TidePlanet

Weather in Avila Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:28 pm (PDT)
Now · overcast 61 °F
Feels like
60 °F
Low / high
55 / 71 °F
Rain
0%
Wind
5 mph N
→ 29.93 inHg · steady

Today in Avila Beach: overcast, 55 °F to 71 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the north (5 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 58 °F to 70 °F and a 5% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 73 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Overcast 55 / 71 °F 0% 9 mph N 5.1 ft 12:33 am · 11:18 am HRRR
Thu 29 Overcast 58 / 70 °F 5% · 0.06 in 7 mph W 4.5 ft 1:41 am · 12:05 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Light drizzle 58 / 68 °F 23% · 0.01 in 4 mph WNW 4.2 ft 3:00 am · 1:01 pm NBM
Sat 31 Light drizzle 57 / 65 °F 59% · 0.09 in 2 mph NNE 3.9 ft 4:24 am · 2:11 pm NBM
Sun 1 Light drizzle 56 / 70 °F 53% · 0.07 in 9 mph N 7.2 ft 4:29 am · 2:36 pm NBM
Mon 2 Partly cloudy 52 / 73 °F 2% 4 mph NNE 5.9 ft 5:17 am · 4:05 pm NBM
Tue 3 Partly cloudy 55 / 72 °F 18% · 0.05 in 4 mph NNW 6.0 ft 5:57 am · 5:23 pm NBM
Wed 4 Overcast 55 / 70 °F 13% 5 mph NNW 5.4 ft 6:31 am · 6:33 pm NBM
Thu 5 Overcast 55 / 71 °F 5% 8 mph NNW 4.7 ft 7:02 am · 7:34 pm NBM
Fri 6 Overcast 55 / 69 °F 8% 9 mph NNW 10 ft 7:31 am · 8:28 pm NBM
Sat 7 Mainly clear 55 / 69 °F 8% 5 mph N 9.7 ft 7:58 am · 9:19 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 54 / 69 °F 4% 7 mph N 9.3 ft 8:25 am · 10:09 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Overcast 51 / 78 °F 4% 3 mph NNE 9.3 ft 8:51 am · 10:59 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Partly cloudy 58 / 78 °F 15% 3 mph WSW 7.6 ft 9:19 am · 11:51 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 4:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 5:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastOvercastOvercastMainly clearMainly clearOvercastOvercastOvercast
Temperature 57°56°57°61°69°70°65°62°
Chance of rain 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 7 N6 N7 NNE4 NE4 SE8 WSW9 NNW7 NNW
Humidity 64%66%59%61%64%68%76%73%
UV 00014200
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 71°71°68°66°67°77°77°
AIFS 67°66°65°62°65°69°69°
GFS 68°67°64°64°74°73°74°
ICON 72°69°69°63°66°79°82°
HRRR 71°65°—————
NBM 72°71°68°65°70°73°72°
Confidence highmediumhighhighhighmediummedium
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 000.01 in0.06 in0.02 in00
AIFS 000.07 in0.43 in0.12 in00
GFS 000.01 in0000
ICON 00.01 in01.60 in0.96 in00
HRRR 00.06 in—————
NBM 00.01 in0.01 in0.09 in0.07 in00.05 in
Confidence highhighhighmediumlowhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 515718821411925927413
AIFS 65551277
GFS 88711666713157666
ICON 715715613612713612611
HRRR 915811—————
NBM 51041041127916410410
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 0%8%50%45%20%0%14%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 0%0%32%16%6%0%19%
NBM (NOAA) 0%5%23%59%53%2%18%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 0%0%2%2%1%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.6 °F Normal —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Above +3.8 °F Well above +157% 71° / 52°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.2 °F Above +83% 68° / 49°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal 67° / 47°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.6 °F A bit above +33% 65° / 45°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Above +3.4 °F Above +84%
December Above +3.4 °F A bit above +42%
January Above +3.1 °F Well above +143%
February A bit above +1.6 °F Well above +132%
March A bit above +1.4 °F Well above +115%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Avila Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Avila Beach is from June to September: highs of 70 °F to 74 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 64° 44° 5.02 in 7 5.1 56° 7.2 ft
FebruaryFeb 63° 44° 4.82 in 8 5.3 56° 7.1 ft
MarchMar 64° 44° 3.60 in 6 7.4 55° 6.8 ft
AprilApr 66° 44° 1.52 in 3 9.1 54° 6.8 ft
MayMay 68° 47° 0.58 in 1 9.8 54° 6.1 ft
JuneJun 70° 49° 0.07 in 0 10.7 56° 5.8 ft
JulyJul 71° 51° 0.05 in 0 10.3 58° 5.1 ft
AugustAug 73° 52° 0.05 in 0 10.1 59° 4.8 ft
SeptemberSep 74° 52° 0.11 in 0 9.2 60° 5.2 ft
OctoberOct 73° 50° 1.22 in 2 7.9 60° 5.8 ft
NovemberNov 69° 46° 1.78 in 3 6.4 59° 6.3 ft
DecemberDec 64° 43° 4.18 in 6 4.9 57° 7.1 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 56° 7.2 ft
Feb 56° 7.1 ft
Mar 55° 6.8 ft
Apr 54° 6.8 ft
May 54° 6.1 ft
Jun 56° 5.8 ft
Jul 58° 5.1 ft
Aug 59° 4.8 ft
Sep 60° 5.2 ft
Oct 60° 5.8 ft
Nov 59° 6.3 ft
Dec 57° 7.1 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 23.00 in of rain on about 36 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 60 °F
Tomorrow58 / 70 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 60 °F). Today, 55 °F to 71 °F; tomorrow, 58 °F to 70 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 0%
  • Thu 29 5% 0.06 in
  • Fri 30 23% 0.01 in
  • Sat 31 59% 0.09 in
  • Sun 1 53% 0.07 in
  • Mon 2 2%
  • Tue 3 18% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 5% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.29 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity73%
Dew point53 °F

Humidity is 73% now and the dew point is 53 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood
Clouds80%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 3 · Sat 31: 2

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 40
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Overcast50 / 69 °F09 mph NNW
Mon 26 Overcast53 / 71 °F09 mph NNW
Sun 25 Partly cloudy52 / 75 °F07 mph NW
Sat 24 Overcast49 / 78 °F08 mph N
Fri 23 Light drizzle54 / 68 °F0.01 in11 mph NW
Thu 22 Drizzle56 / 64 °F0.25 in10 mph SSE
Wed 21 Rain57 / 72 °F0.67 in9 mph ESE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Overcast49 / 72 °F05 mph NW
Mon 19 Overcast54 / 71 °F08 mph NW
Sun 18 Overcast61 / 83 °F06 mph NW
Sat 17 Clear sky63 / 94 °F07 mph NE
Fri 16 Clear sky56 / 94 °F06 mph NNE
Thu 15 Clear sky50 / 89 °F07 mph N
Wed 14 Clear sky47 / 81 °F09 mph N
Tue 13 Partly cloudy44 / 73 °F09 mph NNW
Mon 12 Light drizzle51 / 68 °F0.01 in7 mph W
Sun 11 Light drizzle56 / 66 °F0.05 in9 mph W
Sat 10 Overcast58 / 70 °F09 mph NW
Fri 9 Overcast60 / 72 °F06 mph W
Thu 8 Overcast62 / 80 °F04 mph WSW
Wed 7 Clear sky63 / 89 °F05 mph NW
Tue 6 Mainly clear63 / 85 °F07 mph NW
Mon 5 Clear sky65 / 88 °F06 mph NW
Sun 4 Clear sky66 / 90 °F04 mph WSW
Sat 3 Partly cloudy62 / 92 °F05 mph NW
Fri 2 Overcast59 / 80 °F04 mph NW
Thu 1 Overcast56 / 77 °F04 mph WNW
Wed 30 Partly cloudy59 / 78 °F04 mph WNW
Tue 29 Mainly clear52 / 81 °F09 mph NNW
Mon 28 Overcast49 / 69 °F010 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Avila BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Avila Beach?

Overcast, from 55 °F to 71 °F, with a light breeze from the north (5 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Avila Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 5% (0.06 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 52 °F and a high of 73 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Avila Beach?

The best time to visit Avila Beach is from June to September: highs of 70 °F to 74 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Avila Beach in October?

In October, Avila Beach normally sees highs of 73 °F and lows of 50 °F, with about 2 rainy days (1.22 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 60 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Avila Beach?

The warmest is September, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is January (5.02 in) and the driest, July.

More about Avila Beach today

Weather near Avila Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:28 pm (local time).

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