Weather in North Topsail Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:06 pm (EDT)

Now · partly cloudy 68 °F

Feels like: 67 °F
Low / high: 55 / 75 °F
Rain: 3%
Wind: 11 mph NE

→ 30.24 inHg · steady

Today in North Topsail Beach: light drizzle, 55 °F to 75 °F, with a 3% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 62 °F to 76 °F and a 5% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 76 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (30%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

75° 55°
Today
76° 62°
Thu 29
76° 58°
Fri 30
71° 58°
Sat 31
72° 57°
Sun 1
71° 61°
Mon 2
74° 61°
Tue 3
74° 63°
Wed 4
73° 63°
Thu 5
72° 60°
Fri 6
69° 54°
Sat 7
68° 51°
Sun 8
66° 52°
Mon 9
70° 49°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	55 / 75 °F	3%	12 mph NNE	4.7 ft	9:24 am · 9:42 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	62 / 76 °F	5%	10 mph NE	4.7 ft	10:16 am · 10:35 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	58 / 76 °F	1%	6 mph NNE	3.8 ft	11:13 am · 11:34 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	58 / 71 °F	0%	12 mph NE	3.5 ft	12:14 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	57 / 72 °F	16% · 0.02 in	13 mph NE	3.4 ft	12:41 am · 12:20 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	61 / 71 °F	30% · 0.79 in	14 mph NE	3.4 ft	12:54 am · 1:28 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	61 / 74 °F	21% · 0.02 in	14 mph NE	3.9 ft	2:05 am · 2:32 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	63 / 74 °F	21% · 0.09 in	12 mph NE	3.8 ft	3:09 am · 3:31 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	63 / 73 °F	31% · 0.87 in	11 mph SE	6.3 ft	4:04 am · 4:24 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	60 / 72 °F	22% · 0.21 in	9 mph WSW	7.2 ft	4:53 am · 5:12 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Partly cloudy	54 / 69 °F	7% · 0.03 in	9 mph NNW	3.3 ft	5:38 am · 5:56 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Heavy rain	51 / 68 °F	6% · 1.20 in	13 mph N	4.2 ft	6:19 am · 6:37 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	52 / 66 °F	9%	13 mph N	3.4 ft	6:58 am · 7:16 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	49 / 70 °F	10%	11 mph N	2.8 ft	7:36 am · 7:54 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Overcast
Temperature	56°	59°	60°	62°	72°	75°	71°	65°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 NNE	8 NNE	9 NNE	10 NNE	11 NNE	11 NNE	9 NE	11 NE
Humidity	88%	95%	94%	94%	76%	68%	67%	84%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	3	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	74°	76°	76°	70°	73°	72°	74°
AIFS	71°	73°	74°	69°	69°	70°	72°
GFS	73°	77°	78°	71°	72°	67°	68°
ICON	76°	81°	82°	71°	75°	74°	70°
HRRR	75°	75°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	74°	76°	76°	71°	72°	71°	74°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.31 in	1.04 in
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.11 in	3.58 in
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.79 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1323	1120	814	1020	1127	1127	1531
AIFS	14	13	8	13	13	14	15
GFS	1124	822	612	1226	1223	1431	1630
ICON	1024	820	615	820	821	1025	1230
HRRR	1227	1023	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1323	1019	613	1221	1322	1425	1426
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	15%	0%	0%	0%	2%	10%	12%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	6%	0%	0%	0%	26%	61%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	3%	5%	1%	0%	16%	30%	21%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	3%	6%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.5 °F	Above +69%	Below −1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +34%	A bit below −0.9 °F	64° / 55°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F	63° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +53%	A bit below −0.5 °F	61° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +85%	A bit below −0.5 °F	59° / 52°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +58%	—
December	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +42%	—
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +57%	—
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Above +59%	—
March	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +38%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

North Topsail Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit North Topsail Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 30 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of North Topsail Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

55° 36°

JanJ
59° 37°

FebF
65° 43°

MarM
73° 51°

AprA
80° 60°

MayM
86° 68°

JunJ
88° 72°

JulJ
87° 71°

AugA
83° 65°

SepS
75° 54°

OctO
67° 44°

NovN
59° 38°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	55°	36°	3.90 in	9	4.9	61°	2.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	59°	37°	3.80 in	8	5.0	59°	2.7 ft	–
MarchMar	65°	43°	3.62 in	9	6.2	61°	2.6 ft	–
AprilApr	73°	51°	3.65 in	8	7.2	65°	2.7 ft	–
MayMay	80°	60°	4.08 in	11	8.0	71°	2.4 ft	3
JuneJun	86°	68°	5.96 in	14	7.6	78°	2.3 ft	2
JulyJul	88°	72°	7.71 in	18	7.7	81°	2.4 ft	3
AugustAug	87°	71°	7.02 in	17	7.1	82°	2.2 ft	7
SeptemberSep	83°	65°	7.10 in	13	5.6	80°	2.6 ft	12
OctoberOct	75°	54°	3.23 in	7	5.7	75°	2.5 ft	3
NovemberNov	67°	44°	4.13 in	7	5.2	69°	2.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	59°	38°	3.79 in	8	4.4	64°	2.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	61°	2.5 ft	–
Feb	59°	2.7 ft	–
Mar	61°	2.6 ft	–
Apr	65°	2.7 ft	–
May	71°	2.4 ft	3
Jun	78°	2.3 ft	2
Jul	81°	2.4 ft	3
Aug	82°	2.2 ft	7
Sep	80°	2.6 ft	12
Oct	75°	2.5 ft	3
Nov	69°	2.5 ft	–
Dec	64°	2.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 58.00 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now68 °Ffeels like 67 °F

Tomorrow62 / 76 °F

It's 68 °F now (feels like 67 °F). Today, 55 °F to 75 °F; tomorrow, 62 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 3%
Thu 29 5%
Fri 30 1%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 16% 0.02 in
Mon 2 30% 0.79 in
Tue 3 21% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 3%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 30% and 0.79 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 59 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds70%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 5 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.30 30.12

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.08 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 42

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	47 / 74 °F	8 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	52 / 73 °F	12 mph N
Sun 25	Clear sky	58 / 72 °F	16 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	55 / 72 °F	14 mph NNE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	46 / 72 °F	14 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	44 / 71 °F	8 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	51 / 71 °F	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	49 / 74 °F	0	13 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	51 / 69 °F	0	16 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	48 / 67 °F	0	19 mph N
Sat 17	Light rain	50 / 76 °F	0.48 in	20 mph NNW
Fri 16	Clear sky	70 / 81 °F	0	14 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	68 / 85 °F	0	9 mph SW
Wed 14	Clear sky	65 / 84 °F	0	10 mph SW
Tue 13	Clear sky	66 / 80 °F	0	8 mph S
Mon 12	Mainly clear	65 / 82 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	69 / 78 °F	0.64 in	16 mph S
Sat 10	Light showers	70 / 77 °F	0.71 in	20 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	62 / 78 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	58 / 79 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Wed 7	Overcast	56 / 77 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Tue 6	Partly cloudy	59 / 76 °F	0	13 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	64 / 70 °F	0.20 in	8 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	68 / 77 °F	0.48 in	7 mph NW
Sat 3	Showers	73 / 83 °F	1.07 in	8 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	70 / 84 °F	0.02 in	9 mph SW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.05 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Overcast	65 / 82 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Overcast	60 / 81 °F	0	9 mph SE
Mon 28	Clear sky	58 / 80 °F	0	8 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in North Topsail BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in North Topsail Beach?

Light drizzle, from 55 °F to 75 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (11 mph) and a 3% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in North Topsail Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 5% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 55 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.24 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit North Topsail Beach?

The best time to visit North Topsail Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 73 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in North Topsail Beach in October?

In October, North Topsail Beach normally sees highs of 75 °F and lows of 54 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.23 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 75 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in North Topsail Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is July (7.71 in) and the driest, October.

When is hurricane season in North Topsail Beach?

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 30 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of North Topsail Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ophelia, in September 2023.

More about North Topsail Beach today

Weather near North Topsail Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:06 pm (local time).

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