TidePlanet

Weather in Nags Head

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:58 pm (EDT)
Now · mainly clear 66 °F
Feels like
64 °F
Low / high
62 / 70 °F
Rain
5%
Wind
13 mph NE
→ 30.29 inHg · steady

Today in Nags Head: overcast, 62 °F to 70 °F, with a 5% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the northeast (13 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 63 °F to 69 °F and a 4% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 70 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (24%).

Measured now at the airport

First Flight (KFFA), 4.9 mi away · 23 min ago

Visibility3.0 mi
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature63 °F
Wind8 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 62 / 70 °F 5% 15 mph NE 3.5 ft 9:21 am · 9:42 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Overcast 63 / 69 °F 4% 12 mph ENE 3.3 ft 10:14 am · 10:37 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Partly cloudy 61 / 66 °F 7% 6 mph N 2.7 ft 11:11 am · 11:36 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 60 / 64 °F 0% 15 mph NNE 3.4 ft 12:09 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 60 / 66 °F 1% 12 mph NE 3.0 ft 12:38 am · 12:12 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 63 / 67 °F 24% · 0.09 in 11 mph ENE 2.0 ft 12:52 am · 1:25 pm NBM
Tue 3 Partly cloudy 64 / 68 °F 19% · 0.02 in 14 mph NE 2.1 ft 2:13 am · 2:36 pm NBM
Wed 4 Partly cloudy 64 / 69 °F 23% · 0.19 in 12 mph NE 2.6 ft 3:17 am · 3:34 pm NBM
Thu 5 Overcast 64 / 69 °F 34% · 0.32 in 13 mph ESE 4.1 ft 4:11 am · 4:26 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light drizzle 61 / 67 °F 24% · 0.20 in 13 mph WNW 5.0 ft 4:59 am · 5:14 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light drizzle 59 / 63 °F 17% · 0.11 in 10 mph NNW 4.9 ft 5:43 am · 5:59 pm NBM
Sun 8 Drizzle 58 / 62 °F 11% · 0.16 in 19 mph N 7.4 ft 6:22 am · 6:39 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 59 / 67 °F 12% · 0.13 in 19 mph N 7.8 ft 6:58 am · 7:16 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 59 / 67 °F 10% 15 mph N 6.4 ft 7:33 am · 7:53 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 12:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearMainly clearPartly cloudyClear skyClear skyMainly clearMainly clear
Temperature 63°62°64°66°69°68°66°65°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%4%5%5%3%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 11 NE13 NNE12 NNE13 NE13 NE15 NNE13 NE13 ENE
Humidity 89%88%90%83%81%85%90%91%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 71°69°73°64°67°70°72°
AIFS 68°67°69°64°64°66°68°
GFS 68°70°73°65°67°68°67°
ICON 66°66°66°66°64°66°67°
HRRR 70°70°—————
NBM 67°67°66°64°66°67°68°
Confidence highhighmediumhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000
GFS 0.01 in00000.08 in0.24 in
ICON 000000.01 in0.09 in
HRRR 00—————
NBM 000000.09 in0.02 in
Confidence highhighhighhighhighmediumlow
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 1328112481514321029723924
AIFS 1513916131213
GFS 122281869132191711231732
ICON 212814199122026121611141621
HRRR 15261219—————
NBM 152311166111522121811181423
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 8%6%2%0%2%2%8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 13%0%0%0%1%39%35%
NBM (NOAA) 5%4%7%0%1%24%19%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%1%0%0%3%3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a near-normal sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Above +4.1 °F A bit above +39% A bit below −1.4 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal −0.5 °F A bit above +30% Normal −0.4 °F 61° / 55°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.3 °F Normal Normal −0.2 °F 60° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.6 °F A bit above +31% A bit above +0.7 °F 59° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.4 °F Above +51% A bit above +0.5 °F 57° / 52°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.6 °F Above +65% —
December A bit above +1.6 °F A bit above +31% —
January A bit above +1.4 °F Above +53% —
February Normal 0.0 °F A bit above +48% —
March Normal −0.2 °F A bit above +30% —

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nags Head climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nags Head is from May to June and in October: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nags Head, about 8 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Claudette, in June 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 52° 37° 4.30 in 9 4.5 49° 4.0 ft –
FebruaryFeb 53° 37° 3.62 in 9 5.0 46° 4.0 ft –
MarchMar 60° 42° 3.84 in 9 6.1 48° 4.3 ft –
AprilApr 68° 50° 3.57 in 8 7.1 55° 3.9 ft –
MayMay 75° 59° 4.23 in 9 7.9 64° 3.1 ft 1
JuneJun 82° 68° 4.97 in 12 8.1 73° 2.7 ft 3
JulyJul 86° 72° 5.83 in 16 7.8 78° 2.6 ft 5
AugustAug 85° 72° 6.22 in 15 7.2 78° 2.7 ft 5
SeptemberSep 80° 67° 6.51 in 12 6.2 76° 4.0 ft 8
OctoberOct 72° 58° 4.63 in 8 5.8 69° 4.1 ft 3
NovemberNov 63° 49° 4.24 in 8 5.0 61° 4.3 ft –
DecemberDec 56° 41° 3.87 in 9 4.4 55° 3.8 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 49° 4.0 ft –
Feb 46° 4.0 ft –
Mar 48° 4.3 ft –
Apr 55° 3.9 ft –
May 64° 3.1 ft 1
Jun 73° 2.7 ft 3
Jul 78° 2.6 ft 5
Aug 78° 2.7 ft 5
Sep 76° 4.0 ft 8
Oct 69° 4.1 ft 3
Nov 61° 4.3 ft –
Dec 55° 3.8 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.82 in of rain on about 124 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now66 °Ffeels like 64 °F
Tomorrow63 / 69 °F

It's 66 °F now (feels like 64 °F). Today, 62 °F to 70 °F; tomorrow, 63 °F to 69 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 5%
  • Thu 29 4%
  • Fri 30 7%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 1%
  • Mon 2 24% 0.09 in
  • Tue 3 19% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 5%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 24% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.06 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%
Dew point63 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 63 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.5 migood
Clouds22%

Visibility is good now (8.5 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak5moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.14 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 58
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Overcast43 / 69 °F012 mph N
Mon 26 Clear sky52 / 67 °F014 mph NNE
Sun 25 Mainly clear61 / 67 °F019 mph NNE
Sat 24 Light drizzle60 / 69 °F0.05 in17 mph NE
Fri 23 Light drizzle56 / 70 °F0.01 in18 mph NNE
Thu 22 Clear sky52 / 66 °F013 mph NNW
Wed 21 Mainly clear58 / 64 °F019 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Partly cloudy58 / 68 °F022 mph N
Mon 19 Light drizzle61 / 65 °F0.05 in23 mph NNE
Sun 18 Drizzle55 / 65 °F0.14 in25 mph NNE
Sat 17 Light rain54 / 76 °F0.93 in26 mph N
Fri 16 Overcast66 / 84 °F015 mph SW
Thu 15 Overcast69 / 81 °F011 mph NW
Wed 14 Mainly clear67 / 87 °F010 mph SW
Tue 13 Overcast58 / 78 °F08 mph S
Mon 12 Overcast65 / 74 °F017 mph WNW
Sun 11 Showers72 / 77 °F1.31 in20 mph S
Sat 10 Light drizzle69 / 76 °F0.13 in17 mph E
Fri 9 Overcast62 / 76 °F011 mph NNE
Thu 8 Overcast55 / 80 °F07 mph WSW
Wed 7 Clear sky57 / 74 °F07 mph NE
Tue 6 Overcast61 / 71 °F012 mph NNE
Mon 5 Light drizzle65 / 70 °F0.05 in11 mph N
Sun 4 Light showers69 / 76 °F0.51 in10 mph N
Sat 3 Light rain69 / 79 °F0.41 in10 mph N
Fri 2 Mainly clear69 / 89 °F010 mph SW
Thu 1 Overcast61 / 85 °F011 mph S
Wed 30 Light drizzle66 / 78 °F0.06 in6 mph ENE
Tue 29 Light drizzle65 / 77 °F0.04 in5 mph E
Mon 28 Overcast61 / 78 °F09 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Nags HeadQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nags Head?

Overcast, from 62 °F to 70 °F, with a moderate breeze from the northeast (13 mph) and a 5% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nags Head?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 4% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 60 °F and a high of 70 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.29 inHg and steady: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nags Head?

The best time to visit Nags Head is from May to June and in October: highs of 72 °F to 82 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nags Head in October?

In October, Nags Head normally sees highs of 72 °F and lows of 58 °F, with about 8 rainy days (4.63 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 69 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nags Head?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 37 °F. The wettest is September (6.51 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Nags Head?

Hurricane season: from June to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 25 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nags Head, about 8 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Claudette, in June 2021.

More about Nags Head today

Weather near Nags Head

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 16 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:58 pm (local time).

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