Weather in Chefornak

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:39 pm (AKDT)

Now · overcast 37 °F

Feels like: 31 °F
Low / high: 37 / 42 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.57 in
Wind: 6 mph SSE

→ 29.94 inHg · steady

Today in Chefornak: light rain, 37 °F to 42 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.57 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 37 °F to 42 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 42 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

42° 37°
Today
42° 37°
Thu 29
42° 39°
Fri 30
38° 33°
Sat 31
36° 31°
Sun 1
39° 35°
Mon 2
42° 35°
Tue 3
41° 35°
Wed 4
39° 36°
Thu 5
41° 37°
Fri 6
40° 35°
Sat 7
35° 32°
Sun 8
34° 31°
Mon 9
33° 31°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light rain	37 / 42 °F	100% · 0.57 in	23 mph SSW	7.5 ft	3:25 am · 3:01 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Drizzle	37 / 42 °F	100% · 0.27 in	16 mph SE	5.1 ft	4:15 am · 3:48 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	39 / 42 °F	75% · 0.23 in	14 mph SSE	5.2 ft	5:07 am · 4:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	33 / 38 °F	59% · 0.05 in	17 mph NNW	4.5 ft	6:01 am · 5:36 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	31 / 36 °F	32% · 0.01 in	17 mph E	4.0 ft	5:54 am · 5:36 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light snow	35 / 39 °F	76% · 0.70 in	23 mph ESE	6.9 ft	6:47 am · 6:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light snow	35 / 42 °F	49% · 0.22 in	17 mph SSE	3.8 ft	7:40 am · 7:48 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light snow	35 / 41 °F	40% · 0.09 in	21 mph E	3.8 ft	8:33 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	36 / 39 °F	42% · 0.19 in	22 mph NE	3.1 ft	9:25 am · 10:08 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	37 / 41 °F	29%	13 mph NE	1.7 ft	10:15 am · 11:13 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	35 / 40 °F	17% · 0.05 in	12 mph ENE	1.8 ft	11:04 am	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	32 / 35 °F	22%	15 mph NNE	2.0 ft	12:13 am · 11:54 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	31 / 34 °F	19%	13 mph NNE	1.7 ft	1:06 am · 12:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Snow	31 / 33 °F	27% · 0.30 in	9 mph NNW	1.6 ft	1:52 am · 1:30 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Heavy drizzle	Light rain	Light rain	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear
Temperature	42°	41°	42°	40°	41°	42°	40°	38°
Chance of rain	0%	71%	100%	100%	95%	24%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.04 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	18 SSE	21 SE	24 SE	11 WSW	17 W	15 WSW	9 SW	6 SSW
Humidity	87%	93%	95%	96%	85%	74%	81%	90%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on wind tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	42°	42°	42°	38°	36°	39°	42°
AIFS	42°	43°	42°	38°	33°	37°	38°
GFS	43°	42°	41°	40°	31°	37°	40°
ICON	44°	44°	43°	38°	33°	36°	38°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.57 in	0.27 in	0.23 in	0.05 in	0.01 in	0.70 in	0.21 in
AIFS	0.57 in	0.29 in	0.19 in	0.11 in	0	0.09 in	0.15 in
GFS	0.41 in	0.23 in	0.23 in	0.08 in	0	0.19 in	0.33 in
ICON	0.64 in	0.26 in	0.11 in	0.13 in	0	0.19 in	0.10 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	2337	1630	1426	1730	1728	2350	1728
AIFS	24	23	17	22	14	19	17
GFS	3655	3043	2131	2634	1625	3045	2644
ICON	2644	2136	1523	2134	1218	2032	1525
Confidence	medium	low	medium	medium	high	medium	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	75%	59%	32%	76%	49%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	63%	26%	14%	71%	58%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +5.2 °F	Above +86%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.1 °F	A bit below −33%	31° / 29°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	A bit below −23%	30° / 27°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	28° / 25°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	24° / 21°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal
December	Normal −0.5 °F	Normal
January	A bit below −1.4 °F	A bit below −27%
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Chefornak climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Chefornak is from June to July: highs of 57 °F to 60 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

16° 7°

JanJ
24° 13°

FebF
23° 11°

MarM
34° 22°

AprA
45° 34°

MayM
57° 45°

JunJ
60° 49°

JulJ
59° 48°

AugA
52° 42°

SepS
40° 32°

OctO
29° 21°

NovN
21° 11°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water
JanuaryJan	16°	7°	1.37 in	8	1.6	31°
FebruaryFeb	24°	13°	1.70 in	9	1.4	31°
MarchMar	23°	11°	1.05 in	7	4.7	31°
AprilApr	34°	22°	0.79 in	7	4.9	32°
MayMay	45°	34°	1.46 in	9	4.3	36°
JuneJun	57°	45°	2.16 in	8	5.2	46°
JulyJul	60°	49°	2.81 in	12	2.7	52°
AugustAug	59°	48°	4.86 in	14	2.2	54°
SeptemberSep	52°	42°	4.14 in	13	2.9	51°
OctoberOct	40°	32°	2.73 in	10	2.6	43°
NovemberNov	29°	21°	2.24 in	10	2.2	35°
DecemberDec	21°	11°	1.48 in	9	1.0	32°

Month	Water
Jan	31°
Feb	31°
Mar	31°
Apr	32°
May	36°
Jun	46°
Jul	52°
Aug	54°
Sep	51°
Oct	43°
Nov	35°
Dec	32°

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 26.79 in of rain on about 117 days and about 1,100 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now37 °Ffeels like 31 °F

Tomorrow37 / 42 °F

It's 37 °F now (feels like 31 °F). Today, 37 °F to 42 °F; tomorrow, 37 °F to 42 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.57 in
Thu 29 100% 0.27 in
Fri 30 75% 0.23 in
Sat 31 59% 0.05 in
Sun 1 32% 0.01 in
Mon 2 76% 0.70 in
Tue 3 49% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.57 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.27 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.57 in; last 3 days, 0.61 in; last 7 days, 2.35 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point35 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 35 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds84%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 0 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.0029.5030.00 28.88

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.87 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	42 / 44 °F	0	19 mph SSE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	43 / 46 °F	0.04 in	26 mph SW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	41 / 44 °F	0.27 in	27 mph SSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	41 / 45 °F	0.18 in	20 mph S
Fri 23	Snow	36 / 44 °F	1.30 in	33 mph SSE
Thu 22	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	0	17 mph SSE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	32 / 38 °F	0.02 in	8 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light snow	33 / 38 °F	0.01 in	15 mph NNW
Mon 19	Light snow	33 / 39 °F	0.14 in	11 mph NW
Sun 18	Light snow	36 / 40 °F	0.43 in	18 mph SE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	35 / 39 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	35 / 38 °F	0.01 in	17 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	38 / 40 °F	0.02 in	20 mph N
Wed 14	Light drizzle	35 / 39 °F	0.01 in	19 mph NNE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	37 / 43 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SSW
Mon 12	Snow	38 / 43 °F	0.20 in	11 mph SSW
Sun 11	Drizzle	40 / 45 °F	0.25 in	18 mph SSW
Sat 10	Drizzle	42 / 46 °F	0.25 in	18 mph S
Fri 9	Light rain	43 / 46 °F	0.40 in	17 mph S
Thu 8	Drizzle	37 / 44 °F	0.27 in	23 mph SSE
Wed 7	Overcast	33 / 38 °F	0	11 mph NE
Tue 6	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	0	15 mph NNW
Mon 5	Overcast	35 / 40 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Sun 4	Overcast	36 / 42 °F	0	11 mph NE
Sat 3	Overcast	33 / 42 °F	0	12 mph E
Fri 2	Overcast	33 / 38 °F	0	14 mph NE
Thu 1	Overcast	35 / 39 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	36 / 39 °F	0.03 in	10 mph NNE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	38 / 43 °F	0.01 in	10 mph N
Mon 28	Overcast	43 / 45 °F	0	15 mph NNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChefornakQuestions

What's the weather like today in Chefornak?

Light rain, from 37 °F to 42 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Chefornak?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.27 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 42 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.94 inHg and steady: −0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Chefornak?

The best time to visit Chefornak is from June to July: highs of 57 °F to 60 °F, about 10 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Chefornak in October?

In October, Chefornak normally sees highs of 40 °F and lows of 32 °F, with about 10 rainy days (2.73 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 43 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Chefornak?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 60 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 7 °F. The wettest is August (4.86 in) and the driest, April.

More about Chefornak today

Weather near Chefornak

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:39 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from