TidePlanet

Weather in Mount Vernon

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:39 pm (EDT)
Now · mainly clear 53 °F
Feels like
50 °F
Low / high
46 / 70 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
4 mph ENE
↘ 30.31 inHg · falling

Today in Mount Vernon: overcast, 46 °F to 70 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 50 °F to 70 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 73 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (21%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 46 / 70 °F 0% 8 mph ENE 0.1 ft 3:52 am · 4:21 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Mainly clear 50 / 70 °F 1% 7 mph SW 0.1 ft 4:41 am · 5:13 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Partly cloudy 54 / 73 °F 2% 10 mph WNW 0.7 ft 5:35 am · 6:10 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 44 / 62 °F 0% 7 mph NNE 0.4 ft 6:33 am · 7:09 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 45 / 65 °F 0% 4 mph SE 0.4 ft 6:35 am · 7:11 pm NBM
Mon 2 Partly cloudy 50 / 67 °F 5% 5 mph SSE 0.5 ft 7:43 am · 8:20 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 53 / 70 °F 8% 9 mph E 0.5 ft 9:00 am · 9:32 pm NBM
Wed 4 Clear sky 56 / 70 °F 21% · 0.09 in 11 mph E 0.1 ft 10:09 am · 10:32 pm NBM
Thu 5 Mainly clear 58 / 69 °F 27% · 0.09 in 12 mph ESE 0.1 ft 11:05 am · 11:23 pm NBM
Fri 6 Rain 55 / 66 °F 26% · 0.34 in 11 mph W 0.9 ft 11:52 am NBM
Sat 7 Rain 50 / 62 °F 26% · 0.09 in 11 mph NW 1.5 ft 12:09 am · 12:35 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 44 / 60 °F 12% · 0.10 in 9 mph NNW 1.3 ft 12:51 am · 1:15 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Clear sky 40 / 58 °F 15% 8 mph NNE 1.0 ft 1:31 am · 1:51 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 38 / 62 °F 17% 6 mph NE 0.5 ft 2:09 am · 2:27 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 6:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClearClear skyMainly clearOvercastOvercastPartly cloudy
Temperature 50°48°48°53°67°70°63°56°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 5 NE3 NE3 NE4 N8 E4 E5 SE3 NNE
Humidity 87%86%90%89%65%55%65%81%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 70°70°73°61°65°69°71°
AIFS 71°70°74°61°63°66°69°
GFS 71°69°75°62°66°64°73°
ICON 68°68°73°62°66°69°69°
HRRR 70°70°73°————
NBM 68°69°73°62°65°67°70°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0000000
AIFS 0000000
GFS 0000000
ICON 0000000
HRRR 000————
NBM 0000000
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 71561310229205217171019
AIFS 76129456
GFS 7167121227825515512515
ICON 513410921616715616716
HRRR 8137141321————
NBM 7115710167134759914
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%0%7%8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%0%0%0%13%16%
NBM (NOAA) 0%1%2%0%0%5%8%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%0%0%1%1%1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Well above +6.5 °F Above +76% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal +0.5 °F A bit above +22% 59° / 47°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.0 °F Normal 58° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.3 °F A bit above +33% 55° / 46°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +49% 53° / 44°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.3 °F A bit above +40%
December A bit above +1.8 °F A bit above +28%
January A bit above +2.5 °F A bit above +50%
February A bit above +1.4 °F Above +52%
March A bit above +1.6 °F A bit above +33%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Mount Vernon climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Mount Vernon is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mount Vernon, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 46° 28° 3.49 in 7 4.2 40° 1.3 ft –
FebruaryFeb 48° 29° 2.82 in 7 5.1 39° 1.2 ft –
MarchMar 56° 36° 4.20 in 9 5.8 43° 1.3 ft –
AprilApr 67° 45° 3.39 in 8 6.4 52° 1.3 ft –
MayMay 75° 54° 3.35 in 10 7.3 62° 1.1 ft –
JuneJun 84° 63° 3.86 in 11 7.5 72° 1.0 ft –
JulyJul 88° 68° 4.43 in 11 7.7 79° 0.9 ft 3
AugustAug 86° 66° 4.64 in 10 7.1 80° 0.9 ft 3
SeptemberSep 80° 60° 3.79 in 9 5.9 76° 1.0 ft 2
OctoberOct 70° 49° 4.01 in 7 5.3 67° 1.3 ft –
NovemberNov 59° 39° 3.11 in 7 4.6 56° 1.3 ft –
DecemberDec 50° 33° 3.40 in 8 3.8 47° 1.2 ft –
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 40° 1.3 ft –
Feb 39° 1.2 ft –
Mar 43° 1.3 ft –
Apr 52° 1.3 ft –
May 62° 1.1 ft –
Jun 72° 1.0 ft –
Jul 79° 0.9 ft 3
Aug 80° 0.9 ft 3
Sep 76° 1.0 ft 2
Oct 67° 1.3 ft –
Nov 56° 1.3 ft –
Dec 47° 1.2 ft –

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 44.49 in of rain on about 103 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now53 °Ffeels like 50 °F
Tomorrow50 / 70 °F

It's 53 °F now (feels like 50 °F). Today, 46 °F to 70 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 70 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 1%
  • Fri 30 2%
  • Sat 31 0%
  • Sun 1 0%
  • Mon 2 5%
  • Tue 3 8%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 21% and 0.09 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%
Dew point48 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 48 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.2 migood
Clouds27%

Visibility is good now (9.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 4

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 38
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Partly cloudy48 / 71 °F09 mph NE
Mon 26 Clear sky42 / 66 °F08 mph W
Sun 25 Clear sky44 / 67 °F06 mph NE
Sat 24 Overcast43 / 65 °F07 mph NE
Fri 23 Overcast48 / 65 °F010 mph NNE
Thu 22 Overcast45 / 66 °F09 mph NNW
Wed 21 Overcast48 / 65 °F011 mph N
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Clear sky47 / 69 °F011 mph N
Mon 19 Clear sky43 / 65 °F011 mph NNE
Sun 18 Clear sky42 / 60 °F012 mph NNE
Sat 17 Heavy drizzle48 / 64 °F0.54 in15 mph N
Fri 16 Rain62 / 79 °F0.60 in11 mph SSW
Thu 15 Light drizzle62 / 73 °F0.01 in10 mph NE
Wed 14 Overcast67 / 86 °F09 mph SW
Tue 13 Mainly clear58 / 78 °F09 mph SW
Mon 12 Light drizzle58 / 71 °F0.05 in15 mph NW
Sun 11 Heavy drizzle65 / 74 °F0.56 in15 mph ESE
Sat 10 Overcast54 / 72 °F010 mph E
Fri 9 Overcast54 / 75 °F05 mph N
Thu 8 Overcast58 / 78 °F09 mph WSW
Wed 7 Clear sky44 / 69 °F08 mph S
Tue 6 Clear sky50 / 65 °F08 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast58 / 73 °F010 mph NW
Sun 4 Light rain63 / 68 °F0.37 in9 mph NE
Sat 3 Light rain62 / 71 °F0.50 in11 mph NNE
Fri 2 Light drizzle69 / 83 °F0.02 in10 mph SW
Thu 1 Overcast63 / 82 °F09 mph SSW
Wed 30 Overcast60 / 77 °F06 mph SW
Tue 29 Overcast63 / 74 °F07 mph W
Mon 28 Light drizzle61 / 69 °F0.01 in9 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Mount VernonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Mount Vernon?

Overcast, from 46 °F to 70 °F, with a light breeze from the east-northeast (4 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Mount Vernon?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 44 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.31 inHg and falling: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Mount Vernon?

The best time to visit Mount Vernon is from May to June and from August to October: highs of 70 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Mount Vernon in October?

In October, Mount Vernon normally sees highs of 70 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 7 rainy days (4.01 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 67 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Mount Vernon?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 28 °F. The wettest is August (4.64 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Mount Vernon?

Hurricane season: from July to August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mount Vernon, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Mount Vernon today

Weather near Mount Vernon

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:39 pm (local time).

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