cay?

The best time to visit Sweeting Cay is from November to April: highs of 74 °F to 81 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Sweeting Cay in October?

In October, Sweeting Cay normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 12 rainy days (7.18 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Sweeting Cay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 63 °F. The wettest is September (9.67 in) and the driest, December.

When is hurricane season in Sweeting Cay?

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Sweeting Cay, about 6 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

More about Sweeting Cay today

Weather near Sweeting Cay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:06 pm (local time).

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