Weather in Smith Island

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:23 am (EDT)

Now · mainly clear 55 °F

Feels like: 52 °F
Low / high: 54 / 66 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 4 mph NE

↘ 30.28 inHg · falling

Today in Smith Island: partly cloudy, 54 °F to 66 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 57 °F to 68 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 68 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (23%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

66° 54°
Today
68° 57°
Fri 30
60° 52°
Sat 31
63° 53°
Sun 1
65° 57°
Mon 2
67° 58°
Tue 3
68° 59°
Wed 4
67° 60°
Thu 5
65° 56°
Fri 6
61° 54°
Sat 7
60° 52°
Sun 8
57° 50°
Mon 9
59° 50°
Tue 10
60° 54°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Partly cloudy	54 / 66 °F	1%	10 mph SE	0.5 ft	3:20 am · 4:04 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Clear sky	57 / 68 °F	2%	11 mph NW	1.0 ft	4:14 am · 5:00 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	52 / 60 °F	0%	13 mph NNE	1.2 ft	5:13 am · 6:00 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	0%	6 mph ESE	1.0 ft	5:20 am · 6:05 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Partly cloudy	57 / 65 °F	5%	6 mph SSE	1.1 ft	6:33 am · 7:12 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	58 / 67 °F	8%	10 mph E	1.0 ft	7:45 am · 8:17 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	59 / 68 °F	23% · 0.09 in	12 mph E	0.4 ft	8:51 am · 9:16 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	60 / 67 °F	29% · 0.09 in	13 mph ESE	0.2 ft	9:48 am · 10:08 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Rain	56 / 65 °F	27% · 0.42 in	11 mph NNE	1.2 ft	10:38 am · 10:55 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	54 / 61 °F	27% · 0.10 in	12 mph NNW	2.2 ft	11:24 am · 11:39 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	52 / 60 °F	15% · 0.10 in	15 mph N	1.8 ft	12:06 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	50 / 57 °F	17%	15 mph NNE	1.6 ft	12:19 am · 12:45 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	50 / 59 °F	19%	9 mph NNE	0.8 ft	12:56 am · 1:22 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	54 / 60 °F	20%	7 mph N	0.5 ft	1:31 am · 1:59 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	55°	55°	54°	58°	63°	65°	61°	60°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 E	3 NE	5 E	4 N	2 NNE	3 S	5 S	10 S
Humidity	80%	76%	76%	87%	82%	77%	82%	89%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	65°	67°	61°	61°	63°	64°	65°
AIFS	65°	68°	62°	60°	61°	64°	67°
GFS	65°	67°	60°	60°	61°	64°	64°
ICON	65°	67°	60°	60°	62°	65°	66°
HRRR	66°	70°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	64°	68°	60°	63°	65°	67°	68°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.09 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1013	1520	1421	819	1118	1117	711
AIFS	8	13	14	6	6	8	13
GFS	1213	1830	1926	1110	1112	1218	1523
ICON	711	1320	1523	913	916	711	1015
HRRR	1218	1827	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	69	1115	1318	69	69	1014	1217
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	8%	9%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	10%	13%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	2%	0%	0%	5%	8%	23%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, a bit wetter and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.3 °F	Above +80%	Above +2.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +22%	Above +2.7 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F	57° / 49°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +32%	Above +2.5 °F	55° / 48°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +43%	Above +2.3 °F	52° / 45°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +34%	—
December	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +21%	—
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +34%	—
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit above +40%	—
March	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +27%	—

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Smith Island climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Smith Island is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Smith Island, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

46° 29°

JanJ
49° 30°

FebF
56° 37°

MarM
67° 45°

AprA
76° 55°

MayM
84° 64°

JunJ
88° 68°

JulJ
86° 67°

AugA
80° 61°

SepS
70° 50°

OctO
59° 41°

NovN
50° 33°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	46°	29°	3.13 in	8	4.2	40°	1.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	49°	30°	2.83 in	7	5.0	39°	1.2 ft	–
MarchMar	56°	37°	4.04 in	8	5.9	43°	1.3 ft	–
AprilApr	67°	45°	3.02 in	8	6.5	52°	1.3 ft	–
MayMay	76°	55°	3.17 in	10	7.5	62°	1.1 ft	–
JuneJun	84°	64°	3.81 in	11	7.6	72°	1.0 ft	–
JulyJul	88°	68°	3.85 in	12	7.8	79°	0.9 ft	4
AugustAug	86°	67°	4.26 in	10	7.2	80°	0.9 ft	3
SeptemberSep	80°	61°	3.47 in	9	6.1	76°	1.0 ft	3
OctoberOct	70°	50°	3.74 in	7	5.4	67°	1.3 ft	–
NovemberNov	59°	41°	2.97 in	7	4.7	56°	1.3 ft	–
DecemberDec	50°	33°	3.20 in	8	3.8	47°	1.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	40°	1.3 ft	–
Feb	39°	1.2 ft	–
Mar	43°	1.3 ft	–
Apr	52°	1.3 ft	–
May	62°	1.1 ft	–
Jun	72°	1.0 ft	–
Jul	79°	0.9 ft	4
Aug	80°	0.9 ft	3
Sep	76°	1.0 ft	3
Oct	67°	1.3 ft	–
Nov	56°	1.3 ft	–
Dec	47°	1.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.49 in of rain on about 104 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now55 °Ffeels like 52 °F

Tomorrow57 / 68 °F

It's 55 °F now (feels like 52 °F). Today, 54 °F to 66 °F; tomorrow, 57 °F to 68 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 5%
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 23% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 23% and 0.09 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity76%

Dew point47 °F

Humidity is 76% now and the dew point is 47 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds32%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4 · Sun 1: 4

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.11

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 38

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	56 / 64 °F	11 mph NE
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	58 / 66 °F	13 mph N
Mon 26	Mainly clear	54 / 63 °F	9 mph W
Sun 25	Clear sky	52 / 63 °F	12 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	52 / 63 °F	12 mph ENE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	55 / 63 °F	16 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	57 / 64 °F	17 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	56 / 64 °F	0	19 mph N
Tue 20	Clear sky	58 / 68 °F	0	20 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	53 / 64 °F	0	18 mph NNE
Sun 18	Clear sky	49 / 60 °F	0	25 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light rain	55 / 68 °F	0.54 in	30 mph N
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	66 / 76 °F	0.24 in	19 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	65 / 75 °F	0	16 mph NE
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	70 / 77 °F	0	14 mph SW
Tue 13	Mainly clear	67 / 73 °F	0	15 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	64 / 72 °F	0.07 in	26 mph NW
Sun 11	Light rain	69 / 74 °F	0.63 in	25 mph SE
Sat 10	Overcast	63 / 71 °F	0	16 mph E
Fri 9	Overcast	64 / 71 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Thu 8	Overcast	65 / 73 °F	0	16 mph WSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	57 / 69 °F	0	16 mph SSE
Tue 6	Clear sky	58 / 67 °F	0	17 mph N
Mon 5	Overcast	65 / 72 °F	0	14 mph NNW
Sun 4	Rain	66 / 70 °F	0.74 in	13 mph NE
Sat 3	Light rain	65 / 73 °F	0.39 in	19 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	71 / 77 °F	0.02 in	19 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	70 / 75 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	68 / 73 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SSW
Tue 29	Overcast	68 / 71 °F	0	9 mph W

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Smith IslandQuestions

What's the weather like today in Smith Island?

Partly cloudy, from 54 °F to 66 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Smith Island?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 52 °F and a high of 68 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.28 inHg and falling: −0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Smith Island?

The best time to visit Smith Island is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Smith Island in October?

In October, Smith Island normally sees highs of 70 °F and lows of 50 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.74 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Smith Island?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is August (4.26 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Smith Island?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in July. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Smith Island, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Smith Island today

Weather near Smith Island

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:23 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from