Weather in Topsail Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:26 am (EDT)

Now · clear 61 °F

Feels like: 60 °F
Low / high: 60 / 76 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 9 mph NNE

→ 30.20 inHg · steady

Today in Topsail Beach: overcast, 60 °F to 76 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (9 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 58 °F to 76 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 76 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (19%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

76° 60°
Today
76° 58°
Fri 30
70° 58°
Sat 31
72° 56°
Sun 1
73° 60°
Mon 2
75° 62°
Tue 3
76° 64°
Wed 4
75° 65°
Thu 5
73° 61°
Fri 6
69° 56°
Sat 7
68° 52°
Sun 8
72° 46°
Mon 9
75° 52°
Tue 10
69° 52°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	60 / 76 °F	0%	12 mph NE	4.9 ft	11:29 am · 11:46 pm	HRRR
Fri 30	Mainly clear	58 / 76 °F	0%	7 mph NE	3.7 ft	12:27 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	58 / 70 °F	0%	13 mph NE	3.8 ft	12:46 am · 1:26 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	56 / 72 °F	1%	14 mph NE	3.7 ft	1:45 am · 1:23 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	60 / 73 °F	19% · 0.09 in	13 mph NE	3.9 ft	1:42 am · 2:17 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	62 / 75 °F	6% · 0.01 in	15 mph NE	4.8 ft	2:39 am · 3:11 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	64 / 76 °F	10% · 0.02 in	13 mph ENE	5.1 ft	3:38 am · 4:06 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Showers	65 / 75 °F	27% · 0.48 in	11 mph SE	5.2 ft	4:36 am · 4:59 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	61 / 73 °F	22% · 0.11 in	11 mph WNW	3.9 ft	5:30 am · 5:49 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Mainly clear	56 / 69 °F	15% · 0.26 in	11 mph NW	—	6:19 am · 6:35 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	52 / 68 °F	12% · 0.14 in	11 mph N	—	7:03 am · 7:19 pm	NBM
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	46 / 72 °F	11%	7 mph SW	—	7:46 am · 8:02 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	52 / 75 °F	12% · 0.02 in	10 mph SW	—	8:28 am · 8:45 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Partly cloudy	52 / 69 °F	16%	6 mph N	—	9:10 am · 9:28 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 12:00 am; then NBM until Monday 9 2:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear
Temperature	64°	62°	61°	64°	75°	76°	71°	68°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 NNE	8 NNE	9 NNE	10 NE	10 NE	10 ENE	11 ENE	8 ENE
Humidity	89%	93%	94%	86%	71%	68%	80%	85%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	76°	79°	69°	72°	71°	76°	78°
AIFS	77°	79°	70°	71°	73°	75°	76°
GFS	80°	81°	71°	71°	72°	76°	77°
ICON	76°	76°	68°	69°	71°	72°	73°
HRRR	76°	76°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	76°	76°	70°	72°	73°	75°	76°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.07 in
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.09 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0.09 in	0.01 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	717	613	920	926	725	827	1228
AIFS	8	5	10	9	9	11	13
GFS	723	611	925	921	921	1024	1123
ICON	918	612	1222	1223	1325	1326	1327
HRRR	1224	711	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1120	712	1320	1420	1320	1522	1320
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	2%	12%	12%	18%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	3%	0%	0%	1%	19%	26%	32%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	0%	0%	1%	19%	6%	10%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	2%	5%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a slightly cooler sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.5 °F	Above +69%	Below −1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	A bit above +34%	A bit below −0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F	63° / 55°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Above +53%	A bit below −0.5 °F	61° / 54°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.4 °F	Above +85%	A bit below −0.5 °F	59° / 52°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +58%	—
December	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +42%	—
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +57%	—
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Above +59%	—
March	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +38%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Topsail Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Topsail Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 74 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Topsail Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

56° 36°

JanJ
59° 37°

FebF
66° 44°

MarM
74° 51°

AprA
80° 60°

MayM
86° 68°

JunJ
89° 72°

JulJ
87° 71°

AugA
83° 65°

SepS
76° 55°

OctO
67° 44°

NovN
59° 38°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	56°	36°	3.79 in	9	4.9	60°	2.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	59°	37°	3.71 in	8	4.9	58°	2.7 ft	–
MarchMar	66°	44°	3.69 in	9	6.3	61°	2.6 ft	–
AprilApr	74°	51°	3.62 in	8	7.3	65°	2.7 ft	–
MayMay	80°	60°	4.08 in	11	8.1	71°	2.4 ft	3
JuneJun	86°	68°	5.93 in	14	7.9	78°	2.3 ft	3
JulyJul	89°	72°	8.04 in	18	7.8	81°	2.4 ft	4
AugustAug	87°	71°	7.24 in	17	7.2	82°	2.2 ft	7
SeptemberSep	83°	65°	7.10 in	13	5.7	80°	2.6 ft	12
OctoberOct	76°	55°	3.09 in	7	5.8	74°	2.5 ft	3
NovemberNov	67°	44°	4.00 in	7	5.3	68°	2.5 ft	1
DecemberDec	59°	38°	3.76 in	8	4.4	63°	2.5 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	60°	2.5 ft	–
Feb	58°	2.7 ft	–
Mar	61°	2.6 ft	–
Apr	65°	2.7 ft	–
May	71°	2.4 ft	3
Jun	78°	2.3 ft	3
Jul	81°	2.4 ft	4
Aug	82°	2.2 ft	7
Sep	80°	2.6 ft	12
Oct	74°	2.5 ft	3
Nov	68°	2.5 ft	1
Dec	63°	2.5 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 58.04 in of rain on about 127 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 60 °F

Tomorrow58 / 76 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 60 °F). Today, 60 °F to 76 °F; tomorrow, 58 °F to 76 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 19% 0.09 in
Tue 3 6% 0.01 in
Wed 4 10% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 19% and 0.09 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point59 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 59 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now7.7 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (7.7 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak5moderate

Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.1030.2030.30 30.12

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 42

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	52 / 73 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NE
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	42 / 74 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	50 / 72 °F	0	9 mph N
Sun 25	Mainly clear	55 / 73 °F	0	12 mph NE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	53 / 73 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Fri 23	Clear sky	41 / 71 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	40 / 69 °F	0	7 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Clear sky	48 / 70 °F	0	9 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	47 / 73 °F	0	10 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	49 / 68 °F	0	13 mph N
Sun 18	Mainly clear	46 / 67 °F	0	15 mph NNE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	49 / 74 °F	0.48 in	15 mph NNW
Fri 16	Clear sky	67 / 86 °F	0	9 mph SW
Thu 15	Overcast	65 / 88 °F	0	7 mph SW
Wed 14	Overcast	61 / 88 °F	0	7 mph SW
Tue 13	Mainly clear	60 / 84 °F	0	6 mph SSE
Mon 12	Clear sky	64 / 82 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	68 / 80 °F	0.61 in	11 mph S
Sat 10	Light rain	68 / 76 °F	0.57 in	15 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	60 / 77 °F	0	8 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	53 / 78 °F	0	4 mph NNW
Wed 7	Overcast	54 / 77 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Tue 6	Mainly clear	56 / 76 °F	0	10 mph NE
Mon 5	Drizzle	61 / 69 °F	0.19 in	6 mph N
Sun 4	Light rain	68 / 76 °F	0.48 in	6 mph NW
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	72 / 84 °F	1.30 in	6 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	67 / 88 °F	0.01 in	6 mph SW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	59 / 84 °F	0.04 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Overcast	59 / 86 °F	0	7 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	57 / 84 °F	0	6 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Topsail BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Topsail Beach?

Overcast, from 60 °F to 76 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (9 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Topsail Beach?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 56 °F and a high of 76 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 5 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.20 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Topsail Beach?

The best time to visit Topsail Beach is from April to May and in October: highs of 74 °F to 80 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Topsail Beach in October?

In October, Topsail Beach normally sees highs of 76 °F and lows of 55 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.09 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 74 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Topsail Beach?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is July (8.04 in) and the driest, October.

When is hurricane season in Topsail Beach?

Hurricane season: from May to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 33 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Topsail Beach, one or two a year; 16 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Chantal, in July 2025.

More about Topsail Beach today

Weather near Topsail Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:26 am (local time).

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