Weather in Nelson Lagoon

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:55 pm (AKDT)

Now · overcast 42 °F

Feels like: 35 °F
Low / high: 41 / 50 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.74 in
Wind: 10 mph NNE

→ 30.02 inHg · steady

Today in Nelson Lagoon: rain, 41 °F to 50 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.74 in) and a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 38 °F to 49 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 50 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Nelson Lagoon (PAOU), 1.8 mi away · 59 min ago

Visibility8.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature43 °F

Wind15 mph from the north-northwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

50° 41°
Today
49° 38°
Thu 29
46° 39°
Fri 30
40° 35°
Sat 31
37° 34°
Sun 1
46° 38°
Mon 2
45° 35°
Tue 3
41° 35°
Wed 4
42° 39°
Thu 5
44° 36°
Fri 6
43° 37°
Sat 7
45° 38°
Sun 8
42° 41°
Mon 9
41° 35°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Rain	41 / 50 °F	100% · 0.74 in	21 mph SE	3.5 ft	1:41 pm · 11:42 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Drizzle	38 / 49 °F	100% · 0.09 in	21 mph S	3.3 ft	2:35 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	39 / 46 °F	69% · 0.06 in	18 mph S	3.1 ft	12:46 am · 3:28 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Heavy drizzle	35 / 40 °F	100% · 0.38 in	22 mph NW	9.1 ft	1:57 am · 4:20 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	34 / 37 °F	71% · 0.20 in	21 mph SSE	7.8 ft	2:12 am · 4:10 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	38 / 46 °F	75% · 0.24 in	23 mph SSE	3.0 ft	3:28 am · 4:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	35 / 45 °F	42% · 0.02 in	13 mph SSW	4.8 ft	4:44 am · 5:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light rain	35 / 41 °F	72% · 0.70 in	22 mph SE	4.6 ft	6:00 am · 6:30 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	39 / 42 °F	72% · 0.15 in	9 mph SE	3.2 ft	7:15 am · 7:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	36 / 44 °F	53%	3 mph SE	3.3 ft	8:26 am · 7:50 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	37 / 43 °F	37%	11 mph NE	5.5 ft	9:35 am · 8:27 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	38 / 45 °F	39% · 0.03 in	15 mph N	5.8 ft	10:38 am · 9:03 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	41 / 42 °F	37% · 0.33 in	13 mph NNE	6.0 ft	11:34 am · 9:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	35 / 41 °F	39% · 0.07 in	17 mph NW	6.6 ft	12:24 pm · 10:19 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Drizzle	Rain	Light rain	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	47°	48°	50°	49°	45°	43°	42°	42°
Chance of rain	72%	100%	100%	100%	100%	34%	0%	0%
Rain	0.01 in	0.04 in	0.04 in	0.10 in	0.06 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	18 SE	21 SSE	18 SSE	10 SSW	8 WNW	12 NNW	10 N	8 NE
Humidity	91%	92%	94%	96%	98%	89%	85%	86%
UV	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	50°	49°	46°	40°	37°	46°	45°
AIFS	50°	51°	45°	41°	40°	46°	43°
GFS	48°	49°	46°	43°	38°	44°	45°
ICON	50°	50°	48°	43°	42°	49°	47°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.74 in	0.09 in	0.06 in	0.38 in	0.20 in	0.24 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0.80 in	0.19 in	0.19 in	0.46 in	0.15 in	0.42 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.73 in	0.08 in	0.13 in	0.32 in	0.04 in	0.50 in	0.20 in
ICON	0.43 in	0.22 in	0.11 in	0.14 in	0.05 in	0.22 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	2144	2142	1834	2241	2133	2360	1333
AIFS	21	18	14	20	19	20	7
GFS	1823	1840	1835	2632	1923	3760	2035
ICON	1728	3156	2034	2645	2849	3155	1018
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	medium	low	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	69%	100%	71%	75%	42%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	68%	98%	86%	87%	48%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +40%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	39° / 38°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	39° / 37°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	38° / 37°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	37° / 35°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
December	Normal 0.0 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
January	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
February	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F
March	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nelson Lagoon climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nelson Lagoon is from July to August: highs of 56 °F to 57 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 2 hours of sunshine a day.

31° 24°

JanJ
33° 26°

FebF
33° 25°

MarM
38° 31°

AprA
45° 36°

MayM
51° 43°

JunJ
56° 47°

JulJ
57° 49°

AugA
53° 45°

SepS
45° 38°

OctO
38° 31°

NovN
33° 26°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	31°	24°	2.24 in	12	1.1	37°	5.4 ft
FebruaryFeb	33°	26°	2.06 in	11	1.1	35°	5.4 ft
MarchMar	33°	25°	1.74 in	10	2.8	34°	4.8 ft
AprilApr	38°	31°	1.43 in	10	3.5	35°	4.0 ft
MayMay	45°	36°	1.83 in	10	3.6	39°	3.0 ft
JuneJun	51°	43°	2.06 in	11	3.3	44°	2.6 ft
JulyJul	56°	47°	2.70 in	13	2.1	50°	2.7 ft
AugustAug	57°	49°	3.54 in	14	2.7	52°	3.5 ft
SeptemberSep	53°	45°	4.19 in	15	2.6	51°	4.9 ft
OctoberOct	45°	38°	4.43 in	16	2.2	47°	5.8 ft
NovemberNov	38°	31°	3.87 in	15	1.4	43°	6.9 ft
DecemberDec	33°	26°	3.37 in	15	0.7	40°	6.3 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	37°	5.4 ft
Feb	35°	5.4 ft
Mar	34°	4.8 ft
Apr	35°	4.0 ft
May	39°	3.0 ft
Jun	44°	2.6 ft
Jul	50°	2.7 ft
Aug	52°	3.5 ft
Sep	51°	4.9 ft
Oct	47°	5.8 ft
Nov	43°	6.9 ft
Dec	40°	6.3 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 33.48 in of rain on about 152 days and about 800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now42 °Ffeels like 35 °F

Tomorrow38 / 49 °F

It's 42 °F now (feels like 35 °F). Today, 41 °F to 50 °F; tomorrow, 38 °F to 49 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.74 in
Thu 29 100% 0.09 in
Fri 30 69% 0.06 in
Sat 31 100% 0.38 in
Sun 1 71% 0.20 in
Mon 2 75% 0.24 in
Tue 3 42% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.74 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.76 in; last 3 days, 0.76 in; last 7 days, 1.80 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point37 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 37 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.0029.5030.00 28.87

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −1.15 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 33

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	42 / 47 °F	0.01 in	17 mph SSE
Mon 26	Overcast	44 / 50 °F	0	16 mph S
Sun 25	Overcast	36 / 49 °F	0	21 mph SSW
Sat 24	Drizzle	41 / 49 °F	0.17 in	16 mph S
Fri 23	Rain	37 / 47 °F	0.86 in	32 mph SSE
Thu 22	Partly cloudy	31 / 43 °F	0	9 mph ESE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	35 / 42 °F	0.07 in	9 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	36 / 41 °F	0.42 in	16 mph W
Mon 19	Light drizzle	39 / 44 °F	0.10 in	9 mph WSW
Sun 18	Drizzle	42 / 52 °F	0.19 in	17 mph S
Sat 17	Light drizzle	36 / 43 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	37 / 42 °F	0.20 in	20 mph NW
Thu 15	Light rain	41 / 43 °F	0.61 in	20 mph NNW
Wed 14	Drizzle	38 / 41 °F	0.28 in	21 mph N
Tue 13	Light drizzle	29 / 45 °F	0.06 in	6 mph SE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	35 / 46 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	39 / 47 °F	0.05 in	10 mph SSW
Sat 10	Drizzle	42 / 49 °F	0.12 in	16 mph S
Fri 9	Light rain	46 / 50 °F	0.43 in	23 mph S
Thu 8	Light drizzle	36 / 48 °F	0.11 in	21 mph S
Wed 7	Light drizzle	35 / 43 °F	0.04 in	11 mph NW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	39 / 44 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	41 / 45 °F	0.13 in	13 mph WNW
Sun 4	Drizzle	43 / 51 °F	0.34 in	16 mph S
Sat 3	Drizzle	34 / 50 °F	0.11 in	14 mph SSE
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	37 / 49 °F	0	9 mph NE
Thu 1	Overcast	36 / 47 °F	0	16 mph ENE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	38 / 46 °F	0.09 in	11 mph W
Tue 29	Light drizzle	42 / 46 °F	0.10 in	11 mph WNW
Mon 28	Heavy drizzle	44 / 48 °F	0.44 in	18 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Nelson LagoonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nelson Lagoon?

Rain, from 41 °F to 50 °F, with a gentle breeze from the north-northeast (10 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nelson Lagoon?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.09 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 34 °F and a high of 50 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.02 inHg and steady: −0.22 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nelson Lagoon?

The best time to visit Nelson Lagoon is from July to August: highs of 56 °F to 57 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 2 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nelson Lagoon in October?

In October, Nelson Lagoon normally sees highs of 45 °F and lows of 38 °F, with about 16 rainy days (4.43 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 47 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nelson Lagoon?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 57 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 24 °F. The wettest is October (4.43 in) and the driest, April.

More about Nelson Lagoon today

Weather near Nelson Lagoon

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 17 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:55 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from