Weather in Marsh Harbour

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:07 am (EDT)

Now · clear 76 °F

Feels like: 83 °F
Low / high: 75 / 83 °F
Rain: 14% · 0.03 in
Wind: 6 mph NNE

↘ 29.91 inHg · falling UV 7 · high

Today in Marsh Harbour: light drizzle, 75 °F to 83 °F, with a 14% chance of rain (0.03 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 76 °F to 83 °F and a 35% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 83 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (51%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 75°
Today
83° 76°
Fri 30
83° 77°
Sat 31
82° 77°
Sun 1
81° 76°
Mon 2
82° 76°
Tue 3
82° 76°
Wed 4
82° 76°
Thu 5
81° 75°
Fri 6
80° 74°
Sat 7
79° 74°
Sun 8
79° 77°
Mon 9
79° 77°
Tue 10
79° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	75 / 83 °F	14% · 0.03 in	7 mph NE	3.8 ft	11:10 am · 11:30 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Clear sky	76 / 83 °F	35% · 0.01 in	11 mph NE	2.8 ft	12:06 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	51% · 0.18 in	22 mph ENE	3.9 ft	12:30 am · 1:07 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	68% · 0.67 in	22 mph E	3.9 ft	1:36 am · 1:11 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light rain	76 / 81 °F	68% · 0.91 in	15 mph E	3.9 ft	1:46 am · 2:17 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Heavy drizzle	76 / 82 °F	50% · 0.14 in	14 mph ENE	3.5 ft	2:56 am · 3:20 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	15%	12 mph NE	3.7 ft	3:59 am · 4:19 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	76 / 82 °F	21% · 0.05 in	12 mph W	3.1 ft	4:55 am · 5:12 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 81 °F	17%	10 mph W	2.3 ft	5:45 am · 6:01 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light showers	74 / 80 °F	15% · 0.07 in	11 mph NW	2.0 ft	6:30 am · 6:45 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	74 / 79 °F	24% · 0.02 in	11 mph N	1.4 ft	7:11 am · 7:27 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	77 / 79 °F	31%	9 mph NNW	1.4 ft	7:51 am · 8:06 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	77 / 79 °F	20% · 0.09 in	7 mph NE	2.5 ft	8:29 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	77 / 79 °F	25% · 0.06 in	6 mph SE	2.5 ft	9:08 am · 9:25 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Clear
Temperature	77°	76°	75°	80°	83°	77°	79°	79°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	14%	7%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 N	6 NE	5 E	2 ESE	4 ENE	5 WSW	6 N	3 NE
Humidity	86%	86%	80%	83%	78%	91%	85%	81%
UV	0	0	0	1	7	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	83°	82°	83°	82°	80°	80°	81°
AIFS	81°	80°	81°	80°	78°	78°	80°
GFS	82°	82°	81°	81°	80°	82°	82°
ICON	86°	83°	84°	82°	82°	83°	85°
HRRR	83°	82°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	83°	83°	83°	82°	81°	82°	82°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0.32 in	0.15 in	0.63 in	0.29 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.01 in	0.12 in	0.17 in	0.49 in	1.13 in	0.81 in	0.18 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.08 in	0.40 in	0.61 in	0.74 in	0.01 in	0
ICON	0	0.01 in	0	0.05 in	0.19 in	0.34 in	0.04 in
HRRR	0.03 in	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.03 in	0.01 in	0.18 in	0.67 in	0.91 in	0.14 in	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	69	1216	2026	2225	2127	1531	1419
AIFS	6	18	22	22	21	20	10
GFS	88	1417	2226	2227	2023	89	77
ICON	35	1321	2034	1526	1732	1119	47
HRRR	78	1013	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	56	1117	2228	2228	1522	1417	1214
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	45%	57%	72%	67%	57%	49%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	59%	29%	74%	77%	74%	44%	29%
NBM (NOAA)	14%	35%	51%	68%	68%	50%	15%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	3%	19%	16%	25%	35%	22%	9%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.2 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +51%	Above +2.0 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +47%	Above +1.8 °F	78° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +67%	A bit above +1.6 °F	77° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +79%	A bit above +1.4 °F	76° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +31%	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Well above +106%	A bit above +0.9 °F
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +163%	Normal 0.0 °F
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +114%	Normal −0.2 °F
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Above +96%	Normal −0.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Marsh Harbour climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Marsh Harbour is from November to April: highs of 73 °F to 81 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Marsh Harbour, about 6 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

73° 62°

JanJ
75° 64°

FebF
79° 65°

MarM
81° 70°

AprA
84° 73°

MayM
86° 76°

JunJ
89° 78°

JulJ
89° 78°

AugA
87° 77°

SepS
85° 73°

OctO
80° 69°

NovN
77° 65°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	73°	62°	2.17 in	6	6.6	74°	4.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	75°	64°	2.18 in	5	7.4	74°	4.5 ft	–
MarchMar	79°	65°	1.85 in	7	8.0	74°	4.6 ft	–
AprilApr	81°	70°	2.36 in	7	8.5	76°	4.0 ft	–
MayMay	84°	73°	4.33 in	10	9.1	79°	3.8 ft	–
JuneJun	86°	76°	6.04 in	15	8.1	82°	3.0 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	78°	5.15 in	14	8.6	84°	3.1 ft	3
AugustAug	89°	78°	4.96 in	15	8.0	85°	3.2 ft	4
SeptemberSep	87°	77°	7.95 in	16	6.9	84°	4.0 ft	7
OctoberOct	85°	73°	6.39 in	13	6.4	82°	4.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	80°	69°	2.52 in	7	6.9	78°	5.3 ft	4
DecemberDec	77°	65°	2.01 in	5	6.4	76°	4.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	74°	4.7 ft	–
Feb	74°	4.5 ft	–
Mar	74°	4.6 ft	–
Apr	76°	4.0 ft	–
May	79°	3.8 ft	–
Jun	82°	3.0 ft	–
Jul	84°	3.1 ft	3
Aug	85°	3.2 ft	4
Sep	84°	4.0 ft	7
Oct	82°	4.7 ft	1
Nov	78°	5.3 ft	4
Dec	76°	4.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.93 in of rain on about 119 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 83 °F

Tomorrow76 / 83 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 83 °F). Today, 75 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 14% 0.03 in
Fri 30 35% 0.01 in
Sat 31 51% 0.18 in
Sun 1 68% 0.67 in
Mon 2 68% 0.91 in
Tue 3 50% 0.14 in
Wed 4 15%

Today the chance of rain reaches 14%, with 0.03 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 51% and 0.18 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 2.70 in; last 7 days, 5.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.4 migood

Clouds3%

Visibility is good now (9.4 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 30.00

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.11 in	9 mph E
Tue 27	Light showers	78 / 83 °F	1.30 in	31 mph ENE
Mon 26	Rain	78 / 80 °F	1.70 in	31 mph NE
Sun 25	Showers	76 / 81 °F	1.45 in	29 mph NE
Sat 24	Drizzle	76 / 80 °F	0.27 in	19 mph NE
Fri 23	Drizzle	77 / 80 °F	0.09 in	18 mph NNE
Thu 22	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.20 in	17 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	78 / 82 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 82 °F	0.05 in	17 mph NNE
Mon 19	Overcast	81 / 82 °F	0	21 mph NE
Sun 18	Showers	78 / 82 °F	0.94 in	22 mph NNE
Sat 17	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.14 in	8 mph SE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.02 in	13 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.14 in	13 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.08 in	13 mph ENE
Tue 13	Drizzle	82 / 84 °F	0.08 in	10 mph NNE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.02 in	9 mph NE
Sun 11	Mainly clear	84 / 86 °F	0	15 mph SE
Sat 10	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.12 in	17 mph SSE
Fri 9	Thunderstorm	83 / 86 °F	0.15 in	17 mph SE
Thu 8	Drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.12 in	12 mph S
Wed 7	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.18 in	10 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.11 in	10 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.04 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	85 / 86 °F	0.01 in	16 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.02 in	18 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.18 in	16 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.04 in	11 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Marsh HarbourQuestions

What's the weather like today in Marsh Harbour?

Light drizzle, from 75 °F to 83 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (6 mph) and a 14% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Marsh Harbour?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 35% (0.01 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and falling: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Marsh Harbour?

The best time to visit Marsh Harbour is from November to April: highs of 73 °F to 81 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Marsh Harbour in October?

In October, Marsh Harbour normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 13 rainy days (6.39 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Marsh Harbour?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is September (7.95 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Marsh Harbour?

Hurricane season: from August to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 19 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Marsh Harbour, about 6 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

More about Marsh Harbour today

Weather near Marsh Harbour

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:07 am (local time).

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