Weather in Pelican Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:13 am (EDT)

Now · clear 74 °F

Feels like: 79 °F
Low / high: 73 / 87 °F
Rain: 9%
Wind: 7 mph NE

↘ 29.94 inHg · falling UV 7 · high

Today in Pelican Bay: overcast, 73 °F to 87 °F, with a 9% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 73 °F to 86 °F and a 35% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (71%).

Measured now at the airport

Naples Muni (KAPF), 5.6 mi away · 21 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind6 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 73°
Today
86° 73°
Fri 30
85° 73°
Sat 31
83° 73°
Sun 1
82° 71°
Mon 2
83° 69°
Tue 3
83° 69°
Wed 4
82° 70°
Thu 5
81° 69°
Fri 6
80° 66°
Sat 7
80° 64°
Sun 8
75° 60°
Mon 9
78° 60°
Tue 10
77° 63°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	73 / 87 °F	9%	11 mph NE	1.2 ft	2:35 am · 5:41 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	73 / 86 °F	35%	11 mph NE	1.1 ft	3:23 am · 6:54 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	73 / 85 °F	71% · 0.11 in	11 mph ENE	0.9 ft	4:28 am · 8:06 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	73 / 83 °F	68% · 0.29 in	11 mph ENE	0.8 ft	5:15 am · 8:06 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Rain	71 / 82 °F	23% · 0.03 in	11 mph NE	0.9 ft	7:07 am · 8:53 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	69 / 83 °F	8%	9 mph NE	0.9 ft	8:33 am · 9:33 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Partly cloudy	69 / 83 °F	9%	8 mph NE	0.6 ft	9:53 am · 10:08 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Drizzle	70 / 82 °F	14%	10 mph SW	1.9 ft	11:00 am · 10:39 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Heavy drizzle	69 / 81 °F	8%	9 mph WNW	4.9 ft	11:52 am · 11:08 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	66 / 80 °F	8% · 0.07 in	9 mph N	4.3 ft	12:34 pm · 11:36 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	64 / 80 °F	17%	8 mph NNE	3.6 ft	1:11 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	60 / 75 °F	16%	7 mph N	3.0 ft	12:03 am · 1:48 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	60 / 78 °F	14%	7 mph NNW	2.0 ft	12:28 am · 2:27 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	63 / 77 °F	23%	7 mph NNW	1.6 ft	12:53 am · 3:11 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 8:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	75°	73°	73°	76°	83°	87°	83°	78°
Chance of rain	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%	9%	8%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 NE	7 NE	6 NNE	8 NE	10 NE	9 NE	10 NE	9 NE
Humidity	93%	94%	95%	90%	69%	60%	70%	85%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	4	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	86°	86°	79°	79°	85°	85°
AIFS	84°	84°	83°	79°	74°	79°	80°
GFS	88°	90°	87°	87°	86°	84°	86°
ICON	87°	85°	87°	80°	78°	81°	85°
HRRR	87°	87°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	86°	86°	85°	83°	82°	83°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.06 in	0.20 in	0.33 in	0.71 in	0	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.47 in	0.83 in	0.22 in	0.08 in
GFS	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.20 in	0	0	0.01 in
ICON	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	1.20 in	0.09 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.04 in	0	0.11 in	0.29 in	0.03 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	low	low	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1021	1125	1125	1122	1315	929	719
AIFS	11	10	13	13	15	11	8
GFS	1323	1323	1626	1325	108	117	1212
ICON	919	1022	1022	1021	613	821	716
HRRR	1123	1121	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1017	1118	1118	1117	1117	913	813
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	43%	76%	98%	86%	57%	47%	45%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	49%	56%	91%	83%	48%	41%	26%
NBM (NOAA)	9%	35%	71%	68%	23%	8%	9%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	3%	14%	24%	41%	25%	13%	7%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −1.3 °F	Above +83%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit above +48%	80° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +101%	79° / 64°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +174%	77° / 63°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +84%
December	Normal −0.4 °F	Well above +158%
January	A bit below −1.6 °F	Well above +179%
February	A bit below −1.8 °F	Well above +189%
March	A bit below −2.0 °F	Well above +169%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Pelican Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Pelican Bay is from November to April: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pelican Bay, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

75° 55°

JanJ
76° 56°

FebF
80° 60°

MarM
84° 64°

AprA
88° 68°

MayM
91° 73°

JunJ
92° 74°

JulJ
92° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
87° 70°

OctO
82° 62°

NovN
78° 58°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	75°	55°	1.82 in	6	6.2	68°	1.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	76°	56°	1.47 in	5	7.1	68°	1.0 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	60°	2.06 in	6	7.8	71°	1.1 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	64°	1.81 in	8	8.3	76°	1.1 ft	–
MayMay	88°	68°	3.57 in	11	8.9	80°	1.0 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	73°	9.29 in	23	7.0	84°	0.9 ft	–
JulyJul	92°	74°	8.10 in	25	7.5	86°	0.8 ft	3
AugustAug	92°	75°	9.22 in	26	7.0	86°	0.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	7.81 in	22	6.1	85°	0.9 ft	6
OctoberOct	87°	70°	3.44 in	11	6.2	81°	1.1 ft	3
NovemberNov	82°	62°	1.68 in	5	6.4	75°	1.1 ft	2
DecemberDec	78°	58°	1.48 in	5	5.7	71°	1.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	1.2 ft	–
Feb	68°	1.0 ft	–
Mar	71°	1.1 ft	–
Apr	76°	1.1 ft	–
May	80°	1.0 ft	–
Jun	84°	0.9 ft	–
Jul	86°	0.8 ft	3
Aug	86°	0.9 ft	4
Sep	85°	0.9 ft	6
Oct	81°	1.1 ft	3
Nov	75°	1.1 ft	2
Dec	71°	1.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 51.74 in of rain on about 152 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now74 °Ffeels like 79 °F

Tomorrow73 / 86 °F

It's 74 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 73 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 9%
Fri 30 35%
Sat 31 71% 0.11 in
Sun 1 68% 0.29 in
Mon 2 23% 0.03 in
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 9%

Today the chance of rain reaches 9%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 71% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.04 in; last 7 days, 0.17 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.2 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (8.2 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6 · Sun 1: 5

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 30.03

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 26

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Heavy drizzle	73 / 86 °F	0.27 in	14 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	70 / 85 °F	0.04 in	15 mph NNE
Mon 26	Clear sky	71 / 86 °F	0	17 mph NE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	67 / 82 °F	0.08 in	15 mph NNE
Sat 24	Clear sky	65 / 83 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	64 / 83 °F	0.05 in	10 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	65 / 82 °F	0	10 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	63 / 82 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Tue 20	Clear sky	67 / 84 °F	0	11 mph NE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.05 in	12 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	67 / 83 °F	0	15 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	70 / 81 °F	1.26 in	15 mph N
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.32 in	6 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	74 / 90 °F	0.13 in	8 mph E
Wed 14	Clear sky	70 / 89 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Tue 13	Clear sky	68 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NE
Mon 12	Overcast	74 / 87 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	77 / 85 °F	0.25 in	9 mph ESE
Sat 10	Thunderstorm	80 / 86 °F	0.30 in	12 mph S
Fri 9	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.17 in	12 mph SE
Thu 8	Showers	74 / 88 °F	0.57 in	9 mph SE
Wed 7	Light showers	77 / 81 °F	0.39 in	6 mph SSE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.11 in	6 mph SE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.08 in	5 mph SSE
Sun 4	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.11 in	8 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.11 in	9 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.02 in	9 mph E
Thu 1	Light showers	73 / 81 °F	0.35 in	11 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	71 / 82 °F	0.04 in	7 mph E
Tue 29	Showers	71 / 84 °F	0.90 in	7 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Pelican BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Pelican Bay?

Overcast, from 73 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (7 mph) and a 9% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Pelican Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 35% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.94 inHg and falling: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Pelican Bay?

The best time to visit Pelican Bay is from November to April: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Pelican Bay in October?

In October, Pelican Bay normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.44 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Pelican Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 55 °F. The wettest is June (9.29 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Pelican Bay?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Pelican Bay, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Milton, in October 2024.

More about Pelican Bay today

Weather near Pelican Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:13 am (local time).

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