Weather in Toksook Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:38 pm (AKDT)

Now · mainly clear 39 °F

Feels like: 33 °F
Low / high: 38 / 43 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.61 in
Wind: 7 mph SSW

↗ 29.92 inHg · rising

Today in Toksook Bay: light rain, 38 °F to 43 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.61 in) and a light breeze from the south-southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 37 °F to 42 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 43 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Tooksok Bay (PAOO), 0.5 mi away · 42 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature39 °F

Wind7 mph from the south-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

43° 38°
Today
42° 37°
Thu 29
43° 39°
Fri 30
38° 32°
Sat 31
34° 31°
Sun 1
38° 35°
Mon 2
41° 35°
Tue 3
40° 35°
Wed 4
37° 36°
Thu 5
38° 33°
Fri 6
40° 33°
Sat 7
33° 29°
Sun 8
33° 27°
Mon 9
32° 31°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light rain	38 / 43 °F	100% · 0.61 in	25 mph SSW	7.5 ft	2:13 am · 1:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Heavy drizzle	37 / 42 °F	100% · 0.33 in	17 mph SE	5.4 ft	3:04 am · 2:46 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	39 / 43 °F	100% · 0.24 in	16 mph SE	5.1 ft	3:57 am · 3:38 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light snow	32 / 38 °F	60% · 0.06 in	20 mph NNW	5.6 ft	4:49 am · 4:33 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light snow	31 / 34 °F	34% · 0.04 in	18 mph ESE	4.7 ft	4:43 am · 4:31 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Snow	35 / 38 °F	74% · 0.71 in	22 mph ESE	8.9 ft	5:38 am · 5:33 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	35 / 41 °F	60% · 0.20 in	18 mph SE	3.9 ft	6:34 am · 6:40 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	49%	19 mph E	3.4 ft	7:30 am · 7:50 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light snow	36 / 37 °F	47% · 0.31 in	20 mph NE	3.4 ft	8:25 am · 8:58 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	33 / 38 °F	37%	15 mph NE	2.2 ft	9:17 am · 10:02 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	33 / 40 °F	21% · 0.05 in	12 mph ENE	1.7 ft	10:07 am · 11:01 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	29 / 33 °F	16%	14 mph NNE	1.6 ft	10:54 am · 11:55 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light snow	27 / 33 °F	23% · 0.01 in	10 mph N	1.4 ft	11:39 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Snow	31 / 32 °F	24% · 0.33 in	10 mph NNW	2.0 ft	12:44 am · 12:23 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Light rain	Light rain	Light rain	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	42°	41°	43°	40°	40°	42°	41°	39°
Chance of rain	48%	82%	100%	100%	41%	13%	4%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	18 SE	20 SE	25 SE	10 W	20 W	15 WSW	8 SW	7 SSW
Humidity	91%	93%	97%	95%	81%	74%	79%	85%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind today: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	43°	42°	43°	38°	34°	38°	41°
AIFS	42°	42°	41°	37°	32°	37°	38°
GFS	42°	41°	40°	38°	32°	38°	38°
ICON	44°	43°	43°	40°	33°	41°	42°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.61 in	0.33 in	0.24 in	0.06 in	0.04 in	0.71 in	0.20 in
AIFS	0.52 in	0.27 in	0.19 in	0.13 in	0	0.13 in	0.06 in
GFS	0.46 in	0.27 in	0.08 in	0.11 in	0	0	0.01 in
ICON	0.61 in	0.23 in	0.16 in	0.15 in	0	0.43 in	0.17 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	2537	1729	1626	2034	1825	2247	1828
AIFS	24	20	16	22	16	20	15
GFS	3755	3046	2130	3133	1827	3045	3349
ICON	3051	2337	1730	2846	1525	3051	3052
Confidence	low	medium	high	medium	high	medium	low

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	60%	34%	74%	60%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	62%	50%	3%	42%	32%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +5.2 °F	Above +89%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −32%	31° / 29°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit below −22%	29° / 27°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit below −22%	27° / 24°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	24° / 21°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal
January	A bit below −1.6 °F	A bit below −26%
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Toksook Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Toksook Bay is from June to July: highs of 55 °F to 59 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

17° 7°

JanJ
24° 13°

FebF
22° 11°

MarM
33° 21°

AprA
44° 33°

MayM
55° 43°

JunJ
59° 47°

JulJ
58° 47°

AugA
51° 41°

SepS
40° 31°

OctO
29° 20°

NovN
21° 11°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water
JanuaryJan	17°	7°	1.38 in	8	1.5	31°
FebruaryFeb	24°	13°	1.77 in	9	1.6	32°
MarchMar	22°	11°	1.17 in	7	4.6	32°
AprilApr	33°	21°	0.90 in	7	4.6	32°
MayMay	44°	33°	1.50 in	9	3.7	36°
JuneJun	55°	43°	2.17 in	9	5.2	44°
JulyJul	59°	47°	2.70 in	12	2.7	51°
AugustAug	58°	47°	5.11 in	14	2.3	53°
SeptemberSep	51°	41°	4.34 in	14	2.8	51°
OctoberOct	40°	31°	2.52 in	10	2.6	43°
NovemberNov	29°	20°	2.04 in	10	1.9	35°
DecemberDec	21°	11°	1.31 in	9	0.4	32°

Month	Water
Jan	31°
Feb	32°
Mar	32°
Apr	32°
May	36°
Jun	44°
Jul	51°
Aug	53°
Sep	51°
Oct	43°
Nov	35°
Dec	32°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 26.91 in of rain on about 116 days and about 1,050 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now39 °Ffeels like 33 °F

Tomorrow37 / 42 °F

It's 39 °F now (feels like 33 °F). Today, 38 °F to 43 °F; tomorrow, 37 °F to 42 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.61 in
Thu 29 100% 0.33 in
Fri 30 100% 0.24 in
Sat 31 60% 0.06 in
Sun 1 34% 0.04 in
Mon 2 74% 0.71 in
Tue 3 60% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.61 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.33 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.65 in; last 3 days, 0.79 in; last 7 days, 2.56 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point35 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 35 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds25%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.0029.5030.00 28.87

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.94 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 35

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	42 / 44 °F	0.07 in	22 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	42 / 45 °F	0.05 in	24 mph SSW
Sun 25	Light rain	41 / 44 °F	0.36 in	28 mph SSW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	42 / 44 °F	0.25 in	22 mph S
Fri 23	Snow	37 / 44 °F	1.20 in	34 mph SSE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	35 / 40 °F	0.01 in	22 mph S
Wed 21	Light snow	33 / 37 °F	0.05 in	8 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	33 / 37 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NNW
Mon 19	Drizzle	33 / 35 °F	0.09 in	11 mph NNW
Sun 18	Snow	34 / 40 °F	0.43 in	17 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	34 / 40 °F	0.09 in	13 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	34 / 40 °F	0.06 in	22 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	37 / 40 °F	0.00 in	22 mph N
Wed 14	Overcast	32 / 38 °F	0	17 mph NNE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	36 / 42 °F	0.02 in	9 mph SSW
Mon 12	Snow	38 / 42 °F	0.17 in	12 mph SSW
Sun 11	Snow	40 / 44 °F	0.27 in	17 mph SSW
Sat 10	Drizzle	42 / 46 °F	0.46 in	20 mph S
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	43 / 46 °F	0.19 in	17 mph S
Thu 8	Drizzle	36 / 44 °F	0.29 in	27 mph SSE
Wed 7	Overcast	29 / 37 °F	0	13 mph ENE
Tue 6	Overcast	36 / 40 °F	0	18 mph NNW
Mon 5	Overcast	34 / 41 °F	0	13 mph NNW
Sun 4	Overcast	33 / 41 °F	0	13 mph NE
Sat 3	Overcast	30 / 42 °F	0	13 mph ENE
Fri 2	Overcast	29 / 38 °F	0	13 mph NE
Thu 1	Overcast	30 / 38 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Wed 30	Mainly clear	31 / 39 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Tue 29	Overcast	37 / 42 °F	0	9 mph N
Mon 28	Overcast	43 / 46 °F	0	17 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Toksook BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Toksook Bay?

Light rain, from 38 °F to 43 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (7 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Toksook Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.33 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 43 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: −0.14 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Toksook Bay?

The best time to visit Toksook Bay is from June to July: highs of 55 °F to 59 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Toksook Bay in October?

In October, Toksook Bay normally sees highs of 40 °F and lows of 31 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.52 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 43 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Toksook Bay?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 59 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 7 °F. The wettest is August (5.11 in) and the driest, April.

More about Toksook Bay today

Weather near Toksook Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:38 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from