Weather in Lucaya

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:16 am (EDT)

Now · clear 72 °F

Feels like: 78 °F
Low / high: 72 / 83 °F
Rain: 16% · 0.21 in
Wind: 4 mph NNE

→ 29.94 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Lucaya: clear sky, 72 °F to 83 °F, with a 16% chance of rain (0.21 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 73 °F to 84 °F and a 16% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 84 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (49%).

Measured now at the airport

Freeport (MYGF), 2.4 mi away · 16 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind5 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 72°
Today
84° 73°
Fri 30
84° 75°
Sat 31
83° 74°
Sun 1
82° 72°
Mon 2
83° 73°
Tue 3
83° 73°
Wed 4
83° 73°
Thu 5
82° 72°
Fri 6
81° 71°
Sat 7
80° 70°
Sun 8
79° 70°
Mon 9
81° 77°
Tue 10
79° 75°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	72 / 83 °F	16% · 0.21 in	5 mph NE	1.0 ft	12:07 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	16%	11 mph NE	1.1 ft	12:23 am · 1:02 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	75 / 84 °F	49% · 0.11 in	19 mph ENE	3.1 ft	1:22 am · 2:00 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	56% · 0.63 in	18 mph ENE	3.3 ft	1:26 am · 2:04 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Showers	72 / 82 °F	60% · 0.78 in	15 mph ENE	3.8 ft	2:37 am · 3:11 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Drizzle	73 / 83 °F	37% · 0.09 in	15 mph ENE	1.9 ft	3:49 am · 4:18 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	73 / 83 °F	21% · 0.06 in	11 mph ENE	1.9 ft	4:55 am · 5:17 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	73 / 83 °F	21% · 0.05 in	11 mph W	1.0 ft	5:53 am · 6:10 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	72 / 82 °F	25% · 0.12 in	11 mph NW	3.7 ft	6:44 am · 6:57 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Mainly clear	71 / 81 °F	19% · 0.11 in	12 mph NNW	2.3 ft	7:30 am · 7:40 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Mainly clear	70 / 80 °F	18% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	1.2 ft	8:12 am · 8:21 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Overcast	70 / 79 °F	22%	12 mph NE	1.2 ft	8:52 am · 9:00 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	77 / 81 °F	14% · 0.07 in	10 mph E	1.1 ft	9:30 am · 9:38 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	75 / 79 °F	20% · 0.09 in	9 mph ENE	0.7 ft	10:08 am · 10:18 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 1:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	74°	73°	72°	77°	82°	77°	78°	75°
Chance of rain	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	15%	8%	3%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.21 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 ENE	2 NNE	5 NNE	4 ENE	5 SE	5 NNW	3 NNE	4 NE
Humidity	92%	93%	92%	93%	77%	92%	87%	93%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	80°	82°	81°	80°	77°	81°	80°
AIFS	81°	80°	80°	79°	77°	78°	80°
GFS	83°	83°	82°	82°	79°	81°	82°
ICON	85°	83°	83°	82°	80°	81°	82°
HRRR	83°	84°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	84°	84°	84°	83°	82°	83°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.06 in	0.14 in	0.56 in	0.87 in	0.18 in	0
AIFS	0.05 in	0.09 in	0.30 in	0.98 in	1.55 in	0.84 in	0.19 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.06 in	0.12 in	0.09 in	1.21 in	0.47 in	0.61 in
ICON	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.19 in	0.28 in	0.70 in	0.09 in
HRRR	0.21 in	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.05 in	0	0.11 in	0.63 in	0.78 in	0.09 in	0.06 in
Confidence	low	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1117	1624	1925	1927	2023	1530	1129
AIFS	11	18	20	20	20	18	9
GFS	911	1721	2329	2228	2024	1718	1416
ICON	611	1422	2034	1830	1731	1117	510
HRRR	513	1021	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	69	1118	1926	1826	1520	1519	1115
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	20%	57%	68%	55%	50%	49%	20%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	75%	23%	90%	90%	79%	42%	29%
NBM (NOAA)	16%	16%	49%	56%	60%	37%	21%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	2%	21%	24%	29%	31%	18%	12%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +37%	A bit above +1.3 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +35%	A bit above +1.1 °F	77° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +57%	A bit above +1.4 °F	77° / 75°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +73%	A bit above +1.4 °F	76° / 74°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +41%	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Above +90%	Above +1.8 °F
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +108%	A bit above +1.1 °F
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Above +98%	A bit above +0.7 °F
March	Normal −0.2 °F	Above +75%	Normal +0.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Lucaya climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Lucaya is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lucaya, about 7 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

76° 61°

JanJ
78° 62°

FebF
80° 65°

MarM
83° 68°

AprA
86° 71°

MayM
89° 75°

JunJ
91° 77°

JulJ
92° 77°

AugA
90° 75°

SepS
87° 72°

OctO
82° 67°

NovN
78° 63°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	76°	61°	2.53 in	6	6.2	75°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	78°	62°	2.66 in	5	7.0	74°	2.8 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	65°	3.05 in	6	7.7	75°	2.9 ft	–
AprilApr	83°	68°	2.74 in	7	8.3	77°	2.5 ft	–
MayMay	86°	71°	5.07 in	10	8.8	80°	2.4 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	75°	6.99 in	16	7.4	83°	1.8 ft	1
JulyJul	91°	77°	5.96 in	16	8.4	85°	1.7 ft	2
AugustAug	92°	77°	7.93 in	18	7.6	85°	1.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	90°	75°	10.17 in	18	6.4	84°	2.1 ft	8
OctoberOct	87°	72°	6.24 in	12	6.2	82°	2.9 ft	3
NovemberNov	82°	67°	2.52 in	7	6.3	79°	3.2 ft	2
DecemberDec	78°	63°	2.01 in	6	6.0	77°	2.9 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	75°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	74°	2.8 ft	–
Mar	75°	2.9 ft	–
Apr	77°	2.5 ft	–
May	80°	2.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.8 ft	1
Jul	85°	1.7 ft	2
Aug	85°	1.9 ft	4
Sep	84°	2.1 ft	8
Oct	82°	2.9 ft	3
Nov	79°	3.2 ft	2
Dec	77°	2.9 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 57.85 in of rain on about 126 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now72 °Ffeels like 78 °F

Tomorrow73 / 84 °F

It's 72 °F now (feels like 78 °F). Today, 72 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 16% 0.21 in
Fri 30 16%
Sat 31 49% 0.11 in
Sun 1 56% 0.63 in
Mon 2 60% 0.78 in
Tue 3 37% 0.09 in
Wed 4 21% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 16%, with 0.21 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 49% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.52 in; last 7 days, 0.72 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.6 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (7.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 30.00

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	0.07 in	14 mph ENE
Tue 27	Light showers	79 / 81 °F	0.40 in	28 mph NE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.14 in	28 mph NE
Sun 25	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.14 in	25 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.01 in	19 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	77 / 81 °F	0	16 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 81 °F	0.02 in	17 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	77 / 82 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	0.04 in	19 mph NNE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	80 / 82 °F	0.01 in	18 mph NE
Sun 18	Showers	78 / 82 °F	1.06 in	22 mph NE
Sat 17	Light showers	80 / 85 °F	0.27 in	17 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.04 in	14 mph ESE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.09 in	14 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.05 in	12 mph ENE
Tue 13	Clear sky	82 / 84 °F	0	13 mph NNE
Mon 12	Clear sky	83 / 85 °F	0	12 mph N
Sun 11	Mainly clear	85 / 86 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	82 / 86 °F	0.48 in	18 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.08 in	16 mph SE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.05 in	12 mph SSE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.06 in	12 mph SSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.11 in	10 mph S
Mon 5	Overcast	83 / 86 °F	0	10 mph SE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.02 in	14 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.05 in	17 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.05 in	17 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light showers	80 / 84 °F	0.31 in	18 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.24 in	13 mph ESE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.22 in	12 mph SW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in LucayaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Lucaya?

Clear sky, from 72 °F to 83 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (4 mph) and a 16% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Lucaya?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 16% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 84 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.94 inHg and steady: +0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Lucaya?

The best time to visit Lucaya is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 83 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Lucaya in October?

In October, Lucaya normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 12 rainy days (6.24 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Lucaya?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 61 °F. The wettest is September (10.17 in) and the driest, December.

When is hurricane season in Lucaya?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Lucaya, about 7 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Imelda, in September 2025.

More about Lucaya today

Weather near Lucaya

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:16 am (local time).

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