Weather in Southern Shores

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:06 pm (EDT)

Now · overcast 65 °F

Feels like: 64 °F
Low / high: 62 / 69 °F
Rain: 10% · 0.02 in
Wind: 13 mph ENE

→ 30.30 inHg · steady

Today in Southern Shores: overcast, 62 °F to 69 °F, with a 10% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a moderate breeze from the east-northeast (13 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 69 °F and a 3% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 69 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (24%).

Measured now at the airport

First Flight (KFFA), 9.1 mi away · 11 min ago

Visibility2.5 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature63 °F

Wind7 mph from the north

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

69° 62°
Today
69° 63°
Thu 29
67° 62°
Fri 30
65° 61°
Sat 31
65° 62°
Sun 1
66° 64°
Mon 2
67° 65°
Tue 3
68° 66°
Wed 4
67° 65°
Thu 5
66° 63°
Fri 6
63° 61°
Sat 7
61° 58°
Sun 8
62° 56°
Mon 9
65° 54°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	62 / 69 °F	10% · 0.02 in	16 mph NE	2.5 ft	9:25 am · 9:46 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	63 / 69 °F	3%	12 mph ENE	2.2 ft	10:18 am · 10:41 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	62 / 67 °F	1%	7 mph NNW	1.7 ft	11:15 am · 11:40 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	61 / 65 °F	0%	17 mph NNE	2.8 ft	12:13 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	62 / 65 °F	1%	13 mph ENE	2.1 ft	12:42 am · 12:16 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	64 / 66 °F	24% · 0.06 in	11 mph ENE	1.2 ft	12:56 am · 1:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	65 / 67 °F	17% · 0.02 in	15 mph NE	1.3 ft	2:17 am · 2:40 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	66 / 68 °F	21% · 0.19 in	13 mph ENE	1.7 ft	3:21 am · 3:38 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	65 / 67 °F	33% · 0.32 in	13 mph ESE	3.1 ft	4:15 am · 4:30 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	63 / 66 °F	24% · 0.19 in	13 mph WNW	3.8 ft	5:03 am · 5:18 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	61 / 63 °F	15% · 0.06 in	10 mph NNW	4.0 ft	5:47 am · 6:03 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	58 / 61 °F	10% · 0.08 in	16 mph NNE	5.3 ft	6:26 am · 6:43 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	56 / 62 °F	14% · 0.04 in	15 mph N	5.4 ft	7:02 am · 7:20 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	54 / 65 °F	14%	10 mph N	4.7 ft	7:37 am · 7:57 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	62°	62°	63°	66°	69°	67°	65°	65°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 NE	13 NNE	11 NE	13 ENE	14 NE	13 NE	13 ENE	12 ENE
Humidity	91%	89%	88%	80%	78%	81%	88%	89%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	69°	70°	75°	63°	66°	70°	71°
AIFS	68°	68°	72°	62°	63°	65°	67°
GFS	67°	66°	68°	66°	65°	66°	66°
ICON	67°	67°	71°	64°	65°	66°	66°
HRRR	69°	69°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	66°	66°	67°	65°	65°	66°	67°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.08 in	0.35 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.15 in
HRRR	0.02 in	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1123	818	712	1326	823	516	920
AIFS	13	9	8	12	9	9	12
GFS	2119	1213	1523	2125	1518	2426	2431
ICON	1424	1118	610	1525	1017	814	1220
HRRR	1624	1219	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1724	1116	713	1723	1319	1117	1525
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	4%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	37%	29%
NBM (NOAA)	10%	3%	1%	0%	1%	24%	17%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	3%	2%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	A bit above +39%	A bit below −1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.5 °F	A bit above +30%	Normal −0.4 °F	61° / 55°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Normal −0.2 °F	60° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +31%	A bit above +0.7 °F	59° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +51%	A bit above +0.5 °F	57° / 52°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +65%	—
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +31%	—
January	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +53%	—
February	Normal 0.0 °F	A bit above +48%	—
March	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit above +30%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Southern Shores climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Southern Shores is from May to June and in October: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 27 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Southern Shores, about 9 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

51° 36°

JanJ
52° 35°

FebF
59° 41°

MarM
67° 49°

AprA
75° 58°

MayM
82° 67°

JunJ
86° 71°

JulJ
85° 71°

AugA
80° 66°

SepS
72° 57°

OctO
63° 47°

NovN
56° 40°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	51°	36°	4.11 in	9	4.5	49°	1.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	52°	35°	3.52 in	9	5.0	46°	1.2 ft	–
MarchMar	59°	41°	3.71 in	9	6.1	49°	1.3 ft	–
AprilApr	67°	49°	3.44 in	8	7.1	56°	1.2 ft	–
MayMay	75°	58°	4.17 in	9	7.9	65°	1.0 ft	1
JuneJun	82°	67°	4.86 in	12	8.1	73°	0.9 ft	2
JulyJul	86°	71°	5.78 in	16	8.0	78°	0.8 ft	5
AugustAug	85°	71°	5.73 in	15	7.2	79°	0.9 ft	6
SeptemberSep	80°	66°	6.09 in	12	6.2	76°	1.2 ft	10
OctoberOct	72°	57°	4.28 in	8	5.7	69°	1.2 ft	3
NovemberNov	63°	47°	3.92 in	8	5.0	61°	1.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	56°	40°	3.68 in	9	4.3	54°	1.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	49°	1.2 ft	–
Feb	46°	1.2 ft	–
Mar	49°	1.3 ft	–
Apr	56°	1.2 ft	–
May	65°	1.0 ft	1
Jun	73°	0.9 ft	2
Jul	78°	0.8 ft	5
Aug	79°	0.9 ft	6
Sep	76°	1.2 ft	10
Oct	69°	1.2 ft	3
Nov	61°	1.3 ft	–
Dec	54°	1.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 53.28 in of rain on about 124 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now65 °Ffeels like 64 °F

Tomorrow63 / 69 °F

It's 65 °F now (feels like 64 °F). Today, 62 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 69 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 10% 0.02 in
Thu 29 3%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 24% 0.06 in
Tue 3 17% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 10%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 24% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%

Dew point62 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 62 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.9 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (8.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.3030.40 30.12

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 57

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	45 / 71 °F	0	9 mph N
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	52 / 67 °F	0	9 mph N
Sun 25	Clear sky	58 / 67 °F	0	13 mph NE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	58 / 67 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	50 / 68 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	48 / 67 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	54 / 65 °F	0	14 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	55 / 69 °F	0	17 mph N
Mon 19	Light drizzle	58 / 64 °F	0.04 in	20 mph NNE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	55 / 63 °F	0.01 in	20 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light rain	52 / 74 °F	0.70 in	20 mph N
Fri 16	Overcast	67 / 82 °F	0	14 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	68 / 76 °F	0	13 mph N
Wed 14	Mainly clear	67 / 84 °F	0	9 mph SW
Tue 13	Overcast	59 / 78 °F	0	7 mph SW
Mon 12	Overcast	65 / 73 °F	0	15 mph WNW
Sun 11	Heavy rain	71 / 76 °F	1.62 in	16 mph SSE
Sat 10	Drizzle	67 / 74 °F	0.13 in	15 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	64 / 76 °F	0	7 mph NE
Thu 8	Overcast	60 / 79 °F	0	8 mph SW
Wed 7	Mainly clear	55 / 71 °F	0	6 mph E
Tue 6	Mainly clear	58 / 69 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	63 / 71 °F	0.02 in	8 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	67 / 75 °F	0.58 in	6 mph N
Sat 3	Drizzle	67 / 75 °F	0.21 in	11 mph N
Fri 2	Overcast	70 / 86 °F	0	10 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	66 / 83 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	66 / 77 °F	0.02 in	7 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	67 / 76 °F	0	5 mph ESE
Mon 28	Overcast	60 / 76 °F	0	9 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Southern ShoresQuestions

What's the weather like today in Southern Shores?

Overcast, from 62 °F to 69 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-northeast (13 mph) and a 10% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Southern Shores?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 3% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 61 °F and a high of 69 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.30 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Southern Shores?

The best time to visit Southern Shores is from May to June and in October: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Southern Shores in October?

In October, Southern Shores normally sees highs of 72 °F and lows of 57 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.28 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 69 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Southern Shores?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is September (6.09 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Southern Shores?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 27 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Southern Shores, about 9 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

More about Southern Shores today

Weather near Southern Shores

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:06 pm (local time).

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