Weather in Marco

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:38 pm (EDT)

Now · drizzle 76 °F

Feels like: 82 °F
Low / high: 72 / 88 °F
Rain: 20% · 0.09 in
Wind: 12 mph NE

↗ 29.95 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Marco: drizzle, 72 °F to 88 °F, with a 20% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a gentle breeze from the northeast (12 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 88 °F and a 11% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 88 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Marco Island (KMKY), 3.9 mi away · 42 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature77 °F

Wind8 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

88° 72°
Today
88° 74°
Thu 29
86° 72°
Fri 30
86° 73°
Sat 31
84° 72°
Sun 1
83° 71°
Mon 2
83° 70°
Tue 3
83° 70°
Wed 4
83° 71°
Thu 5
82° 70°
Fri 6
81° 67°
Sat 7
81° 65°
Sun 8
79° 60°
Mon 9
81° 59°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	72 / 88 °F	20% · 0.09 in	15 mph NNE	3.3 ft	2:26 am · 4:15 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	11% · 0.30 in	10 mph NE	1.6 ft	3:08 am · 5:12 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Drizzle	72 / 86 °F	31%	10 mph NE	1.4 ft	3:55 am · 6:15 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Drizzle	73 / 86 °F	60% · 0.08 in	11 mph ENE	1.1 ft	4:53 am · 7:20 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Light showers	72 / 84 °F	59% · 0.24 in	11 mph ENE	1.2 ft	5:04 am · 7:30 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Showers	71 / 83 °F	26% · 0.03 in	10 mph NNE	1.4 ft	6:25 am · 8:31 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	6%	9 mph NNE	1.2 ft	7:56 am · 9:16 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	70 / 83 °F	8%	9 mph E	0.9 ft	9:19 am · 9:51 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	71 / 83 °F	14%	12 mph SSW	2.4 ft	10:25 am · 10:24 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light rain	70 / 82 °F	14%	11 mph WNW	3.8 ft	11:22 am · 10:56 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	67 / 81 °F	5%	10 mph N	2.6 ft	12:13 pm · 11:28 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	65 / 81 °F	22%	9 mph NNW	2.3 ft	12:58 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	60 / 79 °F	25%	6 mph NNW	1.6 ft	12:01 am · 1:38 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	59 / 81 °F	14%	6 mph NNW	1.0 ft	12:34 am · 2:17 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 5:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Drizzle
Temperature	72°	74°	74°	76°	80°	88°	83°	78°
Chance of rain	3%	12%	5%	7%	4%	2%	16%	13%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	13 NNE	14 NNE	12 NNE	11 NNE	11 NNE	7 NE	10 NE	9 N
Humidity	87%	88%	87%	85%	78%	62%	68%	90%
UV	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	88°	85°	88°	81°	76°	88°
AIFS	89°	87°	87°	85°	80°	75°	79°
GFS	88°	87°	88°	88°	87°	86°	85°
ICON	86°	87°	85°	85°	80°	79°	82°
HRRR	88°	88°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	86°	86°	86°	86°	84°	83°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.24 in	0.02 in	0.11 in	0.14 in	0.67 in	1.48 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.07 in	0.18 in	0.52 in	1.14 in	0.58 in
GFS	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.16 in	0.13 in	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.12 in	0.31 in	0.44 in	0.01 in
HRRR	0.09 in	0.28 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.09 in	0.01 in	0	0.08 in	0.24 in	0.03 in	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	medium	low	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1124	820	1024	921	920	1014	927
AIFS	11	8	9	10	12	12	9
GFS	1829	1120	1318	1423	1222	99	96
ICON	1022	818	920	922	920	1026	512
HRRR	1536	1123	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1623	1016	1015	1117	1117	1016	914
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	80%	82%	92%	86%	69%	47%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	58%	71%	91%	83%	42%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	20%	11%	31%	60%	59%	26%	6%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	5%	4%	12%	21%	38%	20%	13%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: normal temperatures, wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.5 °F	Well above +107%	A bit above +1.4 °F	77° / 68°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +43%	A bit above +0.7 °F	77° / 68°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	Above +93%	A bit above +0.7 °F	75° / 68°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +178%	A bit above +0.5 °F	74° / 67°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Above +92%	Above +1.8 °F
December	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +151%	A bit above +1.1 °F
January	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +190%	Normal −0.2 °F
February	A bit below −0.9 °F	Well above +204%	Normal −0.4 °F
March	A bit below −1.3 °F	Well above +193%	A bit below −0.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Marco climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Marco is from November to April: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Marco, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ian, in September 2022.

75° 56°

JanJ
77° 58°

FebF
80° 61°

MarM
84° 65°

AprA
88° 69°

MayM
90° 74°

JunJ
91° 75°

JulJ
92° 76°

AugA
91° 75°

SepS
87° 71°

OctO
82° 64°

NovN
78° 59°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	75°	56°	1.69 in	5	6.2	69°	2.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	77°	58°	1.32 in	5	7.1	69°	1.6 ft	–
MarchMar	80°	61°	1.65 in	6	7.9	71°	1.6 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	65°	1.86 in	7	8.2	76°	1.6 ft	–
MayMay	88°	69°	3.58 in	13	8.8	80°	1.5 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	74°	9.13 in	24	7.0	84°	1.2 ft	–
JulyJul	91°	75°	7.08 in	24	7.5	86°	1.1 ft	2
AugustAug	92°	76°	8.65 in	25	7.0	86°	1.2 ft	4
SeptemberSep	91°	75°	7.67 in	23	6.1	85°	1.3 ft	6
OctoberOct	87°	71°	3.85 in	11	6.2	82°	1.8 ft	2
NovemberNov	82°	64°	1.61 in	5	6.6	76°	1.8 ft	2
DecemberDec	78°	59°	1.35 in	5	5.8	72°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	69°	2.0 ft	–
Feb	69°	1.6 ft	–
Mar	71°	1.6 ft	–
Apr	76°	1.6 ft	–
May	80°	1.5 ft	–
Jun	84°	1.2 ft	–
Jul	86°	1.1 ft	2
Aug	86°	1.2 ft	4
Sep	85°	1.3 ft	6
Oct	82°	1.8 ft	2
Nov	76°	1.8 ft	2
Dec	72°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 49.46 in of rain on about 151 days and about 2,550 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 82 °F

Tomorrow74 / 88 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 82 °F). Today, 72 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 20% 0.09 in
Thu 29 11% 0.30 in
Fri 30 31%
Sat 31 60% 0.08 in
Sun 1 59% 0.24 in
Mon 2 26% 0.03 in
Tue 3 6%

Today the chance of rain reaches 20%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 11% and 0.30 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.03 in; last 7 days, 0.26 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity92%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 92% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now5.4 mimoderate

Clouds3%

Visibility is moderate now (5.4 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.89

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.07 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 29

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	0.04 in	14 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	66 / 80 °F	0.18 in	12 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	65 / 85 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	65 / 82 °F	0.06 in	8 mph NNE
Thu 22	Overcast	66 / 83 °F	0	9 mph NNE
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	64 / 84 °F	0	8 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	67 / 86 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	70 / 88 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	67 / 84 °F	0.04 in	13 mph NE
Sat 17	Showers	73 / 83 °F	1.13 in	9 mph N
Fri 16	Light showers	75 / 92 °F	0.31 in	5 mph E
Thu 15	Light showers	74 / 94 °F	0.26 in	6 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	70 / 93 °F	0.04 in	7 mph ENE
Tue 13	Clear sky	68 / 91 °F	0	7 mph NE
Mon 12	Overcast	73 / 90 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	76 / 85 °F	0.50 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 10	Drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.25 in	12 mph S
Fri 9	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.13 in	10 mph SE
Thu 8	Light showers	74 / 90 °F	0.30 in	8 mph SE
Wed 7	Drizzle	76 / 81 °F	0.27 in	5 mph S
Tue 6	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.09 in	6 mph SSE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.04 in	5 mph SE
Sun 4	Drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.17 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.12 in	8 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.11 in	8 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light showers	73 / 80 °F	0.35 in	8 mph E
Wed 30	Drizzle	70 / 80 °F	0.12 in	9 mph E
Tue 29	Showers	71 / 85 °F	0.65 in	7 mph E
Mon 28	Overcast	69 / 89 °F	0	7 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MarcoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Marco?

Drizzle, from 72 °F to 88 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (12 mph) and a 20% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Marco?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 11% (0.30 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.95 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Marco?

The best time to visit Marco is from November to April: highs of 75 °F to 84 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Marco in October?

In October, Marco normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.85 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Marco?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 56 °F. The wettest is June (9.13 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Marco?

Hurricane season: from July to November, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 16 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Marco, about 5 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ian, in September 2022.

More about Marco today

Weather near Marco

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 14 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:38 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from