Weather in Chignik Lagoon
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:56 pm (AKDT)- Feels like
- 40 °F
- Low / high
- 43 / 50 °F
- Rain
- 100% · 1.63 in
- Wind
- 9 mph NW
Today in Chignik Lagoon: rain, 43 °F to 50 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (1.63 in) and a gentle breeze from the northwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 42 °F to 48 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 50 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 43 / 50 °F | 100% · 1.63 in | 16 mph SSE | 4.5 ft | 4:46 am · 4:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 42 / 48 °F | 100% · 0.37 in | 17 mph S | 4.1 ft | 5:36 am · 4:49 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 37 / 45 °F | 100% · 0.29 in | 12 mph SSW | 4.1 ft | 6:30 am · 5:39 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 35 / 43 °F | 81% · 0.06 in | 18 mph NW | 3.1 ft | 7:30 am · 6:37 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 34 / 39 °F | 55% · 0.02 in | 18 mph WNW | 2.8 ft | 7:40 am · 6:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 38 / 47 °F | 83% · 1.04 in | 20 mph SSE | 4.5 ft | 8:55 am · 8:21 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 35 / 46 °F | 53% · 0.05 in | 10 mph SSW | 3.6 ft | 9:58 am · 9:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 32 / 44 °F | 88% · 0.74 in | 24 mph SSE | 6.0 ft | 10:48 am · 11:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 38 / 43 °F | 85% · 0.69 in | 16 mph SE | 5.1 ft | 11:30 am | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 37 / 42 °F | 54% · 0.46 in | 11 mph SSE | 9.3 ft | 12:11 am · 12:08 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 38 / 44 °F | 41% · 0.30 in | 13 mph NNE | 9.1 ft | 1:03 am · 12:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 36 / 45 °F | 45% · 0.34 in | 14 mph N | 8.2 ft | 1:45 am · 1:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 37 / 44 °F | 43% · 0.63 in | 17 mph ENE | 9.4 ft | 2:24 am · 1:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 35 / 39 °F | 43% · 0.02 in | 20 mph WNW | 4.1 ft | 3:02 am · 2:19 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Light drizzle | Light drizzle | Rain | Rain | Rain | Rain | Light drizzle | Overcast |
| Temperature | 45° | 46° | 47° | 48° | 49° | 49° | 46° | 44° |
| Chance of rain | 58% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 85% | 33% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.13 in | 0.14 in | 0.13 in | 0.11 in | 0.01 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 13 SSE | 15 SSE | 16 SSE | 15 SSE | 13 S | 4 S | 7 NW | 7 NW |
| Humidity | 94% | 98% | 99% | 99% | 97% | 99% | 96% | 96% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on wind on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 50° | 48° | 45° | 43° | 39° | 47° | 46° |
| AIFS | 50° | 50° | 48° | 44° | 42° | 47° | 44° |
| GFS | 48° | 47° | 45° | 42° | 39° | 44° | 44° |
| ICON | 53° | 51° | 46° | 44° | 41° | 50° | 46° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | medium | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1.63 in | 0.37 in | 0.29 in | 0.06 in | 0.02 in | 1.04 in | 0.05 in |
| AIFS | 1.34 in | 0.33 in | 0.17 in | 0.16 in | 0.03 in | 0.58 in | 0.05 in |
| GFS | 2.17 in | 0.19 in | 0.11 in | 0.06 in | 0.07 in | 1.26 in | 0.30 in |
| ICON | 2.46 in | 0.35 in | 0 | 0.05 in | 0.08 in | 1.95 in | 0.08 in |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | high | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1641 | 1744 | 1234 | 1843 | 1845 | 2054 | 1033 |
| AIFS | 20 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 4 |
| GFS | 713 | 926 | 925 | 615 | 1128 | 3555 | 2234 |
| ICON | 1639 | 2150 | 2145 | 3361 | 2760 | 4275 | 1843 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | low | low | low | low |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 100% | 100% | 100% | 81% | 55% | 83% | 53% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 100% | 100% | 94% | 76% | 60% | 84% | 72% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a near-normal sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Above +3.2 °F | Above +89% | Normal +0.4 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | Normal +0.4 °F | 38° / 37° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | Normal +0.4 °F | 38° / 36° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.0 °F | A bit above +22% | A bit above +0.5 °F | 38° / 36° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F | 36° / 34° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal | Normal +0.2 °F |
| December | Normal +0.7 °F | Normal | Normal +0.4 °F |
| January | Normal +0.7 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.9 °F |
| February | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | Above +1.8 °F |
| March | Above +3.6 °F | A bit above +33% | Above +2.7 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Chignik Lagoon climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Chignik Lagoon is from July to August: highs of 59 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 32° | 22° | 1.30 in | 13 | 1.1 | 39° | 5.2 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 35° | 25° | 1.20 in | 11 | 1.4 | 38° | 5.1 ft |
| MarchMar | 33° | 22° | 0.98 in | 10 | 4.1 | 37° | 3.8 ft |
| AprilApr | 40° | 29° | 1.36 in | 12 | 3.6 | 38° | 3.8 ft |
| MayMay | 48° | 36° | 1.22 in | 12 | 4.7 | 41° | 3.2 ft |
| JuneJun | 54° | 42° | 1.27 in | 13 | 4.3 | 46° | 2.7 ft |
| JulyJul | 59° | 46° | 1.81 in | 13 | 3.3 | 51° | 2.4 ft |
| AugustAug | 59° | 47° | 2.20 in | 14 | 3.7 | 53° | 2.7 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 54° | 42° | 2.54 in | 16 | 3.1 | 52° | 3.4 ft |
| OctoberOct | 45° | 35° | 3.52 in | 17 | 2.1 | 49° | 4.3 ft |
| NovemberNov | 38° | 29° | 2.00 in | 15 | 1.3 | 45° | 4.4 ft |
| DecemberDec | 34° | 24° | 2.13 in | 15 | 0.5 | 42° | 5.2 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 39° | 5.2 ft |
| Feb | 38° | 5.1 ft |
| Mar | 37° | 3.8 ft |
| Apr | 38° | 3.8 ft |
| May | 41° | 3.2 ft |
| Jun | 46° | 2.7 ft |
| Jul | 51° | 2.4 ft |
| Aug | 53° | 2.7 ft |
| Sep | 52° | 3.4 ft |
| Oct | 49° | 4.3 ft |
| Nov | 45° | 4.4 ft |
| Dec | 42° | 5.2 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 21.53 in of rain on about 159 days and about 1,000 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 45 °F now (feels like 40 °F). Today, 43 °F to 50 °F; tomorrow, 42 °F to 48 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 1.63 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 100% and 0.37 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.62 in; last 3 days, 1.62 in; last 7 days, 3.65 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 44 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
UV index
Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −1.06 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 38 / 46 °F | 0.00 in | 14 mph S |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 39 / 52 °F | 0 | 12 mph SW |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 34 / 48 °F | 0 | 16 mph SW |
| Sat 24 | Rain | 39 / 49 °F | 1.70 in | 21 mph S |
| Fri 23 | Rain | 32 / 44 °F | 0.33 in | 22 mph SSE |
| Thu 22 | Partly cloudy | 30 / 42 °F | 0 | 7 mph NW |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 33 / 40 °F | 0.11 in | 12 mph WNW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 36 / 41 °F | 0.07 in | 18 mph WNW |
| Mon 19 | Light drizzle | 38 / 46 °F | 0.13 in | 11 mph WNW |
| Sun 18 | Light rain | 32 / 50 °F | 0.47 in | 13 mph S |
| Sat 17 | Overcast | 33 / 43 °F | 0 | 12 mph WNW |
| Fri 16 | Drizzle | 37 / 41 °F | 0.29 in | 15 mph WNW |
| Thu 15 | Heavy drizzle | 40 / 45 °F | 0.47 in | 15 mph NNW |
| Wed 14 | Rain | 37 / 45 °F | 1.71 in | 13 mph N |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 29 / 45 °F | 0.02 in | 5 mph ESE |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 33 / 48 °F | 0.04 in | 7 mph SW |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 38 / 48 °F | 0 | 11 mph SW |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 41 / 51 °F | 0.09 in | 12 mph SSW |
| Fri 9 | Light rain | 46 / 50 °F | 0.88 in | 22 mph S |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 34 / 46 °F | 0.10 in | 15 mph S |
| Wed 7 | Partly cloudy | 36 / 43 °F | 0 | 12 mph NW |
| Tue 6 | Overcast | 40 / 46 °F | 0 | 13 mph WNW |
| Mon 5 | Light drizzle | 39 / 48 °F | 0.02 in | 15 mph WNW |
| Sun 4 | Drizzle | 43 / 50 °F | 0.27 in | 13 mph S |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 35 / 55 °F | 0.02 in | 6 mph WSW |
| Fri 2 | Overcast | 36 / 47 °F | 0 | 14 mph NE |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 30 / 44 °F | 0 | 12 mph NE |
| Wed 30 | Drizzle | 37 / 46 °F | 0.11 in | 9 mph WNW |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 40 / 48 °F | 0 | 16 mph WNW |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 44 / 50 °F | 0.13 in | 18 mph WNW |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Chignik LagoonQuestions
What's the weather like today in Chignik Lagoon?
Rain, from 43 °F to 50 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northwest (9 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Chignik Lagoon?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 100% (0.37 in): light rain.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 34 °F and a high of 50 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 0 (low). No special protection needed.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.99 inHg and steady: −0.36 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Chignik Lagoon?
The best time to visit Chignik Lagoon is from July to August: highs of 59 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 4 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Chignik Lagoon in October?
In October, Chignik Lagoon normally sees highs of 45 °F and lows of 35 °F, with about 17 rainy days (3.52 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Chignik Lagoon?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 59 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 22 °F. The wettest is October (3.52 in) and the driest, March.
More about Chignik Lagoon today
Weather near Chignik Lagoon
- Perryville 47 °F · partly cloudy · 36 mi
- Pilot Point 45 °F · light rain · 94 mi
- Sand Point 43 °F · partly cloudy · 101 mi
- Nelson Lagoon 42 °F · overcast · 105 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:56 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from